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Short Trade on 2Z

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03 Nov 2026 at 13:15:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_score)

With 7847.75 2Z at 0.0223$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02337 (4.56 %)

2Z SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 03 Nov 2026 13:15 → 16:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.02235$

Qty 7847.7536 2Z

Size 175.3737$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 175.4$

SL 0.02337 (-4.56%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -3.31% / -5.81$ MAE -3.62% MFE +1.63% 0.4R expires 03 Nov 16:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 243484)
#58 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 13:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0734

Quality Score
0.356
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#58 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.56 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#58 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.56 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -1.44×ATR
4h clear —
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.19
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 13:03
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

01/11 19:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

03/11 07:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

03/11 12:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7744
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

transition

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.60
Transition risk : 0.40
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 46.5%
Macro btc_defensive
Local 4h mixed Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→+0.031
Δ 4h
▼-0.376
Δ 12h
▲+0.132
Δ 24h
▲+0.354

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 55.8%
1h 20.9%
4h 39.5%
24h 69.8%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 62.8% +0.01%
4h 27.9% -0.19%
24h 58.1% +1.24%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.3%
Down ≥1σ
4.7%
Expansion
7.0%
Tail ↑
+0.41
Tail ↓
+0.67
Dispersion : 0.138
Universe : 43 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.76
Snapshot évalué : 03/11 13:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2493
Score SMA
0.4397
Rank
#48 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2656
Rank Norm SMA
0.2730
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0237 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -7.62% · r3d: -13.95% · ema21_slope: -1.5912% · dist_ema21: -22.991%
Force Relative 25% 0.1148 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.68% · rs_3d: -13.26% · beta_24h: 1.985
Volume 20% 0.5969 rvol_20: 2.53× · zscore_50: 0.154 · trend: -3.17%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6272 ADX: 33.5 (trend) · Chop: 57.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 11.399% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.3561
Score SMA
0.4354
Rank
#58 / 60
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0734
Rank Norm SMA
0.1902
Calculé le
03/11/2026 13:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1554 r1h: -1.156% · r4h: -1.976% · r1d: -7.56% · r3d: -15.44% · ema21_slope: -0.2809% · dist_ema21: -3.420%
Force Relative 25% 0.1803 rs_1h: -1.044% · rs_4h: -2.326% · rs_1d: -8.22% · rs_3d: -15.40% · beta_24h: 0.565
Volume 20% 0.2705 rvol_20: 0.68× · zscore_50: -0.297 · trend: -3.44%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7919 ADX: 49.1 (trend) · Chop: 52.7 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.465% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.3997
Score SMA
0.3918
Rank
#56 / 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1033
Rank Norm SMA
0.2191
Calculé le
03/11/2026 11:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1080 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.018% · r1d: -7.83% · r3d: -16.01% · ema21_slope: -0.6408% · dist_ema21: -9.094%
Force Relative 25% 0.1068 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.767% · rs_1d: -8.05% · rs_3d: -16.15% · beta_24h: 0.791
Volume 20% 0.5844 rvol_20: 1.48× · zscore_50: 1.234 · trend: 59.56%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8387 ADX: 40.6 (trend) · Chop: 35.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.9791 ATR%: 3.063% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -4.564% (0.0010)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.629% 0.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.629% 0.4R -1.199% 0.3R 1.4× 24
3h ★ +1.629% 0.4R -3.620% 0.8R 0.5× 36
4h +1.629% 0.4R -7.083% 1.6R 0.2× 48
8h +1.629% 0.4R -9.235% 2.0R 0.2× 96
12h +1.629% 0.4R -9.235% 2.0R 0.2× 144
24h +1.629% 0.4R -11.888% 2.6R 0.1× 288
48h +6.841% 1.5R -11.888% 2.6R 0.6× 576
72h +7.459% 1.6R -11.888% 2.6R 0.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 24 min MAE in 1244 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.3
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down range range strong grind compression bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 47% late — — 0.53 bear_high -1.23% -1.00 01/11 19:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high_confirmed
58%
choppy 53% late — — 0.53 bear_high -2.65% -0.94 03/11 07:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate fading expansion bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 49% late near -1.4ATR — 0.62 range_medium -0.21% -0.69 03/11 12:00
15m ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate explosive expansion_after_compression bear_medium
60%
noisy_chop 47% early — near 0.5ATR 0.51 range_low +0.47% -0.37 03/11 12:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#489640
 ↓ down range range strong grind 0.445 compression bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 47% late 37b -3.2ATR — — 2.53 94% ↑ +0.19 below_value -6.16 — #230431 0.53 bear_high -1.23% -1.00
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:24
4h
#495247
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.508 compression bear_high_confirmed
58%
choppy 53% late 21b -3.6ATR — — 1.48 87% ↑ +0.65 below_value -9.41 — #232774 0.53 bear_high -2.65% -0.94
03/11 07:00
upd 03/11 11:17
1h anchor
#495889
 ↓ down range range moderate fading 0.725 expansion bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 49% late 5b -2.5ATR near -1.4ATR — 0.68 82% ↔ -0.14 below_value -10.26 — #233085 0.62 range_medium -0.21% -0.69
03/11 12:00
upd 03/11 13:11
15m
#495827
 ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate explosive 0.431 expansion_after_compression bear_medium
60%
noisy_chop 47% early 4b -1.2ATR — near 0.5ATR 0.05 3% ↓ -0.44 below_value -10.49 — #232963 0.51 range_low +0.47% -0.37
03/11 12:45
upd 03/11 13:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 37b — 20.973×ATR p100 -3.183×ATR p98
4h ↓ down late 21b — 7.654×ATR p97 -3.622×ATR p94
1h ↓ down late 5b — 3.1×ATR p69 -2.481×ATR p93
15m ↓ down early 4b — 1.244×ATR p2 -1.228×ATR p47

