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Short Trade on XPL

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03 Nov 2026 at 13:15:09 hyperliquid

Short Trade on XPL (momentum_rotation_score)

With 2259.84 XPL at 0.0641$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.06763 (5.52 %)

XPL SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 03 Nov 2026 13:15 → 16:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.06409$

Qty 2259.8359 XPL

Size 144.8329$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 144.83$

SL 0.06763 (-5.52%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -1.14% / -1.65$ MAE -1.20% MFE +1.81% 0.3R expires 03 Nov 16:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 243481)
#60 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 13:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0784

Quality Score
0.318
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#60 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.52 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#60 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.52 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.85×ATR
4h clear —
1d near -0.91×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.19
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
30.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 13:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3)

01/11 19:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

03/11 07:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

03/11 12:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7744
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

transition

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.60
Transition risk : 0.40
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 46.5%
Macro btc_defensive
Local 4h mixed Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→+0.031
Δ 4h
▼-0.376
Δ 12h
▲+0.132
Δ 24h
▲+0.354

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 55.8%
1h 20.9%
4h 39.5%
24h 69.8%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 62.8% +0.01%
4h 27.9% -0.19%
24h 58.1% +1.24%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.3%
Down ≥1σ
4.7%
Expansion
7.0%
Tail ↑
+0.41
Tail ↓
+0.67
Dispersion : 0.138
Universe : 43 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.76
Snapshot évalué : 03/11 13:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2335
Score SMA
0.3587
Rank
#53 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1875
Rank Norm SMA
0.5074
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0918 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -6.51% · r3d: -18.28% · ema21_slope: -0.6516% · dist_ema21: -14.301%
Force Relative 25% 0.2013 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.57% · rs_3d: -17.59% · beta_24h: 1.708
Volume 20% 0.4264 rvol_20: 1.07× · zscore_50: -0.260 · trend: 63.80%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4688 ADX: 17.6 (weak) · Chop: 60.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 11.374% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.3179
Score SMA
0.5346
Rank
#60 / 60
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0784
Rank Norm SMA
0.5654
Calculé le
03/11/2026 13:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1973 r1h: -0.628% · r4h: -1.505% · r1d: -6.56% · r3d: -21.03% · ema21_slope: -0.2256% · dist_ema21: -1.920%
Force Relative 25% 0.2247 rs_1h: -0.516% · rs_4h: -1.855% · rs_1d: -7.21% · rs_3d: -20.98% · beta_24h: 1.603
Volume 20% 0.1706 rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.440 · trend: -54.43%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6165 ADX: 40.8 (trend) · Chop: 65.8 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.906% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.2907
Score SMA
0.5200
Rank
#63 / 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0234
Rank Norm SMA
0.6263
Calculé le
03/11/2026 11:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1452 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.611% · r1d: -8.05% · r3d: -21.29% · ema21_slope: -0.7958% · dist_ema21: -8.836%
Force Relative 25% 0.1833 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.361% · rs_1d: -8.26% · rs_3d: -21.43% · beta_24h: -0.901
Volume 20% 0.2354 rvol_20: 0.31× · zscore_50: -0.247 · trend: -11.10%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7434 ADX: 37.6 (trend) · Chop: 46.8 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.4272 ATR%: 4.719% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.524% (0.0035)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.379% 0.3R -0.179% 0.0R 7.7× 12
2h +1.805% 0.3R -0.179% 0.0R 10.1× 24
3h ★ +1.805% 0.3R -1.198% 0.2R 1.5× 36
4h +1.805% 0.3R -1.401% 0.3R 1.3× 48
8h +5.318% 1.0R -1.401% 0.3R 3.8× 96
12h +6.193% 1.1R -1.401% 0.3R 4.4× 144
24h +6.193% 1.1R -5.001% 0.9R 1.2× 288
48h +10.173% 1.8R -5.001% 0.9R 2.0× 576
72h +12.085% 2.2R -5.001% 0.9R 2.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 524 min MAE in 1259 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 5.65
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down range range moderate grind normal bear_high_confirmed
50%
noisy_chop 38% late near -0.9ATR — 0.54 bear_high -1.23% -0.88 01/11 19:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate grind normal bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 44% late — — 0.54 bear_high -2.65% -0.98 03/11 07:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 40% early — — 0.48 range_medium -0.21% -0.54 03/11 12:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate grind normal bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 39% early near 0.5ATR — 0.57 range_low +0.47% -0.23 03/11 12:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#489634
 ↓ down range range moderate grind 0.386 normal bear_high_confirmed
50%
noisy_chop 38% late 38b -1.6ATR near -0.9ATR — 1.07 78% ↑ +0.35 below_value -5.79 — #230428 0.54 bear_high -1.23% -0.88
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:24
4h
#495238
 ↓ down range range moderate grind 0.383 normal bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 44% late 14b -2.3ATR — — 0.31 65% ↔ -0.00 below_value -8.14 inside #232771 0.54 bear_high -2.65% -0.98
03/11 07:00
upd 03/11 11:16
1h anchor
#495886
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.493 compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 40% early 6b -1.1ATR — — 0.27 42% ↓ -0.22 below_value -8.79 — #233082 0.48 range_medium -0.21% -0.54
03/11 12:00
upd 03/11 13:11
15m
#495824
 ↓ down range range moderate grind 0.495 normal bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 39% early 7b -0.6ATR near 0.5ATR — 1.55 68% ↔ +0.13 below_value -7.98 — #232960 0.57 range_low +0.47% -0.23
03/11 12:45
upd 03/11 13:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 38b — 7.808×ATR p100 -1.572×ATR p89
4h ↓ down late 14b — 7.375×ATR p100 -2.325×ATR p97
1h ↓ down early 6b — 1.604×ATR p15 -1.116×ATR p60
15m ↓ down early 7b — 1.347×ATR p9 -0.588×ATR p30

