03 Nov 2026 at 17:15:09 hyperliquid

Long Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 8.52 VVV at 22.707$ per unit. Take profit: 23.2747 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 21.768 (4.14 %)

VVV LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 03 Nov 2026 17:15 → 20:45 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 22.707$

Qty 8.5196 VVV

Size 193.455$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 23.2747 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.84$

SL 21.768 (-4.14%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.6

Status loss PnL -4.14% / -8$ MAE -5.97% MFE +0.84% 0.2R expires 03 Nov 23:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 243772)
#14 / 59
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7092

Quality Score
0.603
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#14 / 59
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-1
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-4
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.14 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#14 / 59
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-4
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.14 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.02×ATR
4h near 0.41×ATR
1d clear 2.45×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
expanding
OK
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
OK
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.55
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
10.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 17:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

01/11 19:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2)

03/11 11:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

03/11 16:00

Score : -1 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7760
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

-2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical range

0.25

transition

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.60
Transition risk : 0.40
Score contribution (this trade) -3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 75.6%
Macro btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h bullish Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.320
Δ 4h
▲+0.291
Δ 12h
▲+0.221
Δ 24h
▲+0.469

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 29.3%
1h 85.4%
4h 80.5%
24h 80.5%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 29.3% -0.06%
4h 58.5% +0.55%
24h 56.1% +1.74%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
4.9%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
4.9%
Tail ↑
+0.53
Tail ↓
+0.32
Dispersion : 0.099
Universe : 41 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.76
Snapshot évalué : 03/11 17:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2220
Score SMA
0.3316
Rank
#56 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1406
Rank Norm SMA
0.4039
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1967 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -6.81% · r3d: -5.90% · ema21_slope: -0.3596% · dist_ema21: -11.088%
Force Relative 25% 0.2638 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.87% · rs_3d: -5.21% · beta_24h: 2.149
Volume 20% 0.1249 rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -1.126 · trend: -55.47%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4805 ADX: 18.1 (weak) · Chop: 59.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 10.762% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.6029
Score SMA
0.4897
Rank
#14 / 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7092
Rank Norm SMA
0.3922
Calculé le
03/11/2026 17:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6392 r1h: 0.366% · r4h: 2.950% · r1d: 6.42% · r3d: -2.11% · ema21_slope: 0.2288% · dist_ema21: 3.167%
Force Relative 25% 0.6101 rs_1h: 0.301% · rs_4h: 2.625% · rs_1d: 5.06% · rs_3d: -2.44% · beta_24h: 1.800
Volume 20% 0.1749 rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.377 · trend: -51.74%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7220 ADX: 26.6 (trend) · Chop: 29.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.752% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.4954
Score SMA
0.4198
Rank
#21 / 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6744
Rank Norm SMA
0.2750
Calculé le
03/11/2026 15:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4580 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.257% · r1d: 6.04% · r3d: -1.70% · ema21_slope: -0.3150% · dist_ema21: 1.246%
Force Relative 25% 0.5222 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.356% · rs_1d: 5.38% · rs_3d: -1.77% · beta_24h: 3.312
Volume 20% 0.2595 rvol_20: 0.63× · zscore_50: -0.630 · trend: 9.93%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5752 ADX: 16.8 (weak) · Chop: 46.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.8928 ATR%: 3.322% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.135% (0.9390)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.643% 0.2R -0.427% 0.1R 1.5× 12
2h +0.841% 0.2R -1.326% 0.3R 0.6× 24
4h +0.841% 0.2R -4.329% 1.1R 0.2× 48
6h ★ +0.841% 0.2R -5.967% 1.4R 0.1× 72
8h +0.841% 0.2R -5.967% 1.4R 0.1× 96
12h +8.759% 2.1R -5.967% 1.4R 1.5× 144
24h +8.759% 2.1R -5.967% 1.4R 1.5× 288
48h +8.759% 2.1R -12.415% 3.0R 0.7× 576
72h +8.759% 2.1R -12.415% 3.0R 0.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 649 min MAE in 324 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.64
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range strong balanced compression range_high
40%
noisy_chop 40% mid near -1.5ATR — 0.39 bear_high -1.23% +0.15 01/11 19:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind normal bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 38% early near -0.1ATR near 0.4ATR 0.56 bear_high -2.69% +0.04 03/11 11:00
1h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 49% late — near 0.0ATR 0.58 range_medium +0.12% +0.37 03/11 16:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate fading compression bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 38% late — — 0.64 range_low +0.64% +0.19 03/11 16:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#489625
↔ neutral range range strong balanced 0.532 compression range_high
40%
noisy_chop 40% mid 11b -1.2ATR near -1.5ATR — 0.38 32% ↓ -0.47 below_value -14.73 — #230424 0.39 bear_high -1.23% +0.15
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:23
4h
#496556
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.378 normal bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 38% early 2b 0.4ATR near -0.1ATR near 0.4ATR 0.63 17% ↑ +0.47 above_value +1.10 — #233322 0.56 bear_high -2.69% +0.04
03/11 11:00
upd 03/11 15:14
1h anchor
#497185
↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.549 expansion bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 49% late 11b 1.4ATR — near 0.0ATR 0.27 35% ↔ -0.11 above_value -1.51 — #233615 0.58 range_medium +0.12% +0.37
03/11 16:00
upd 03/11 17:11
15m
#497126
↑ up range range moderate fading 0.454 compression bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 38% late 16b 1.3ATR — — 0.78 44% ↑ +0.34 above_value -1.93 — #233500 0.64 range_low +0.64% +0.19
03/11 16:45
upd 03/11 17:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 11b — 3.05×ATR p25 -1.222×ATR p66
4h ↑ up early 2b — 2.904×ATR p42 +0.407×ATR p26
1h ↑ up late 11b — 5.753×ATR p93 +1.44×ATR p70
15m ↑ up late 16b — 4.225×ATR p85 +1.271×ATR p53