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.0233664
  2. atr: 0.0003398
  3. expires_at: 2026-11-03T21:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 64
  2. total: 64
  3. score: 0.159
  4. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.02235 0.02337 0.01641
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.02235
  • Stop Loss: 0.02337
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.02337 - 0.02235 = 0.00102

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.02235 - = 0.02235

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.02235 / 0.00102 = 21.9118

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
175.3737 100 7847.7536 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00102

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00102 = 7843.14

Taille de position USD = 7843.14 x 0.02235 = 175.29

Donc, tu peux acheter 7843.14 avec un stoploss a 0.02337

Avec un position size USD de 175.29$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 7843.14 x 0.00102 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 7843.14 x 0.02235 = 175.29

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 175.29$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 7843.14
  • Taille de position USD 175.29
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 175.29
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 21.9118

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 175.4 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.56 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-5.81 $ -3.31
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.6197 % 79.31 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.02235 0.02337 0.01641
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.02235
  • Stop Loss: 0.02337
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.02337 - 0.02235 = 0.00102

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.02235 - = 0.02235

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.02235 / 0.00102 = 21.9118

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.02235
            [stop_loss] => 0.023472
            [rr_ratio] => 19.92
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-03 21:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.02235
            [stop_loss] => 0.023574
            [rr_ratio] => 18.26
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-03 21:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.02235
            [stop_loss] => 0.023676
            [rr_ratio] => 16.86
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-03 21:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.02235
            [stop_loss] => 0.02388
            [rr_ratio] => 14.61
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-03 21:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -4.564% (0.0010)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.629% 0.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.629% 0.4R -1.199% 0.3R 1.4× 24
3h ★ +1.629% 0.4R -3.620% 0.8R 0.5× 36
4h +1.629% 0.4R -7.083% 1.6R 0.2× 48
8h +1.629% 0.4R -9.235% 2.0R 0.2× 96
12h +1.629% 0.4R -9.235% 2.0R 0.2× 144
24h +1.629% 0.4R -11.888% 2.6R 0.1× 288
48h +6.841% 1.5R -11.888% 2.6R 0.6× 576
72h +7.459% 1.6R -11.888% 2.6R 0.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 24 min MAE in 1244 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.