Short Trade on DOT (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 499.56 DOT at 0.759$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7403 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7753 (2.11 %)
Short Trade on DOT (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 499.56 DOT at 0.759$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7403 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7753 (2.11 %)
Position
Entry 0.7593$
Qty 499.5638 DOT
Size 379.3288$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.7403 (+2.5%)
TP $ 9.49$
SL 0.7753 (-2.11%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 1.19
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3702
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/07 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/07 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3389 | r1h: 0.293% · r4h: -0.273% · r1d: -6.00% · r3d: -6.28% · ema21_slope: -0.2932% · dist_ema21: -2.010% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4116 | rs_1h: 0.301% · rs_4h: -0.499% · rs_1d: -3.44% · rs_3d: -5.70% · beta_24h: 2.098 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2230 | rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -0.172 · trend: -24.18% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8579 | ADX: 43.0 (trend) · Chop: 28.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.894% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.719% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.719% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.285% | 0.1R | -0.719% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.342% | 0.6R | -0.719% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.342% | 0.6R | -1.125% | 0.5R | 1.2× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late_trend | bear_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | — | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -6.29% | -0.72 | 27/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.78 | bear_high | -1.40% | -0.52 | 28/07 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 49% | early | — | — | 0.65 | bear_medium | -1.67% | -0.35 | 28/07 04:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_low |
47%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.67 | bear_low | -0.96% | -0.03 | 28/07 04:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 43b | — | 7.366×ATR | p88 | -1.05×ATR | p82 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 5.789×ATR | p90 | -1.526×ATR | p96 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.73×ATR | p14 | -0.535×ATR | p48 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.185×ATR | p0 | -0.245×ATR | p26 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7593 | 0.7753 | 0.7403 | 1.19 | 0.7337 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7753 - 0.7593 = 0.016
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7593 - 0.7403 = 0.019
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.019 / 0.016 = 1.1875
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 379.3288 | 100 | 499.5638 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.016 = 500
Taille de position USD = 500 x 0.7593 = 379.65
Donc, tu peux acheter 500 avec un stoploss a 0.7753
Avec un position size USD de 379.65$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 500 x 0.016 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 500 x 0.019 = 9.5
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 9.5$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 9.49 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.11 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.8 $ | -0.21 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.212 % | 10.06 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7593 | 0.7753 | 0.7403 | 1.19 | 0.7337 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7753 - 0.7593 = 0.016
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7593 - 0.7403 = 0.019
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.019 / 0.016 = 1.1875
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.719% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.719% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.285% | 0.1R | -0.719% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.342% | 0.6R | -0.719% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.342% | 0.6R | -1.125% | 0.5R | 1.2× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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