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Long Trade on PUMP

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03 Nov 2026 at 19:15:15 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 41281.8 PUMP at 0.00434$ per unit. Take profit: 0.004444 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.004142 (4.47 %)

PUMP LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 03 Nov 2026 19:15 → 21:30 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.004336$

Qty 41281.7999 PUMP

Size 178.9979$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.004444 (+2.49%)

TP $ 4.46$

SL 0.004142 (-4.47%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.56

Status loss PnL -4.47% / -8.01$ MAE -5.49% MFE +0.67% 0.2R expires 04 Nov 01:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 243894)
#1 / 58
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 19:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9445

Quality Score
0.724
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 58
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-7
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.47 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#1 / 58
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-7
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.47 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.20×ATR
4h near -0.07×ATR
1d clear 5.38×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down late OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
expanding
OK
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
OK
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.70
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
40.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 19:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

01/11 19:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2)

03/11 15:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

03/11 18:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7768
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

-2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical range

0.25

transition

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.57
Transition risk : 0.43
Score contribution (this trade) -3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 83.7%
Macro btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.195
Δ 4h
▲+0.449
Δ 12h
▲+0.076
Δ 24h
▲+0.317

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 51.2%
1h 65.9%
4h 90.2%
24h 85.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 48.8% +0.00%
4h 73.2% +0.70%
24h 70.7% +2.16%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
4.9%
Down ≥1σ
2.4%
Expansion
7.3%
Tail ↑
+0.46
Tail ↓
+0.22
Dispersion : 0.108
Universe : 41 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.74
Snapshot évalué : 03/11 19:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.1991
Score SMA
0.2729
Rank
#61 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0625
Rank Norm SMA
0.1914
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0998 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -5.25% · r3d: -4.75% · ema21_slope: -0.8409% · dist_ema21: -10.803%
Force Relative 25% 0.2913 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.31% · rs_3d: -4.06% · beta_24h: 3.002
Volume 20% 0.1430 rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.856 · trend: -52.43%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4514 ADX: 17.4 (weak) · Chop: 62.1 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 11.951% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.7244
Score SMA
0.5290
Rank
#1 / 58
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9445
Rank Norm SMA
0.5685
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6795 r1h: -1.344% · r4h: 1.405% · r1d: 9.01% · r3d: 3.00% · ema21_slope: 0.4054% · dist_ema21: 2.848%
Force Relative 25% 0.6287 rs_1h: -0.797% · rs_4h: 1.605% · rs_1d: 8.19% · rs_3d: 3.13% · beta_24h: 2.453
Volume 20% 0.5332 rvol_20: 1.41× · zscore_50: 0.846 · trend: 48.66%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8311 ADX: 39.7 (trend) · Chop: 36.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.860% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.6239
Score SMA
0.4501
Rank
#2 / 58
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9052
Rank Norm SMA
0.3688
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5269 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.405% · r1d: 9.01% · r3d: 3.00% · ema21_slope: -0.0895% · dist_ema21: 4.300%
Force Relative 25% 0.6841 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.605% · rs_1d: 8.19% · rs_3d: 3.13% · beta_24h: 3.326
Volume 20% 0.5467 rvol_20: 2.08× · zscore_50: 0.359 · trend: 2.55%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5322 ADX: 13.1 (weak) · Chop: 47.7 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.8377 ATR%: 3.487% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.474% (0.0002)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -2.606% 0.6R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -3.367% 0.8R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -5.489% 1.2R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.669% 0.2R -5.489% 1.2R 0.1× 72
8h +3.483% 0.8R -5.489% 1.2R 0.6× 96
12h +3.483% 0.8R -5.489% 1.2R 0.6× 144
24h +5.304% 1.2R -5.489% 1.2R 1.0× 288
48h +5.304% 1.2R -11.854% 2.7R 0.5× 576
72h +5.304% 1.2R -11.854% 2.7R 0.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 899 min MAE in 214 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.31
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 40% late near -0.4ATR — 0.50 bear_high -1.23% -0.91 01/11 19:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind normal bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 34% mid — near -0.1ATR 0.55 bear_high -2.83% +0.34 03/11 15:00
1h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high_confirmed
69%
noisy_chop 46% mid — — 0.76 range_medium -0.45% +0.73 03/11 18:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 46% early — — 0.74 range_low -0.01% +0.25 03/11 18:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#489632
 ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.521 compression bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 40% late 29b -1.1ATR near -0.4ATR — 0.47 58% ↓ -0.61 below_value -1.78 — #230427 0.50 bear_high -1.23% -0.91
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:24
4h
#497836
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.552 normal bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 34% mid 7b 1.2ATR — near -0.1ATR 2.08 46% ↑ +0.52 above_value +2.46 — #233853 0.55 bear_high -2.83% +0.34
03/11 15:00
upd 03/11 19:15
1h anchor
#497835
 ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind 0.610 expansion bull_high_confirmed
69%
noisy_chop 46% mid 9b 1.3ATR — — 1.41 75% ↑ +0.58 above_value +2.46 — #233853 0.76 range_medium -0.45% +0.73
03/11 18:00
upd 03/11 19:15
15m
#497732
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.615 compression bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 46% early 5b 0.7ATR — — 0.13 16% ↔ -0.06 value +1.57 — #233735 0.74 range_low -0.01% +0.25
03/11 18:45
upd 03/11 19:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 29b — 5.985×ATR p88 -1.131×ATR p72
4h ↑ up mid 7b — 3.026×ATR p45 +1.182×ATR p63
1h ↑ up mid 9b — 1.949×ATR p23 +1.317×ATR p73
15m ↑ up early 5b — 0.981×ATR p3 +0.735×ATR p31

