Short Trade on HYPE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 5.16 HYPE at 55.288$ per unit. Take profit: 53.9058 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 56.8385 (2.8 %)
28 Jul 2026 at 04:10:05
hyperliquid
HYPE
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
28 Jul 2026 04:10
→ 04:15
· 4 minutes
Position
Entry 55.288$
Qty 5.1598 HYPE
Size 285.2732$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 53.9058 (+2.5%)
TP $ 7.13$
SL 56.8385 (-2.8%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.89
Status
win
PnL
+0.27%
/ +0.78$
MAE -0.02%
MFE +1.82%
0.7R
expires
28 Jul 04:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=44 <= threshold=47/57
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 50737)
#44 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/07/2026 04:00
score du 28/07/2026 04:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5119
Quality Score
0.454
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#44 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#44 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -2.73×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
362.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/07 04:01
28/07 04:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 28/07 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/07 03:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1112
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.59
Snapshot évalué :
28/07 04:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
28/07/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4535
Score SMA
0.5428
Rank
#44
/ 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5119
Rank Norm SMA
0.5399
Calculé le
28/07/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2712 | r1h: -0.691% · r4h: -1.911% · r1d: -8.11% · r3d: -3.56% · ema21_slope: -0.2668% · dist_ema21: -2.939% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3465 | rs_1h: -0.436% · rs_4h: -2.131% · rs_1d: -5.45% · rs_3d: -2.74% · beta_24h: 0.856 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2490 | rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.564 · trend: 14.97% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9049 | ADX: 56.6 (trend) · Chop: 46.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.202% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -2.804%
(1.5505)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.441% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.680% | 0.2R | -0.016% | 0.0R | 41.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.820% | 0.7R | -0.016% | 0.0R | 111.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.330% | 0.8R | -0.528% | 0.2R | 4.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.330% | 0.8R | -0.930% | 0.3R | 2.5× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.02
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
47%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near -2.7ATR | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -6.29% | -0.98 | 27/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.63 | bear_high | -1.31% | -0.28 | 28/07 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
49%
|
choppy 47% | mid | — | — | 0.48 | bear_medium | -1.73% | -0.52 | 28/07 03:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | bear_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | 0.61 | bear_low | -1.10% | -0.18 | 28/07 03:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 21b | — | 5.356×ATR | p76 | -1.087×ATR | p84 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 4.551×ATR | p72 | -1.827×ATR | p97 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 12b | — | 3.321×ATR | p78 | -1.109×ATR | p83 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.1×ATR | p22 | -0.91×ATR | p72 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 56.8384574
- tp_price: 53.9058
- atr: 0.62018296
- expires_at: 2026-07-28T14:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 54
- total: 58
- score: 0.2712
- delta_2h: -0.0398
- extension_atr: -2.07
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.5119
- confidence: 0.93
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55.288 | 56.8385 | 53.9058 | 0.89 | 67.799 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 55.288
- Stop Loss: 56.8385
- Take Profit: 53.9058
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 56.8385 - 55.288 = 1.5505
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 55.288 - 53.9058 = 1.3822
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.3822 / 1.5505 = 0.8915
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 285.2732 | 100 | 5.1598 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 1.5505
Taille de position = 8 / 1.5505 = 5.16
Taille de position USD = 5.16 x 55.288 = 285.29
Donc, tu peux acheter 5.16 avec un stoploss a 56.8385
Avec un position size USD de 285.29$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 5.16 x 1.5505 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 5.16 x 1.3822 = 7.13
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.13$
Résumé
- Taille de position 5.16
- Taille de position USD 285.29
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 7.13
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8915
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 7.13 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.8 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.78 $ | 0.27 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55.288 | 56.8385 | 53.9058 | 0.89 | 67.799 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 55.288
- Stop Loss: 56.8385
- Take Profit: 53.9058
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 56.8385 - 55.288 = 1.5505
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 55.288 - 53.9058 = 1.3822
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.3822 / 1.5505 = 0.8915
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -2.804%
(1.5505)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.441% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.680% | 0.2R | -0.016% | 0.0R | 41.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.820% | 0.7R | -0.016% | 0.0R | 111.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.330% | 0.8R | -0.528% | 0.2R | 4.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.330% | 0.8R | -0.930% | 0.3R | 2.5× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.