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.06763008
  2. atr: 0.00118003
  3. expires_at: 2026-11-03T21:15:09+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 63
  2. total: 64
  3. score: 0.1628
  4. confidence: 0.984

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.06409 0.06763 0.04475
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.06409
  • Stop Loss: 0.06763
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.06763 - 0.06409 = 0.00354

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.06409 - = 0.06409

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.06409 / 0.00354 = 18.1045

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
144.8329 100 2259.8359 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00354

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00354 = 2259.89

Taille de position USD = 2259.89 x 0.06409 = 144.84

Donc, tu peux acheter 2259.89 avec un stoploss a 0.06763

Avec un position size USD de 144.84$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2259.89 x 0.00354 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2259.89 x 0.06409 = 144.84

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 144.84$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2259.89
  • Taille de position USD 144.84
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 144.84
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 18.1045

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 144.83 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.52 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-1.65 $ -1.14
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.1983 % 21.69 % 6
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.06409 0.06763 0.04475
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.06409
  • Stop Loss: 0.06763
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.06763 - 0.06409 = 0.00354

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.06409 - = 0.06409

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.06409 / 0.00354 = 18.1045

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.524% (0.0035)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.379% 0.3R -0.179% 0.0R 7.7× 12
2h +1.805% 0.3R -0.179% 0.0R 10.1× 24
3h ★ +1.805% 0.3R -1.198% 0.2R 1.5× 36
4h +1.805% 0.3R -1.401% 0.3R 1.3× 48
8h +5.318% 1.0R -1.401% 0.3R 3.8× 96
12h +6.193% 1.1R -1.401% 0.3R 4.4× 144
24h +6.193% 1.1R -5.001% 0.9R 1.2× 288
48h +10.173% 1.8R -5.001% 0.9R 2.0× 576
72h +12.085% 2.2R -5.001% 0.9R 2.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 524 min MAE in 1259 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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