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Long Trade on PUMP

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03 Nov 2026 at 17:15:07 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 41686.21 PUMP at 0.00437$ per unit. Take profit: 0.004479 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.004178 (4.39 %)

PUMP LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 03 Nov 2026 17:15 → 21:25 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 0.00437$

Qty 41686.2071 PUMP

Size 182.1687$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.004479 (+2.49%)

TP $ 4.54$

SL 0.004178 (-4.39%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.57

Status loss PnL -4.39% / -8$ MAE -6.22% MFE +1.33% 0.3R expires 03 Nov 23:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 243773)
#3 / 59
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9266

Quality Score
0.686
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#3 / 59
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-7
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.39 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#3 / 59
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-7
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.39 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.50×ATR
4h near 0.34×ATR
1d clear 5.38×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down late OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
expanding
OK
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
OK
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.55
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
37.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 17:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

01/11 19:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2)

03/11 11:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

03/11 16:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7760
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

-2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical range

0.25

transition

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.60
Transition risk : 0.40
Score contribution (this trade) -3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 75.6%
Macro btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h bullish Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.320
Δ 4h
▲+0.291
Δ 12h
▲+0.221
Δ 24h
▲+0.469

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 29.3%
1h 85.4%
4h 80.5%
24h 80.5%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 29.3% -0.06%
4h 58.5% +0.55%
24h 56.1% +1.74%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
4.9%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
4.9%
Tail ↑
+0.53
Tail ↓
+0.32
Dispersion : 0.099
Universe : 41 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.76
Snapshot évalué : 03/11 17:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.1991
Score SMA
0.2729
Rank
#61 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0625
Rank Norm SMA
0.1914
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0998 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -5.25% · r3d: -4.75% · ema21_slope: -0.8409% · dist_ema21: -10.803%
Force Relative 25% 0.2913 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.31% · rs_3d: -4.06% · beta_24h: 3.002
Volume 20% 0.1430 rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.856 · trend: -52.43%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4514 ADX: 17.4 (weak) · Chop: 62.1 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 11.951% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.6862
Score SMA
0.5263
Rank
#3 / 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9266
Rank Norm SMA
0.5651
Calculé le
03/11/2026 17:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7927 r1h: 2.047% · r4h: 3.613% · r1d: 9.97% · r3d: 3.69% · ema21_slope: 0.3949% · dist_ema21: 4.976%
Force Relative 25% 0.7867 rs_1h: 1.981% · rs_4h: 3.288% · rs_1d: 8.61% · rs_3d: 3.36% · beta_24h: 2.267
Volume 20% 0.9471 rvol_20: 2.96× · zscore_50: 2.915 · trend: 68.95%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7993 ADX: 35.9 (trend) · Chop: 24.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.813% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.5415
Score SMA
0.4458
Rank
#9 / 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8504
Rank Norm SMA
0.3520
Calculé le
03/11/2026 15:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4964 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.047% · r1d: 8.82% · r3d: 1.21% · ema21_slope: -0.1258% · dist_ema21: 3.299%
Force Relative 25% 0.6312 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.052% · rs_1d: 8.15% · rs_3d: 1.14% · beta_24h: 3.570
Volume 20% 0.4027 rvol_20: 1.51× · zscore_50: -0.147 · trend: -11.95%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4633 ADX: 11.6 (weak) · Chop: 54.7 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.8472 ATR%: 3.458% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.394% (0.0002)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.236% 0.3R -0.732% 0.2R 1.7× 12
2h +1.327% 0.3R -2.311% 0.5R 0.6× 24
4h +1.327% 0.3R -4.119% 0.9R 0.3× 48
6h ★ +1.327% 0.3R -6.224% 1.4R 0.2× 72
8h +1.327% 0.3R -6.224% 1.4R 0.2× 96
12h +2.677% 0.6R -6.224% 1.4R 0.4× 144
24h +4.485% 1.0R -6.224% 1.4R 0.7× 288
48h +4.485% 1.0R -11.556% 2.6R 0.4× 576
72h +4.485% 1.0R -12.540% 2.9R 0.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 1019 min MAE in 334 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.66
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 40% late near -0.4ATR — 0.50 bear_high -1.23% -0.91 01/11 19:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind normal bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 35% early — near 0.3ATR 0.55 bear_high -2.69% +0.31 03/11 11:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high_confirmed
69%
choppy 48% late — — 0.75 range_medium +0.12% +0.72 03/11 16:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
63%
noisy_chop 41% late — — 0.74 range_low +0.64% +0.27 03/11 16:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#489632
 ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.521 compression bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 40% late 29b -1.1ATR near -0.4ATR — 0.47 58% ↓ -0.61 below_value -1.78 — #230427 0.50 bear_high -1.23% -0.91
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:24
4h
#496562
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.550 normal bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 35% early 6b 0.9ATR — near 0.3ATR 1.51 31% ↑ +0.40 above_value +0.61 — #233325 0.55 bear_high -2.69% +0.31
03/11 11:00
upd 03/11 15:15
1h anchor
#497187
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.610 expansion bull_high_confirmed
69%
choppy 48% late 7b 2.3ATR — — 2.96 95% ↑ +0.62 above_value +1.66 — #233617 0.75 range_medium +0.12% +0.72
03/11 16:00
upd 03/11 17:11
15m
#497128
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.589 expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
63%
noisy_chop 41% late 7b 2.3ATR — — 0.97 78% ↑ +0.59 above_value +0.49 — #233502 0.74 range_low +0.64% +0.27
03/11 16:45
upd 03/11 17:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 29b — 5.985×ATR p88 -1.131×ATR p72
4h ↑ up early 6b — 2.688×ATR p30 +0.947×ATR p48
1h ↑ up late 7b — 2.69×ATR p44 +2.339×ATR p96
15m ↑ up late 7b — 3.457×ATR p75 +2.282×ATR p89

