Short Trade on CRV (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1127.33 CRV at 0.258$ per unit. Take profit: 0.252 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2656 (2.75 %)
03 Nov 2026 at 16:15:15
hyperliquid
CRV
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Nov 2026 16:15
→ 22:00
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.2585$
Qty 1127.3258 CRV
Size 291.3686$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.252 (+2.51%)
TP $ 7.33$
SL 0.2656 (-2.75%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.92
Status
win
PnL
+2.51%
/ +7.33$
MAE -2.62%
MFE +2.62%
1.0R
expires
03 Nov 22:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 243687)
#36 / 57
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 16:00
score du 03/11/2026 16:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1130
Quality Score
0.487
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#36 / 57
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#36 / 57
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -2.35×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.04×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.27
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
3.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 16:00
03/11 16:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 01/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 03/11 11:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/11 15:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7756
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
43.7%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→+0.048
Δ 4h
→+0.002
Δ 12h
▲+0.242
Δ 24h
▲+0.287
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 57.1% |
| 1h | 50.0% |
| 4h | 28.6% |
| 24h | 83.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 40.5% | +0.01% |
| 4h | 28.6% | -0.27% |
| 24h | 64.3% | +1.89% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.40
Tail ↓
+0.35
Dispersion :
0.063
Universe :
42
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.76
Snapshot évalué :
03/11 16:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2048
Score SMA
0.2744
Rank
#59
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0938
Rank Norm SMA
0.2102
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0746 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.89% · r3d: -8.19% · ema21_slope: -0.9664% · dist_ema21: -19.083% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1977 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.95% · rs_3d: -7.50% · beta_24h: 2.243 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1574 | rvol_20: 0.44× · zscore_50: -1.107 · trend: -26.60% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6765 | ADX: 21.2 (weak) · Chop: 37.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.617% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4874
Score SMA
0.4554
Rank
#36
/ 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1130
Rank Norm SMA
0.2224
Calculé le
03/11/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3108 | r1h: -1.127% · r4h: -1.840% · r1d: -2.16% · r3d: -8.57% · ema21_slope: -0.0801% · dist_ema21: -1.774% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2793 | rs_1h: -1.444% · rs_4h: -1.987% · rs_1d: -3.54% · rs_3d: -8.99% · beta_24h: 0.426 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6431 | rvol_20: 2.37× · zscore_50: 1.026 · trend: 6.69% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6381 | ADX: 33.7 (trend) · Chop: 55.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.156% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.3986
Score SMA
0.3994
Rank
#51
/ 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1335
Rank Norm SMA
0.1669
Calculé le
03/11/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2309 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.785% · r1d: -1.62% · r3d: -7.82% · ema21_slope: -0.5263% · dist_ema21: -4.822% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2736 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.686% · rs_1d: -2.29% · rs_3d: -7.89% · beta_24h: 1.726 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2211 | rvol_20: 0.76× · zscore_50: -0.318 · trend: -56.45% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7782 | ADX: 45.5 (trend) · Chop: 50.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.534% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.747%
(0.0071)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.615% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.615% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.259% | 0.8R | -2.615% | 1.0R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.615% | 1.0R | -2.615% | 1.0R | 1.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.615% | 1.0R | -2.615% | 1.0R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.615% | 1.0R | -3.017% | 1.1R | 0.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.615% | 1.0R | -9.091% | 3.3R | 0.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.619% | 1.7R | -9.091% | 3.3R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.619% | 1.7R | -9.091% | 3.3R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 344 min
MAE in 1104 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.78
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.64 | bear_high | -1.23% | -0.93 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | near -2.3ATR | — | 0.50 | bear_high | -2.69% | -0.66 | 03/11 11:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.44 | range_medium | +0.06% | -0.29 | 03/11 15:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_medium_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.54 | range_low | +0.63% | -0.21 | 03/11 15:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#489521
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.543 | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 11b -2.6ATR | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.44 | 47% | ↓ -0.37 | value | -6.60 | — | #230388 | 0.64 | bear_high | -1.23% | -0.93 |
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:18
|
|
4h
#496498
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.752 | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late 25b -2.3ATR | near -2.3ATR | — | 0.76 | 13% | ↔ +0.14 | value | -8.41 | inside | #233293 | 0.50 | bear_high | -2.69% | -0.66 |
03/11 11:00
upd 03/11 15:12
|
|
1h
anchor #496858
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.547 | expansion | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late 7b -1.7ATR | — | — | 2.37 | 78% | ↔ +0.07 | below_value | -8.67 | inside | #233473 | 0.44 | range_medium | +0.06% | -0.29 |
03/11 15:00
upd 03/11 16:08
|
|
15m
#496799
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.499 | expansion | bear_medium_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid 5b -1.5ATR | — | — | 2.38 | 93% | ↔ +0.14 | value | -8.41 | — | #233293 | 0.54 | range_low | +0.63% | -0.21 |
03/11 15:45
upd 03/11 16:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 11b | — | 5.682×ATR | p75 | -2.594×ATR | p96 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 25b | — | 4.581×ATR | p59 | -2.262×ATR | p94 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 2.484×ATR | p51 | -1.661×ATR | p86 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.487×ATR | p55 | -1.459×ATR | p77 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.26555644
- tp_price: 0.2519985
- atr: 0.00283857
- expires_at: 2026-11-04T03:15:15+00:00
Details
- rank: 58
- total: 61
- score: 0.3108
- delta_2h: -0.0637
- extension_atr: -1.53
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1197
- confidence: 0.95
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2585 | 0.2656 | 0.252 | 0.92 | 0.2009 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2585
- Stop Loss: 0.2656
- Take Profit: 0.252
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2656 - 0.2585 = 0.0071
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2585 - 0.252 = 0.0065
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0065 / 0.0071 = 0.9155
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 291.3686 | 100 | 1127.3258 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0071
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0071 = 1126.76
Taille de position USD = 1126.76 x 0.2585 = 291.27
Donc, tu peux acheter 1126.76 avec un stoploss a 0.2656
Avec un position size USD de 291.27$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1126.76 x 0.0071 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1126.76 x 0.0065 = 7.32
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.32$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1126.76
- Taille de position USD 291.27
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 7.32
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.9155
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 7.33 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.75 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 7.33 $ | 2.51 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.6151 % | 95.21 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2585 | 0.2656 | 0.252 | 0.92 | 0.2009 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2585
- Stop Loss: 0.2656
- Take Profit: 0.252
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2656 - 0.2585 = 0.0071
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2585 - 0.252 = 0.0065
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0065 / 0.0071 = 0.9155
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.747%
(0.0071)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.615% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.615% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.259% | 0.8R | -2.615% | 1.0R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.615% | 1.0R | -2.615% | 1.0R | 1.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.615% | 1.0R | -2.615% | 1.0R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.615% | 1.0R | -3.017% | 1.1R | 0.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.615% | 1.0R | -9.091% | 3.3R | 0.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.619% | 1.7R | -9.091% | 3.3R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.619% | 1.7R | -9.091% | 3.3R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 344 min
MAE in 1104 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.