Long Trade on XMR (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 0.49 XMR at 632.56$ per unit. Take profit: 648.374 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 616.1885 (2.59 %)
03 Nov 2026 at 15:15:06
hyperliquid
XMR
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Nov 2026 15:15
→ 21:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 632.56$
Qty 0.4887 XMR
Size 309.1027$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 648.374 (+2.5%)
TP $ 7.73$
SL 616.1885 (-2.59%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.97
Status
loss
PnL
-0.12%
/ -0.38$
MAE -1.29%
MFE +0.85%
0.3R
expires
03 Nov 21:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 243608)
#1 / 58
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 15:00
score du 03/11/2026 15:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7958
Quality Score
0.786
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 58
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.59 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 58
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.59 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.76×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.51×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.08×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
NO
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
NO
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
-0.49
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
77.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 15:03
03/11 15:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 01/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 03/11 07:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 03/11 13:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7752
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
-3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
38.9%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.175
Δ 4h
▼-0.293
Δ 12h
→+0.035
Δ 24h
▲+0.273
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 45.2% |
| 1h | 31.0% |
| 4h | 19.1% |
| 24h | 78.6% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 52.4% | +0.00% |
| 4h | 28.6% | -0.49% |
| 24h | 69.1% | +1.86% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.4%
Down ≥1σ
2.4%
Expansion
4.8%
Tail ↑
+0.49
Tail ↓
+0.36
Dispersion :
0.072
Universe :
42
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.76
Snapshot évalué :
03/11 15:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.5665
Score SMA
0.5627
Rank
#3
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9688
Rank Norm SMA
0.9263
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6917 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.87% · r3d: 2.74% · ema21_slope: 0.3356% · dist_ema21: 2.703% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6722 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.82% · rs_3d: 3.43% · beta_24h: 0.661 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4666 | rvol_20: 1.06× · zscore_50: 0.816 · trend: 41.88% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5713 | ADX: 29.9 (trend) · Chop: 60.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.1193 | ATR%: 5.642% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.7863
Score SMA
0.5454
Rank
#1
/ 58
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7958
Rank Norm SMA
0.6385
Calculé le
03/11/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6889 | r1h: 0.637% · r4h: 1.907% · r1d: 4.40% · r3d: 5.70% · ema21_slope: 0.1668% · dist_ema21: 1.870% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6607 | rs_1h: 0.608% · rs_4h: 2.006% · rs_1d: 3.73% · rs_3d: 5.63% · beta_24h: 0.318 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8933 | rvol_20: 2.61× · zscore_50: 3.597 · trend: 67.00% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8088 | ADX: 37.1 (trend) · Chop: 37.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.056% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.6262
Score SMA
0.5383
Rank
#4
/ 58
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9274
Rank Norm SMA
0.7208
Calculé le
03/11/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6630 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.907% · r1d: 4.40% · r3d: 5.70% · ema21_slope: 0.1584% · dist_ema21: 3.599% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6914 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.006% · rs_1d: 3.73% · rs_3d: 5.63% · beta_24h: -0.097 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5948 | rvol_20: 1.91× · zscore_50: 0.702 · trend: 41.90% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6088 | ADX: 22.3 (weak) · Chop: 47.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.931% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.588%
(16.3715)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.498% | 0.2R | -0.311% | 0.1R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.808% | 0.3R | -0.311% | 0.1R | 2.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.846% | 0.3R | -0.661% | 0.3R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.846% | 0.3R | -1.295% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.846% | 0.3R | -1.295% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.333% | 0.9R | -1.295% | 0.5R | 1.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.473% | 1.0R | -1.295% | 0.5R | 1.9× | 288 |
| 48h | +2.473% | 1.0R | -3.807% | 1.5R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.473% | 1.0R | -3.807% | 1.5R | 0.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1029 min
