Long Trade on RUNE (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 140.5 RUNE at 0.624$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7667 (22.81 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5674 (9.11 %)
03 Nov 2026 at 19:35:24
hyperliquid
RUNE
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
03 Nov 2026 19:35
→ 07:30
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.6243$
Qty 140.4965 RUNE
Size 87.719$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.7667 (+22.81%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.5674 (-9.11%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+1.54%
/ +1.35$
MAE -1.36%
MFE +2.56%
0.3R
expires
04 Nov 07:35
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 243873)
#6 / 58
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 19:00
score du 03/11/2026 19:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9318
Quality Score
0.648
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#6 / 58
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
65 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.11 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#6 / 58
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
65 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.11 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.73×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.96×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.38×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
20.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 19:30
03/11 19:30
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 02/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 03/11 15:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 03/11 18:00 Score : +4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7770
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.57
Transition risk :
0.43
Score contribution (this trade)
-3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
65.1%
Macro
btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
contracting
Δ 15m
→-0.008
Δ 1h
▼-0.154
Δ 4h
▲+0.167
Δ 12h
▼-0.081
Δ 24h
▲+0.054
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 31.0% |
| 1h | 78.6% |
| 4h | 45.2% |
| 24h | 83.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 33.3% | -0.27% |
| 4h | 83.3% | -0.04% |
| 24h | 76.2% | +1.71% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
2.4%
Expansion
2.4%
Tail ↑
+0.36
Tail ↓
+0.38
Dispersion :
0.065
Universe :
42
(+1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.74
Snapshot évalué :
03/11 19:31
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.5654
Score SMA
0.4720
Rank
#2
/ 58
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9825
Rank Norm SMA
0.7993
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3894 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 13.15% · r3d: 0.28% · ema21_slope: -0.4690% · dist_ema21: 0.149% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6150 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 12.33% · rs_3d: 0.41% · beta_24h: 0.927 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 10.77× · zscore_50: 6.519 · trend: 396.70% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6320 | ADX: 15.8 (weak) · Chop: 37.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.560% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.6479
Score SMA
0.5404
Rank
#6
/ 58
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9318
Rank Norm SMA
0.5730
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6689 | r1h: -0.353% · r4h: -1.400% · r1d: 13.15% · r3d: 0.28% · ema21_slope: 0.6653% · dist_ema21: 3.708% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6115 | rs_1h: 0.194% · rs_4h: -1.200% · rs_1d: 12.33% · rs_3d: 0.41% · beta_24h: 0.101 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3067 | rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -0.327 · trend: 46.40% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8124 | ADX: 41.6 (trend) · Chop: 42.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7473 | ATR%: 3.758% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.5547
Score SMA
0.5270
Rank
#9
/ 58
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8879
Rank Norm SMA
0.6478
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3249 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.400% · r1d: 13.15% · r3d: 0.28% · ema21_slope: -0.3825% · dist_ema21: 5.525% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6326 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.200% · rs_1d: 12.33% · rs_3d: 0.41% · beta_24h: 0.130 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 3.65× · zscore_50: 3.121 · trend: 318.13% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6613 | ADX: 19.4 (weak) · Chop: 36.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0498 | ATR%: 5.851% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -9.114%
(0.0569)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.200% | 0.1R | -0.582% | 0.1R | 2.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.911% | 0.2R | -0.689% | 0.1R | 2.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.911% | 0.2R | -1.360% | 0.2R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.565% | 0.3R | -1.360% | 0.2R | 1.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.565% | 0.3R | -1.360% | 0.2R | 1.9× | 143 |
| 24h | +4.179% | 0.5R | -1.360% | 0.2R | 3.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +8.094% | 0.9R | -1.360% | 0.2R | 6.0× | 432 |
| 48h | +8.094% | 0.9R | -5.196% | 0.6R | 1.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.094% | 0.9R | -7.240% | 0.8R | 1.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1544 min
MAE in 159 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.08
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | 0.65 | range_high | -0.41% | +0.38 | 02/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | volatile_reversal | range_high |
25%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.48 | bear_high | -2.83% | -0.87 | 03/11 15:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.32 | range_medium | -0.45% | +0.84 | 03/11 18:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | near -1.4ATR | — | 0.08 | range_low | -0.31% | +0.12 | 03/11 19:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#497910
|
↑ up | range | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.823 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early 1b 0.0ATR | — | — | 10.77 | 100% | ↑ +0.93 | above_value | -0.28 | — | #233831 | 0.65 | range_high | -0.41% | +0.38 |
