Long Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 43250.26 PUMP at 0.00427$ per unit. Take profit: 0.004382 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.00409 (4.33 %)
03 Nov 2026 at 14:15:05
hyperliquid
PUMP
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Nov 2026 14:15
→ 16:40
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.004275$
Qty 43250.2568 PUMP
Size 184.8948$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.004382 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.63$
SL 0.00409 (-4.33%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.58
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +4.63$
MAE -1.22%
MFE +3.84%
0.9R
expires
03 Nov 20:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 243540)
#4 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 14:00
score du 03/11/2026 14:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9025
Quality Score
0.726
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#4 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-7
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.33 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#4 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-7
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.33 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.84×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.32×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.38×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
expanding
OK
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.16
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
36.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 14:02
03/11 14:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 01/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 03/11 07:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 03/11 13:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7748
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
-3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
56.4%
Macro
btc_defensive
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.098
Δ 4h
▼-0.232
Δ 12h
▲+0.094
Δ 24h
▲+0.459
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 26.2% |
| 1h | 97.6% |
| 4h | 52.4% |
| 24h | 81.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 35.7% | -0.05% |
| 4h | 33.3% | +0.16% |
| 24h | 66.7% | +2.04% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.4%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
2.4%
Tail ↑
+0.58
Tail ↓
+0.45
Dispersion :
0.114
Universe :
42
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.76
Snapshot évalué :
03/11 14:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.1991
Score SMA
0.2729
Rank
#61
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0625
Rank Norm SMA
0.1914
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0998 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -5.25% · r3d: -4.75% · ema21_slope: -0.8409% · dist_ema21: -10.803% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2913 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.31% · rs_3d: -4.06% · beta_24h: 3.002 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1430 | rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.856 · trend: -52.43% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4514 | ADX: 17.4 (weak) · Chop: 62.1 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 11.951% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 14:00
Score brut
0.7256
Score SMA
0.5246
Rank
#4
/ 60
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9025
Rank Norm SMA
0.5582
Calculé le
03/11/2026 14:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6862 | r1h: 0.921% · r4h: 0.447% · r1d: 7.60% · r3d: 0.23% · ema21_slope: 0.2873% · dist_ema21: 3.424% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6343 | rs_1h: 1.007% · rs_4h: 0.209% · rs_1d: 6.86% · rs_3d: 0.27% · beta_24h: 2.049 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6344 | rvol_20: 1.98× · zscore_50: 1.208 · trend: 38.03% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7578 | ADX: 30.9 (trend) · Chop: 30.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.831% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.5831
Score SMA
0.4433
Rank
#11
/ 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8100
Rank Norm SMA
0.3370
Calculé le
03/11/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5431 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.667% · r1d: 4.04% · r3d: 2.08% · ema21_slope: -0.1652% · dist_ema21: 3.689% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6240 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.917% · rs_1d: 3.83% · rs_3d: 1.94% · beta_24h: 3.184 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5755 | rvol_20: 2.39× · zscore_50: 0.386 · trend: -14.36% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4324 | ADX: 10.7 (weak) · Chop: 57.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8425 | ATR%: 3.472% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.328%
(0.0002)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.538% | 0.1R | -0.702% | 0.2R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.152% | 0.5R | -0.702% | 0.2R | 3.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.836% | 0.9R | -0.702% | 0.2R | 5.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.836% | 0.9R | -1.216% | 0.3R | 3.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.836% | 0.9R | -4.047% | 0.9R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.836% | 0.9R | -4.140% | 1.0R | 0.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.807% | 1.6R | -4.140% | 1.0R | 1.6× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.807% | 1.6R | -9.591% | 2.2R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.807% | 1.6R | -10.597% | 2.5R | 0.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1199 min
MAE in 514 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.19
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.50 | bear_high | -1.23% | -0.91 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.55 | bear_high | -2.65% | +0.39 | 03/11 07:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
68%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.75 | range_medium | -0.29% | +0.57 | 03/11 13:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near -0.4ATR | near 0.3ATR | 0.76 | range_low | +0.34% | +0.12 | 03/11 13:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#489632
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.521 | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late 29b -1.1ATR | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.47 | 58% | ↓ -0.61 | below_value | -1.78 | — | #230427 | 0.50 | bear_high | -1.23% | -0.91 |
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:24
|
|
4h
#495235
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.552 | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 5b 1.1ATR | — | near 0.3ATR | 2.39 | 47% | ↑ +0.36 | above_value | +1.83 | — | #232770 | 0.55 | bear_high | -2.65% | +0.39 |
03/11 07:00
upd 03/11 11:16
|
|
1h
anchor #496202
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.610 | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
68%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late 4b 1.7ATR | — | near -0.8ATR | 1.98 | 76% | ↑ +0.68 | value | +1.27 | — | #233203 | 0.75 | range_medium | -0.29% | +0.57 |
03/11 13:00
upd 03/11 14:10
|
|
15m
#496140
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.595 | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early 1b 0.8ATR | near -0.4ATR | near 0.3ATR | 0.56 | 59% | ↓ -0.44 | above_value | +0.21 | — | #233081 | 0.76 | range_low | +0.34% | +0.12 |
03/11 13:45
upd 03/11 14:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 29b | — | 5.985×ATR | p88 | -1.131×ATR | p72 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 2.689×ATR | p30 | +1.083×ATR | p56 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 1.278×ATR | p0 | +1.747×ATR | p86 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.775×ATR | p3 | +0.782×ATR | p40 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.004275 | 0.00409 | 0.004382 | 0.58 | 0.002951 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.004275
- Stop Loss: 0.00409
- Take Profit: 0.004382
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.00409 - 0.004275 = -0.000185
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.004275 - 0.004382 = -0.000107
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000107 / -0.000185 = 0.5784
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 184.8948 | 100 | 43250.2568 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.000185
Taille de position = 8 / -0.000185 = -43243.24
Taille de position USD = -43243.24 x 0.004275 = -184.86
Donc, tu peux acheter -43243.24 avec un stoploss a 0.00409
Avec un position size USD de -184.86$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -43243.24 x -0.000185 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -43243.24 x -0.000107 = 4.63
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.63$
Résumé
- Taille de position -43243.24
- Taille de position USD -184.86
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.63
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5784
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.63 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.33 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.63 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7018 % | 16.22 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.004275 | 0.00409 | 0.004382 | 0.58 | 0.002951 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.004275
- Stop Loss: 0.00409
- Take Profit: 0.004382
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.00409 - 0.004275 = -0.000185
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.004275 - 0.004382 = -0.000107
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000107 / -0.000185 = 0.5784
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.328%
(0.0002)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.538% | 0.1R | -0.702% | 0.2R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.152% | 0.5R | -0.702% | 0.2R | 3.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.836% | 0.9R | -0.702% | 0.2R | 5.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.836% | 0.9R | -1.216% | 0.3R | 3.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.836% | 0.9R | -4.047% | 0.9R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.836% | 0.9R | -4.140% | 1.0R | 0.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.807% | 1.6R | -4.140% | 1.0R | 1.6× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.807% | 1.6R | -9.591% | 2.2R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.807% | 1.6R | -10.597% | 2.5R | 0.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1199 min
MAE in 514 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.