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00414221
  2. tp_price: 0.0044444
  3. atr: 7.752E-5
  4. expires_at: 2026-11-04T06:15:15+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 2
  2. total: 61
  3. score: 0.8103
  4. delta_2h: 0.0176
  5. extension_atr: 1.4
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9445
  9. confidence: 0.983

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.004336 0.004142 0.004444 0.56 0.002919
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.004336
  • Stop Loss: 0.004142
  • Take Profit: 0.004444

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.004142 - 0.004336 = -0.000194

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.004336 - 0.004444 = -0.000108

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000108 / -0.000194 = 0.5567

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
178.9979 100 41281.7999 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.000194

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000194 = -41237.11

Taille de position USD = -41237.11 x 0.004336 = -178.8

Donc, tu peux acheter -41237.11 avec un stoploss a 0.004142

Avec un position size USD de -178.8$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -41237.11 x -0.000194 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -41237.11 x -0.000108 = 4.45

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.45$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -41237.11
  • Taille de position USD -178.8
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.45
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5567

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.49 % 4.46 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.47 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-8.01 $ -4.47
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.8893 % 109.28 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.004336 0.004142 0.004444 0.56 0.002919
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.004336
  • Stop Loss: 0.004142
  • Take Profit: 0.004444

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.004142 - 0.004336 = -0.000194

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.004336 - 0.004444 = -0.000108

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000108 / -0.000194 = 0.5567

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.004444
            [entry_price] => 0.004336
            [stop_loss] => 0.0041226
            [rr_ratio] => 0.51
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-04 03:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.004444
            [entry_price] => 0.004336
            [stop_loss] => 0.0041032
            [rr_ratio] => 0.46
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-04 03:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.474% (0.0002)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -2.606% 0.6R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -3.367% 0.8R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -5.489% 1.2R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.669% 0.2R -5.489% 1.2R 0.1× 72
8h +3.483% 0.8R -5.489% 1.2R 0.6× 96
12h +3.483% 0.8R -5.489% 1.2R 0.6× 144
24h +5.304% 1.2R -5.489% 1.2R 1.0× 288
48h +5.304% 1.2R -11.854% 2.7R 0.5× 576
72h +5.304% 1.2R -11.854% 2.7R 0.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 899 min MAE in 214 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.