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 21.7679907
  2. tp_price: 23.274675
  3. atr: 0.37560372
  4. expires_at: 2026-11-04T04:15:09+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 5
  2. total: 61
  3. score: 0.6636
  4. delta_2h: 0.0761
  5. extension_atr: 1.54
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7264
  9. confidence: 0.983

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
22.707 21.768 23.2747 0.6 20.003
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 22.707
  • Stop Loss: 21.768
  • Take Profit: 23.2747

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 21.768 - 22.707 = -0.939

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 22.707 - 23.2747 = -0.5677

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.5677 / -0.939 = 0.6046

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
193.455 100 8.5196 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.939

Taille de position = 8 / -0.939 = -8.52

Taille de position USD = -8.52 x 22.707 = -193.46

Donc, tu peux acheter -8.52 avec un stoploss a 21.768

Avec un position size USD de -193.46$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -8.52 x -0.939 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -8.52 x -0.5677 = 4.84

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.84$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -8.52
  • Taille de position USD -193.46
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.84
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6046

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 4.84 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.14 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -4.14
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.3291 % 104.69 % 5
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
22.707 21.768 23.2747 0.6 20.003
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 22.707
  • Stop Loss: 21.768
  • Take Profit: 23.2747

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 21.768 - 22.707 = -0.939

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 22.707 - 23.2747 = -0.5677

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.5677 / -0.939 = 0.6046

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 23.2747
            [entry_price] => 22.707
            [stop_loss] => 21.6741
            [rr_ratio] => 0.55
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-04 03:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 23.2747
            [entry_price] => 22.707
            [stop_loss] => 21.5802
            [rr_ratio] => 0.5
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-04 03:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 23.2747
            [entry_price] => 22.707
            [stop_loss] => 21.4863
            [rr_ratio] => 0.47
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-04 03:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.135% (0.9390)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.643% 0.2R -0.427% 0.1R 1.5× 12
2h +0.841% 0.2R -1.326% 0.3R 0.6× 24
4h +0.841% 0.2R -4.329% 1.1R 0.2× 48
6h ★ +0.841% 0.2R -5.967% 1.4R 0.1× 72
8h +0.841% 0.2R -5.967% 1.4R 0.1× 96
12h +8.759% 2.1R -5.967% 1.4R 1.5× 144
24h +8.759% 2.1R -5.967% 1.4R 1.5× 288
48h +8.759% 2.1R -12.415% 3.0R 0.7× 576
72h +8.759% 2.1R -12.415% 3.0R 0.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 649 min MAE in 324 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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