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00417809
  2. tp_price: 0.00447925
  3. atr: 7.676E-5
  4. expires_at: 2026-11-04T04:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 3
  2. total: 61
  3. score: 0.7348
  4. delta_2h: 0.1055
  5. extension_atr: 2.19
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9223
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.00437 0.004178 0.004479 0.57 0.002863
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.00437
  • Stop Loss: 0.004178
  • Take Profit: 0.004479

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.004178 - 0.00437 = -0.000192

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.00437 - 0.004479 = -0.000109

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000109 / -0.000192 = 0.5677

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
182.1687 100 41686.2071 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.000192

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000192 = -41666.67

Taille de position USD = -41666.67 x 0.00437 = -182.08

Donc, tu peux acheter -41666.67 avec un stoploss a 0.004178

Avec un position size USD de -182.08$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -41666.67 x -0.000192 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -41666.67 x -0.000109 = 4.54

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.54$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -41666.67
  • Taille de position USD -182.08
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.54
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5677

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.49 % 4.54 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.39 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -4.39
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.8741 % 110.94 % 5
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.00437 0.004178 0.004479 0.57 0.002863
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.00437
  • Stop Loss: 0.004178
  • Take Profit: 0.004479

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.004178 - 0.00437 = -0.000192

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.00437 - 0.004479 = -0.000109

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000109 / -0.000192 = 0.5677

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.004479
            [entry_price] => 0.00437
            [stop_loss] => 0.0041588
            [rr_ratio] => 0.52
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-04 02:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.004479
            [entry_price] => 0.00437
            [stop_loss] => 0.0041396
            [rr_ratio] => 0.47
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-04 02:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.004479
            [entry_price] => 0.00437
            [stop_loss] => 0.0041204
            [rr_ratio] => 0.44
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-04 03:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.394% (0.0002)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.236% 0.3R -0.732% 0.2R 1.7× 12
2h +1.327% 0.3R -2.311% 0.5R 0.6× 24
4h +1.327% 0.3R -4.119% 0.9R 0.3× 48
6h ★ +1.327% 0.3R -6.224% 1.4R 0.2× 72
8h +1.327% 0.3R -6.224% 1.4R 0.2× 96
12h +2.677% 0.6R -6.224% 1.4R 0.4× 144
24h +4.485% 1.0R -6.224% 1.4R 0.7× 288
48h +4.485% 1.0R -11.556% 2.6R 0.4× 576
72h +4.485% 1.0R -12.540% 2.9R 0.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 1019 min MAE in 334 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.