Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2090.77 NIL at 0.0362$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03534 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04007 (10.54 %)
Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2090.77 NIL at 0.0362$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03534 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04007 (10.54 %)
Position
Entry 0.03625$
Qty 2090.7654 NIL
Size 75.7861$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.03534 (+2.51%)
TP $ 1.9$
SL 0.04007 (-10.54%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.24
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0804
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.10×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.02×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.04×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 28/07 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/07 04:00 Score : +2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3322 | r1h: -1.116% · r4h: -0.680% · r1d: -13.59% · r3d: 6.86% · ema21_slope: -0.4888% · dist_ema21: -6.013% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3719 | rs_1h: -1.108% · rs_4h: -0.906% · rs_1d: -11.04% · rs_3d: 7.43% · beta_24h: 2.215 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1544 | rvol_20: 0.15× · zscore_50: -0.684 · trend: -69.81% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6390 | ADX: 27.2 (trend) · Chop: 49.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5316 | ATR%: 4.405% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.182% | 0.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.182% | 0.2R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.223% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.112% | 0.1R | -4.223% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.130% | 0.2R | -4.223% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.106% | 0.3R | -4.223% | 0.4R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.37 | bear_high | -6.29% | +0.64 | 27/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.50 | bear_high | -1.40% | +0.70 | 28/07 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.21 | bear_medium | -1.67% | -0.93 | 28/07 04:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | — | bear_low | -0.96% | -0.09 | 28/07 04:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 3.125×ATR | p27 | +0.238×ATR | p27 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 4.773×ATR | p81 | -0.451×ATR | p56 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 11b | — | 4.612×ATR | p87 | -0.787×ATR | p70 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 3.215×ATR | p54 | -0.899×ATR | p68 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03625 | 0.04007 | 0.03534 | 0.24 | 0.0501 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04007 - 0.03625 = 0.00382
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03625 - 0.03534 = 0.00090999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00090999999999999 / 0.00382 = 0.2382
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75.7861 | 75.7861 | 2090.7654 | 1.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00382 = 2094.24
Taille de position USD = 2094.24 x 0.03625 = 75.92
Donc, tu peux acheter 2094.24 avec un stoploss a 0.04007
Avec un position size USD de 75.92$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2094.24 x 0.00382 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2094.24 x 0.00090999999999999 = 1.91
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 1.91$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 1.9 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 10.54 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.45 $ | 0.59 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.2234 % | 40.08 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03625 | 0.04007 | 0.03534 | 0.24 | 0.0501 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04007 - 0.03625 = 0.00382
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03625 - 0.03534 = 0.00090999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00090999999999999 / 0.00382 = 0.2382
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.182% | 0.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.182% | 0.2R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.223% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.112% | 0.1R | -4.223% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.130% | 0.2R | -4.223% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.106% | 0.3R | -4.223% | 0.4R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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