Web3Way Logo

Long Trade on LIT

Previous Trade Next Trade
03 Nov 2026 at 17:15:06 hyperliquid

Long Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 40.64 LIT at 3.44$ per unit. Take profit: 3.5256 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 3.2428 (5.72 %)

LIT LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 03 Nov 2026 17:15 → 20:45 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 3.4396$

Qty 40.6416 LIT

Size 139.791$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 3.5256 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.5$

SL 3.2428 (-5.72%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.44

Status loss PnL -5.72% / -8$ MAE -9.54% MFE +0.14% 0.0R expires 03 Nov 23:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 243783)
#2 / 59
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9701

Quality Score
0.694
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#2 / 59
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#2 / 59
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.51×ATR
4h clear 3.01×ATR
1d clear 1.91×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
expanding
OK
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
OK
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.55
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
48.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 17:03
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

01/11 19:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

03/11 11:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

03/11 16:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7760
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

-2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical range

0.25

transition

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.60
Transition risk : 0.40
Score contribution (this trade) -3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 75.6%
Macro btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h bullish Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.320
Δ 4h
▲+0.291
Δ 12h
▲+0.221
Δ 24h
▲+0.469

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 29.3%
1h 85.4%
4h 80.5%
24h 80.5%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 29.3% -0.06%
4h 58.5% +0.55%
24h 56.1% +1.74%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
4.9%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
4.9%
Tail ↑
+0.53
Tail ↓
+0.32
Dispersion : 0.099
Universe : 41 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.76
Snapshot évalué : 03/11 17:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3865
Score SMA
0.3193
Rank
#15 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7813
Rank Norm SMA
0.4062
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3009 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.36% · r3d: 11.22% · ema21_slope: -0.8259% · dist_ema21: -3.766%
Force Relative 25% 0.6161 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.41% · rs_3d: 11.91% · beta_24h: 2.736
Volume 20% 0.3127 rvol_20: 0.98× · zscore_50: -0.400 · trend: -2.61%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5310 ADX: 13.6 (weak) · Chop: 48.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 11.541% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.6937
Score SMA
0.5454
Rank
#2 / 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9701
Rank Norm SMA
0.5359
Calculé le
03/11/2026 17:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7828 r1h: 2.400% · r4h: 0.891% · r1d: 11.77% · r3d: 9.09% · ema21_slope: 0.4462% · dist_ema21: 5.147%
Force Relative 25% 0.8071 rs_1h: 2.335% · rs_4h: 0.567% · rs_1d: 10.41% · rs_3d: 8.76% · beta_24h: 2.645
Volume 20% 0.3322 rvol_20: 0.67× · zscore_50: -0.036 · trend: 30.93%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7754 ADX: 33.0 (trend) · Chop: 31.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.413% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.6702
Score SMA
0.4626
Rank
#2 / 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9914
Rank Norm SMA
0.4740
Calculé le
03/11/2026 15:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6938 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.400% · r1d: 8.41% · r3d: 8.73% · ema21_slope: 0.2900% · dist_ema21: 6.658%
Force Relative 25% 0.6957 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.301% · rs_1d: 7.74% · rs_3d: 8.66% · beta_24h: 3.288
Volume 20% 0.7433 rvol_20: 2.24× · zscore_50: 1.395 · trend: 79.10%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5606 ADX: 23.1 (weak) · Chop: 54.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.5539 ATR%: 4.338% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.722% (0.1968)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.143% 0.0R -4.855% 0.9R 0.0× 12
2h +0.143% 0.0R -4.855% 0.9R 0.0× 24
4h +0.143% 0.0R -6.012% 1.1R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.143% 0.0R -9.539% 1.7R 0.0× 72
8h +0.143% 0.0R -9.539% 1.7R 0.0× 96
12h +0.143% 0.0R -9.539% 1.7R 0.0× 144
24h +3.977% 0.7R -9.539% 1.7R 0.4× 288
48h +3.977% 0.7R -9.539% 1.7R 0.4× 576
72h +3.977% 0.7R -9.539% 1.7R 0.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 1014 min MAE in 289 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.04
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced compression bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 35% early — — 0.42 bear_high -1.23% -0.03 01/11 19:00
4h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high_confirmed
70%
noisy_chop 41% mid — — 0.50 bear_high -2.69% +0.97 03/11 11:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 43% mid — near -0.5ATR 0.45 range_medium +0.12% +0.73 03/11 16:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate fading compression bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 40% late — near -1.5ATR 0.47 range_low +0.64% +0.21 03/11 16:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#489653
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced 0.503 compression bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 35% early 12b -0.3ATR — — 0.98 60% ↑ +0.18 above_value -0.44 — #230436 0.42 bear_high -1.23% -0.03
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:25
4h
#496588
 ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind 0.585 expansion bull_high_confirmed
70%
noisy_chop 41% mid 6b 1.6ATR — — 2.24 95% ↔ -0.08 above_value +2.74 — #233334 0.50 bear_high -2.69% +0.97
03/11 11:00
upd 03/11 15:16
1h anchor
#497197
 ↑ up range range moderate balanced 0.550 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 43% mid 1b 1.7ATR — near -0.5ATR 0.67 72% ↑ +0.85 above_value +3.51 — #233627 0.45 range_medium +0.12% +0.73
03/11 16:00
upd 03/11 17:11
15m
#497138
 ↑ up range range moderate fading 0.449 compression bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 40% late 7b 1.5ATR — near -1.5ATR 0.42 60% ↓ -0.48 value +2.66 — #233512 0.47 range_low +0.64% +0.21
03/11 16:45
upd 03/11 17:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 12b — 2.531×ATR p0 -0.328×ATR p17
4h ↑ up mid 6b — 2.312×ATR p19 +1.57×ATR p78
1h ↑ up mid 1b — 1.569×ATR p6 +1.735×ATR p78
15m ↑ up late 7b — 2.854×ATR p47 +1.479×ATR p81