02/11 19:00
upd 03/11 19:19
|
|
4h
#497792
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | 0.695 | volatile_reversal | range_high |
25%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early 10b 0.8ATR | — | — | 3.65 | 99% | ↑ +0.88 | above_value | -0.28 | — | #233831 | 0.48 | bear_high | -2.83% | -0.87 |
03/11 15:00
upd 03/11 19:13
|
|
1h
anchor #497791
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.727 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early 4b 0.8ATR | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.23 | 85% | ↑ +0.67 | above_value | -0.28 | — | #233831 | 0.32 | range_medium | -0.45% | +0.84 |
03/11 18:00
upd 03/11 19:13
|
|
15m
#498013
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.431 | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early 4b -0.8ATR | near -1.4ATR | — | 0.48 | 74% | ↓ -0.75 | above_value | -0.28 | — | #233831 | 0.08 | range_low | -0.31% | +0.12 |
03/11 19:15
upd 03/11 19:31
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 2.276×ATR | p0 | +0.015×ATR | p2 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 3.719×ATR | p39 | +0.829×ATR | p41 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 0.875×ATR | p2 | +0.806×ATR | p52 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.358×ATR | p3 | -0.803×ATR | p56 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.6486
- reason: up_bo width=2.51×ATR dur=32b phase=extending
- stop_price: 0.56740908
- tp_price: 0.7667023
- atr:
- score: 0.6486382865496
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-11-04T12:35:16.568739
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.6486382865496
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.1686
- obi_top10 : -0.0749
- micro_price : 0.62465393
- spread_pct : 0.080077
- mid_price : 0.62465
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.631
- ask_wall_size : 33422.64
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.1001
- obi_top5_std : 0.062
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7174
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.59884
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.540615
- balance_zone_mid:
0.5697275
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793638800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793750400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.5114
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
32
- balance_zone_quality: drifting
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.6486
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793714400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.59884
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6562
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
10
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.1003
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
2
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
3
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.02318421 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
32
inside_close_ratio
0.6562
bars_since_breakout
10
distance_to_edge_atr
1.1003
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:35 | 0.62435000 | +0.008% |
| 2 | 19:42 | 0.62435000 | +0.008% |
| 3 | 19:49 | 0.62435000 | +0.008% |
| 4 | 19:55 | 0.62435000 | +0.008% |
| 5 | 20:03 | 0.62435000 | +0.008% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7174ms
Confidence avant OB :
65%
→
65%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.169
avg -0.100
± 0.062
OBI Top 10
-0.075
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.6247
Micro Price
0.6247
Spread
0.0801%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.6310
Size
33,422.64
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6243 | 0.5674 | 0.7667 | 2.5 | 0.5129 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6243
- Stop Loss: 0.5674
- Take Profit: 0.7667
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5674 - 0.6243 = -0.0569
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6243 - 0.7667 = -0.1424
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1424 / -0.0569 = 2.5026
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87.719 | 87.719 | 140.4965 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0569
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0569 = -140.6
Taille de position USD = -140.6 x 0.6243 = -87.78
Donc, tu peux acheter -140.6 avec un stoploss a 0.5674
Avec un position size USD de -87.78$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -140.6 x -0.0569 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -140.6 x -0.1424 = 20.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.02$
Résumé
- Taille de position -140.6
- Taille de position USD -87.78
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.02
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5026
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 22.81 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.11 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.35 $ | 1.54 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3599 % | 14.92 % | 24 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6243 | 0.5674 | 0.7667 | 2.5 | 0.5129 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6243
- Stop Loss: 0.5674
- Take Profit: 0.7667
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5674 - 0.6243 = -0.0569
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6243 - 0.7667 = -0.1424
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1424 / -0.0569 = 2.5026
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -9.114%
(0.0569)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.200% | 0.1R | -0.582% | 0.1R | 2.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.911% | 0.2R | -0.689% | 0.1R | 2.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.911% | 0.2R | -1.360% | 0.2R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.565% | 0.3R | -1.360% | 0.2R | 1.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.565% | 0.3R | -1.360% | 0.2R | 1.9× | 143 |
| 24h | +4.179% | 0.5R | -1.360% | 0.2R | 3.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +8.094% | 0.9R | -1.360% | 0.2R | 6.0× | 432 |
| 48h | +8.094% | 0.9R | -5.196% | 0.6R | 1.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.094% | 0.9R | -7.240% | 0.8R | 1.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1544 min
MAE in 159 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.