Short Trade on XTEN (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 364 XTEN at 0.247$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2405 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2687 (8.92 %)
03 Nov 2026 at 15:15:07
hyperliquid
XTEN
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Nov 2026 15:15
→ 21:00
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.2467$
Qty 364.0037 XTEN
Size 89.7997$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2405 (+2.51%)
TP $ 2.26$
SL 0.2687 (-8.92%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.28
Status
win
PnL
+1.50%
/ +1.35$
MAE -1.94%
MFE +1.50%
0.2R
expires
03 Nov 21:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 243615)
#56 / 58
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 15:00
score du 03/11/2026 15:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1912
Quality Score
0.384
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#56 / 58
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#56 / 58
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.01×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.49×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.49
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 15:03
03/11 15:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 03/11 07:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/11 13:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7752
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
38.9%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.175
Δ 4h
▼-0.293
Δ 12h
→+0.035
Δ 24h
▲+0.273
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 45.2% |
| 1h | 31.0% |
| 4h | 19.1% |
| 24h | 78.6% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 52.4% | +0.00% |
| 4h | 28.6% | -0.49% |
| 24h | 69.1% | +1.86% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.4%
Down ≥1σ
2.4%
Expansion
4.8%
Tail ↑
+0.49
Tail ↓
+0.36
Dispersion :
0.072
Universe :
42
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.76
Snapshot évalué :
03/11 15:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.3842
Score SMA
0.4816
Rank
#56
/ 58
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1912
Rank Norm SMA
0.4078
Calculé le
03/11/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2215 | r1h: -1.746% · r4h: -2.740% · r1d: -3.49% · r3d: -11.95% · ema21_slope: 0.0741% · dist_ema21: 2.180% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2189 | rs_1h: -1.774% · rs_4h: -2.641% · rs_1d: -4.15% · rs_3d: -12.02% · beta_24h: -1.439 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1859 | rvol_20: 0.26× · zscore_50: -0.337 · trend: -43.74% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7495 | ADX: 29.9 (trend) · Chop: 35.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7844 | ATR%: 3.647% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.3277
Score SMA
0.4455
Rank
#55
/ 58
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1468
Rank Norm SMA
0.3065
Calculé le
03/11/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2614 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.740% · r1d: -3.49% · r3d: -11.95% · ema21_slope: -0.5903% · dist_ema21: -3.575% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2734 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.641% · rs_1d: -4.15% · rs_3d: -12.02% · beta_24h: 6.427 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2669 | rvol_20: 0.52× · zscore_50: 0.000 · trend: -1.88% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7037 | ADX: 25.9 (trend) · Chop: 39.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.416% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -8.918%
(0.0220)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.199% | 0.0R | -1.938% | 0.2R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.539% | 0.1R | -1.938% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.001% | 0.1R | -1.938% | 0.2R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.504% | 0.2R | -1.938% | 0.2R | 0.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.291% | 0.4R | -1.938% | 0.2R | 1.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.291% | 0.4R | -1.938% | 0.2R | 1.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.291% | 0.4R | -2.424% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.688% | 0.8R | -2.424% | 0.3R | 2.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.688% | 0.8R | -2.424% | 0.3R | 2.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 409 min
MAE in 1329 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.97
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 4h | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | — | bear_high | -2.65% | -0.75 | 03/11 07:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | — | range_medium | -0.29% | +0.56 | 03/11 13:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | — | -0.06 | range_low | +0.35% | -0.01 | 03/11 14:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
4h
#495286
|
↔ | — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid 2b -0.2ATR | — | — | 2.47 | 78% | ↑ +0.90 | below_value | -2.77 | — | #232787 | — | bear_high | -2.65% | -0.75 |
03/11 07:00
upd 03/11 11:19
|
|
1h
anchor #496219
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.470 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid 6b 0.9ATR | — | — | 0.15 | 42% | ↓ -0.23 | below_value | -2.91 | — | #233220 | — | range_medium | -0.29% | +0.56 |
03/11 13:00
upd 03/11 14:11
|
|
15m
#496409
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.687 | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid 14b -0.9ATR | — | — | 0.29 | 44% | ↓ -0.86 | below_value | -2.91 | — | #233220 | -0.06 | range_low | +0.35% | -0.01 |
03/11 14:30
upd 03/11 14:48
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 2.696×ATR | p60 | -0.168×ATR | p25 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 3.344×ATR | p68 | +0.899×ATR | p71 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 14b | — | 2.971×ATR | p63 | -0.86×ATR | p32 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.2686778
- tp_price: 0.2405325
- atr: 0.00879112
- expires_at: 2026-11-04T02:15:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 58
- total: 60
- score: 0.2851
- delta_2h: -0.0922
- extension_atr: 0.53
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1913
- confidence: 0.966
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:15 | 0.24670000 | 0% |
| 2 | 16:15 | 0.24851000 | +0.734% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2467 | 0.2687 | 0.2405 | 0.28 | 0.2095 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2467
- Stop Loss: 0.2687
- Take Profit: 0.2405
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2687 - 0.2467 = 0.022
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2467 - 0.2405 = 0.0062
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0062 / 0.022 = 0.2818
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89.7997 | 89.7997 | 364.0037 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.022
Taille de position = 8 / 0.022 = 363.64
Taille de position USD = 363.64 x 0.2467 = 89.71
Donc, tu peux acheter 363.64 avec un stoploss a 0.2687
Avec un position size USD de 89.71$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 363.64 x 0.022 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 363.64 x 0.0062 = 2.25
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.25$
Résumé
- Taille de position 363.64
- Taille de position USD 89.71
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.25
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2818
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 2.26 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.92 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.35 $ | 1.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.9376 % | 21.73 % | 15 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2467 | 0.2687 | 0.2405 | 0.28 | 0.2095 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2467
- Stop Loss: 0.2687
- Take Profit: 0.2405
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2687 - 0.2467 = 0.022
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2467 - 0.2405 = 0.0062
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0062 / 0.022 = 0.2818
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -8.918%
(0.0220)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.199% | 0.0R | -1.938% | 0.2R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.539% | 0.1R | -1.938% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.001% | 0.1R | -1.938% | 0.2R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.504% | 0.2R | -1.938% | 0.2R | 0.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.291% | 0.4R | -1.938% | 0.2R | 1.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.291% | 0.4R | -1.938% | 0.2R | 1.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.291% | 0.4R | -2.424% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.688% | 0.8R | -2.424% | 0.3R | 2.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.688% | 0.8R | -2.424% | 0.3R | 2.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 409 min
MAE in 1329 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.