03 Nov 2026 at 16:15:11 hyperliquid

Short Trade on XTEN (momentum_rotation_score)

With 302.22 XTEN at 0.248$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.275 (10.66 %)

XTEN SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 03 Nov 2026 16:15 → 19:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.2485$

Qty 302.2232 XTEN

Size 75.1055$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 75.1$

SL 0.275 (-10.66%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR

Status win PnL +0.65% / +0.49$ MAE -0.61% MFE +1.72% 0.2R expires 03 Nov 19:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 243732)
#55 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 16:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1937

Quality Score
0.414
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#55 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.66 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#55 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.66 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 2.96×ATR
4h clear 2.18×ATR
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d — — OK
Décision V4
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.27
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 16:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

03/11 11:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

03/11 15:00

Score : +3 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7756
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

transition

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.60
Transition risk : 0.40
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 43.7%
Macro broad_risk_off
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→+0.048
Δ 4h
→+0.002
Δ 12h
▲+0.242
Δ 24h
▲+0.287

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 57.1%
1h 50.0%
4h 28.6%
24h 83.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 40.5% +0.01%
4h 28.6% -0.27%
24h 64.3% +1.89%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.40
Tail ↓
+0.35
Dispersion : 0.063
Universe : 42 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.76
Snapshot évalué : 03/11 16:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4139
Score SMA
0.4798
Rank
#55 / 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1937
Rank Norm SMA
0.4013
Calculé le
03/11/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3650 r1h: 1.202% · r4h: -1.272% · r1d: -1.58% · r3d: -11.55% · ema21_slope: 0.1181% · dist_ema21: 3.089%
Force Relative 25% 0.3707 rs_1h: 0.885% · rs_4h: -1.418% · rs_1d: -2.96% · rs_3d: -11.96% · beta_24h: -1.497
Volume 20% 0.1867 rvol_20: 0.32× · zscore_50: -0.280 · trend: -46.03%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7340 ADX: 28.1 (trend) · Chop: 35.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.8257 ATR%: 3.523% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.3057
Score SMA
0.4440
Rank
#56 / 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1468
Rank Norm SMA
0.3065
Calculé le
03/11/2026 15:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2614 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.740% · r1d: -3.49% · r3d: -11.95% · ema21_slope: -0.5903% · dist_ema21: -3.575%
Force Relative 25% 0.2734 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.641% · rs_1d: -4.15% · rs_3d: -12.02% · beta_24h: 6.427
Volume 20% 0.2669 rvol_20: 0.52× · zscore_50: 0.000 · trend: -1.88%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7037 ADX: 25.9 (trend) · Chop: 39.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.416% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -10.664% (0.0265)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.260% 0.1R -0.378% 0.0R 3.3× 12
2h +1.718% 0.2R -0.378% 0.0R 4.5× 24
3h ★ +1.718% 0.2R -0.608% 0.1R 2.8× 36
4h +1.964% 0.2R -0.608% 0.1R 3.2× 48
8h +3.992% 0.4R -0.608% 0.1R 6.6× 96
12h +3.992% 0.4R -0.608% 0.1R 6.6× 144
24h +3.992% 0.4R -1.682% 0.2R 2.4× 288
48h +7.364% 0.7R -1.682% 0.2R 4.4× 576
72h +7.364% 0.7R -1.682% 0.2R 4.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 349 min MAE in 1269 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.7
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d —
4h ↔ — — — — — — bear_high
39%
noisy_chop 45% mid — — — bear_high -2.69% -0.87 03/11 11:00
1h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bear_high
63%
noisy_chop 41% mid — — — range_medium +0.06% +0.41 03/11 15:00
15m ↑ up range range strong fading compression bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 34% early — — -0.05 range_low +0.63% -0.17 03/11 15:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d Pas de snapshot
4h
#496612
↔ — — — — — — bear_high
39%
noisy_chop 45% mid 3b -0.5ATR — — 0.52 43% ↑ +0.91 below_value -3.21 — #233342 — bear_high -2.69% -0.87
03/11 11:00
upd 03/11 15:17
1h anchor
#496905
↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate balanced 0.540 expansion_after_compression bear_high
63%
noisy_chop 41% mid 8b 0.7ATR — — 0.32 61% ↓ -0.50 below_value -3.25 — #233519 — range_medium +0.06% +0.41
03/11 15:00
upd 03/11 16:10
15m
#496845
↑ up range range strong fading 0.359 compression bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 34% early 3b 0.7ATR — — 1.34 61% ↔ +0.14 below_value -3.21 — #233342 -0.05 range_low +0.63% -0.17
03/11 15:45
upd 03/11 16:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
4h ↑ up mid 3b — 2.396×ATR p40 -0.482×ATR p64
1h ↑ up mid 8b — 3.306×ATR p68 +0.697×ATR p65
15m ↓ down early 3b — 0.265×ATR p3 +0.747×ATR p32

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.2749805
  2. atr: 0.0088235
  3. expires_at: 2026-11-04T00:15:11+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 57
  2. total: 61
  3. score: 0.3452
  4. confidence: 0.933

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2485 0.275 0.2094
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2485
  • Stop Loss: 0.275
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.275 - 0.2485 = 0.0265

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2485 - = 0.2485

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2485 / 0.0265 = 9.3774

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
75.1055 75.1055 302.2232 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0265

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0265 = 301.89

Taille de position USD = 301.89 x 0.2485 = 75.02

Donc, tu peux acheter 301.89 avec un stoploss a 0.275

Avec un position size USD de 75.02$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 301.89 x 0.0265 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 301.89 x 0.2485 = 75.02

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 75.02$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 301.89
  • Taille de position USD 75.02
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 75.02
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 9.3774

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 75.1 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
10.66 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
0.49 $ 0.65
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6076 % 5.7 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2485 0.275 0.2094
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2485
  • Stop Loss: 0.275
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.275 - 0.2485 = 0.0265

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2485 - = 0.2485

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2485 / 0.0265 = 9.3774

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -10.664% (0.0265)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.260% 0.1R -0.378% 0.0R 3.3× 12
2h +1.718% 0.2R -0.378% 0.0R 4.5× 24
3h ★ +1.718% 0.2R -0.608% 0.1R 2.8× 36
4h +1.964% 0.2R -0.608% 0.1R 3.2× 48
8h +3.992% 0.4R -0.608% 0.1R 6.6× 96
12h +3.992% 0.4R -0.608% 0.1R 6.6× 144
24h +3.992% 0.4R -1.682% 0.2R 2.4× 288
48h +7.364% 0.7R -1.682% 0.2R 4.4× 576
72h +7.364% 0.7R -1.682% 0.2R 4.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 349 min MAE in 1269 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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