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 3.24275752
  2. tp_price: 3.52559
  3. atr: 0.07873699
  4. expires_at: 2026-11-04T04:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 1
  2. total: 61
  3. score: 0.766
  4. delta_2h: 0.1712
  5. extension_atr: 1.98
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9701
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.4396 3.2428 3.5256 0.44 2.8444
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.4396
  • Stop Loss: 3.2428
  • Take Profit: 3.5256

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.2428 - 3.4396 = -0.1968

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.4396 - 3.5256 = -0.086

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.086 / -0.1968 = 0.437

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
139.791 100 40.6416 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.1968

Taille de position = 8 / -0.1968 = -40.65

Taille de position USD = -40.65 x 3.4396 = -139.82

Donc, tu peux acheter -40.65 avec un stoploss a 3.2428

Avec un position size USD de -139.82$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -40.65 x -0.1968 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -40.65 x -0.086 = 3.5

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.5$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -40.65
  • Taille de position USD -139.82
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.5
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.437

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.5 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.72 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -5.72
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-6.0123 % 105.08 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.4396 3.2428 3.5256 0.44 2.8444
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.4396
  • Stop Loss: 3.2428
  • Take Profit: 3.5256

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.2428 - 3.4396 = -0.1968

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.4396 - 3.5256 = -0.086

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.086 / -0.1968 = 0.437

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5256
            [entry_price] => 3.4396
            [stop_loss] => 3.22312
            [rr_ratio] => 0.4
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-04 02:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5256
            [entry_price] => 3.4396
            [stop_loss] => 3.20344
            [rr_ratio] => 0.36
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-04 02:55:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5256
            [entry_price] => 3.4396
            [stop_loss] => 3.18376
            [rr_ratio] => 0.34
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-04 03:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5256
            [entry_price] => 3.4396
            [stop_loss] => 3.1444
            [rr_ratio] => 0.29
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-04 03:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.722% (0.1968)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.143% 0.0R -4.855% 0.9R 0.0× 12
2h +0.143% 0.0R -4.855% 0.9R 0.0× 24
4h +0.143% 0.0R -6.012% 1.1R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.143% 0.0R -9.539% 1.7R 0.0× 72
8h +0.143% 0.0R -9.539% 1.7R 0.0× 96
12h +0.143% 0.0R -9.539% 1.7R 0.0× 144
24h +3.977% 0.7R -9.539% 1.7R 0.4× 288
48h +3.977% 0.7R -9.539% 1.7R 0.4× 576
72h +3.977% 0.7R -9.539% 1.7R 0.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 1014 min MAE in 289 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.