Short Trade on XMR (BosPullback)
With 2.28 XMR at 341.4$ per unit. Take profit: 332.6119 (2.57 %) & Stop Loss: 344.9152 (1.03 %)
Short Trade on XMR (BosPullback)
With 2.28 XMR at 341.4$ per unit. Take profit: 332.6119 (2.57 %) & Stop Loss: 344.9152 (1.03 %)
Position
Entry 341.4$
Qty 2.2758 XMR
Size 776.9593$ (margin 100$) (leverage 8)
Risk Setup
TP 332.6119 (+2.57%)
TP $ 20$
SL 344.9152 (-1.03%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2545
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.13×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.14×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 28/07 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 28/07 06:00 Score : +4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3997 | r1h: -0.561% · r4h: 0.290% · r1d: -2.61% · r3d: -6.61% · ema21_slope: -0.1301% · dist_ema21: -0.734% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4324 | rs_1h: -0.758% · rs_4h: 0.482% · rs_1d: 0.15% · rs_3d: -5.75% · beta_24h: 0.544 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4204 | rvol_20: 1.52× · zscore_50: 0.234 · trend: -19.13% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6500 | ADX: 31.8 (trend) · Chop: 52.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.703% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.674% | 0.7R | -0.352% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.709% | 0.7R | -0.352% | 0.3R | 2.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.573% | 1.5R | -0.352% | 0.3R | 4.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.907% | 1.9R | -0.352% | 0.3R | 5.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.907% | 1.9R | -0.352% | 0.3R | 5.4× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -6.29% | +0.43 | 27/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
35%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.36 | bear_high | -1.65% | -0.58 | 28/07 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.31 | bear_medium | -1.57% | +0.04 | 28/07 06:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_low |
31%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.33 | range_low | -0.75% | +0.00 | 28/07 06:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 33b | — | 3.073×ATR | p6 | -0.583×ATR | p71 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 19b | — | 5.32×ATR | p87 | -0.68×ATR | p70 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.001×ATR | p2 | -0.234×ATR | p22 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -0.004×ATR | p1 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
344.7
148
0.2218
0.4873
0.4125
0.2619
0.5358
0.4079
0.6395
0.4969
0.2522
0.0839
0.5807
0.0594
-0.1294
-0.144
0
-1.0387
-3.272
0.35
0.65
-1
8
1
0.4763
0.3609
3.7468
0.5
0.4079
1.5283
-3.272
0.728
0.2481
0.12
-0.2821
0.4856
0.478
0.8837
0.0594
-13.4291
0.8479
1
1
1
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-24 02:00:00
[price] => 353.21
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-24 08:00:00
[price] => 361.13
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-24 11:00:00
[price] => 351.3
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-24 20:00:00
[price] => 367.48
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-24 21:00:00
[price] => 362.03
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-25 05:00:00
[price] => 372.54
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-25 07:00:00
[price] => 364.19
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-25 08:00:00
[price] => 371.87
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-25 11:00:00
[price] => 364
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-25 14:00:00
[price] => 370.43
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-25 18:00:00
[price] => 362.5
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-26 02:00:00
[price] => 370.07
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-26 08:00:00
[price] => 360.6
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-26 10:00:00
[price] => 365.93
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-27 07:00:00
[price] => 347.43
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-27 11:00:00
[price] => 353.98
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-27 16:00:00
[price] => 343.03
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-27 20:00:00
[price] => 350.97
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-28 02:00:00
[price] => 340.38
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-28 09:00:00
[price] => 344.7
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-27 10:30:00
[price] => 353.2
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-27 10:45:00
[price] => 351
[kind] => low
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-27 11:30:00
[price] => 353.98
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-27 13:30:00
[price] => 348.82
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-27 13:45:00
[price] => 351.23
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-27 16:15:00
[price] => 343.03
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-27 17:45:00
[price] => 350.55
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-27 18:15:00
[price] => 346.73
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-27 20:00:00
[price] => 350.97
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-27 21:15:00
[price] => 347.51
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-27 21:45:00
[price] => 349.72
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-27 22:45:00
[price] => 346.47
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-27 23:30:00
[price] => 348.69
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-28 02:00:00
[price] => 340.38
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-28 05:00:00
[price] => 342.79
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-28 08:00:00
[price] => 340.78
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-28 09:15:00
[price] => 344.44
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-07-28 09:30:00
[price] => 342.47
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
340.38
344.7
344.7
340.38
341.97
340.38
341.175
0.6511
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 341.4 | 344.9152 | 332.6119 | 2.5 | 496.14 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 344.9152 - 341.4 = 3.5152
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 341.4 - 332.6119 = 8.7881
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 8.7881 / 3.5152 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 776.9593 | 100 | 2.2758 | 8.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 3.5152 = 2.28
Taille de position USD = 2.28 x 341.4 = 778.39
Donc, tu peux acheter 2.28 avec un stoploss a 344.9152
Avec un position size USD de 778.39$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2.28 x 3.5152 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2.28 x 8.7881 = 20.04
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.04$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.57 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.03 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.03 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0545 % | 102.42 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 341.4 | 344.9152 | 332.6119 | 2.5 | 496.14 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 344.9152 - 341.4 = 3.5152
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 341.4 - 332.6119 = 8.7881
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 8.7881 / 3.5152 = 2.5
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.674% | 0.7R | -0.352% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.709% | 0.7R | -0.352% | 0.3R | 2.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.573% | 1.5R | -0.352% | 0.3R | 4.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.907% | 1.9R | -0.352% | 0.3R | 5.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.907% | 1.9R | -0.352% | 0.3R | 5.4× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Aucun commentaire.