MAE in 289 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.46
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | grind | expansion | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -1.23% | +0.94 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.31 | bear_high | -2.65% | +0.34 | 03/11 07:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | weak | fading | expansion | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.07 | range_medium | -0.29% | +0.27 | 03/11 13:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_medium |
64%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.20 | range_low | +0.35% | +0.12 | 03/11 14:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#489655
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | grind | 0.647 | expansion | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early 9b 0.4ATR | — | — | 1.06 | 94% | ↑ +0.35 | above_value | +0.90 | — | #230437 | 0.49 | bear_high | -1.23% | +0.94 |
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:25
|
|
4h
#495265
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.705 | compression | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late 24b 1.3ATR | — | — | 1.33 | 89% | ↑ +0.34 | above_value | +3.08 | — | #232780 | 0.31 | bear_high | -2.65% | +0.34 |
03/11 07:00
upd 03/11 11:18
|
|
1h
anchor #496212
|
↑ up | range | range | weak | fading | 0.338 | expansion | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid 3b 1.1ATR | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.78 | 71% | ↑ +0.25 | above_value | +3.59 | — | #233213 | 0.07 | range_medium | -0.29% | +0.27 |
03/11 13:00
upd 03/11 14:11
|
|
15m
#496466
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.716 | expansion | bull_medium |
64%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid 2b 1.1ATR | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.53 | 53% | ↑ +0.63 | above_value | +3.59 | — | #233213 | 0.20 | range_low | +0.35% | +0.12 |
03/11 14:45
upd 03/11 15:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 1.226×ATR | p0 | +0.396×ATR | p27 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 24b | — | 3.928×ATR | p74 | +1.276×ATR | p85 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 1.563×ATR | p2 | +1.13×ATR | p72 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 1.525×ATR | p0 | +1.067×ATR | p62 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 616.18848082
- tp_price: 648.374
- atr: 6.54860767
- expires_at: 2026-11-04T02:15:06+00:00
Details
- rank: 1
- total: 60
- score: 0.7179
- delta_2h: 0.0791
- extension_atr: 1.59
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7958
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:15 | 632.56000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 16:15 | 634.28000000 | +0.272% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 632.56 | 616.1885 | 648.374 | 0.97 | 501.78 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 632.56
- Stop Loss: 616.1885
- Take Profit: 648.374
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 616.1885 - 632.56 = -16.3715
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 632.56 - 648.374 = -15.814
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -15.814 / -16.3715 = 0.9659
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 309.1027 | 100 | 0.4887 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -16.3715
Taille de position = 8 / -16.3715 = -0.49
Taille de position USD = -0.49 x 632.56 = -309.95
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.49 avec un stoploss a 616.1885
Avec un position size USD de -309.95$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.49 x -16.3715 = 8.02
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.02$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.49 x -15.814 = 7.75
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.75$
Résumé
- Taille de position -0.49
- Taille de position USD -309.95
- Perte potentielle 8.02
- Gain potentiel 7.75
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.9659
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 7.73 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.59 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.38 $ | -0.12 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.2947 % | 50.03 % | 24 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 632.56 | 616.1885 | 648.374 | 0.97 | 501.78 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 632.56
- Stop Loss: 616.1885
- Take Profit: 648.374
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 616.1885 - 632.56 = -16.3715
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 632.56 - 648.374 = -15.814
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -15.814 / -16.3715 = 0.9659
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.588%
(16.3715)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.498% | 0.2R | -0.311% | 0.1R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.808% | 0.3R | -0.311% | 0.1R | 2.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.846% | 0.3R | -0.661% | 0.3R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.846% | 0.3R | -1.295% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.846% | 0.3R | -1.295% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.333% | 0.9R | -1.295% | 0.5R | 1.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.473% | 1.0R | -1.295% | 0.5R | 1.9× | 288 |
| 48h | +2.473% | 1.0R | -3.807% | 1.5R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.473% | 1.0R | -3.807% | 1.5R | 0.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1029 min
MAE in 289 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.