Short Trade on BNB (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 0.98 BNB at 565.85$ per unit. Take profit: 545.4379 (3.61 %) & Stop Loss: 574.0148 (1.44 %)
28 Jul 2026 at 07:38:54
hyperliquid
BNB
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
28 Jul 2026 07:38
→ 11:20
· 3 hours
Position
Entry 565.85$
Qty 0.9798 BNB
Size 554.4271$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 545.4379 (+3.61%)
TP $ 20$
SL 574.0148 (-1.44%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.44%
/ -8$
MAE -1.70%
MFE +0.43%
0.3R
expires
28 Jul 19:38
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 50873)
#12 / 57
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 28/07/2026 07:00
score du 28/07/2026 07:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8120
Quality Score
0.526
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#12 / 57
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.44 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#12 / 57
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.44 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.07×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.63×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
5.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/07 07:30
28/07 07:30
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/07 04:00 Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 28/07 07:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
28/07/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.5258
Score SMA
0.5525
Rank
#12
/ 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8120
Rank Norm SMA
0.6905
Calculé le
28/07/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4785 | r1h: 0.134% · r4h: 0.214% · r1d: -1.24% · r3d: 0.18% · ema21_slope: -0.0696% · dist_ema21: -0.237% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5335 | rs_1h: -0.063% · rs_4h: 0.406% · rs_1d: 1.52% · rs_3d: 1.03% · beta_24h: 0.824 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1974 | rvol_20: 0.29× · zscore_50: -0.484 · trend: -27.71% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7294 | ADX: 29.2 (trend) · Chop: 39.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.397% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.443%
(8.1648)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.060% | 0.0R | -0.269% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.288% | 0.2R | -0.534% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.428% | 0.3R | -1.704% | 1.2R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.428% | 0.3R | -1.704% | 1.2R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.428% | 0.3R | -1.704% | 1.2R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.428% | 0.3R | -1.704% | 1.2R | 0.3× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.65
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.78 | bear_high | -6.29% | -0.24 | 27/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.86 | bear_high | -1.49% | +0.10 | 28/07 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | compression | range_low |
45%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.81 | bear_medium | -1.78% | +0.13 | 28/07 07:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | range_low |
42%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.81 | bear_low | -0.84% | +0.04 | 28/07 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 23b | — | 2.311×ATR | p0 | -0.434×ATR | p51 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.322×ATR | p4 | -0.64×ATR | p61 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 1.557×ATR | p6 | -0.179×ATR | p22 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 0.517×ATR | p0 | -0.079×ATR | p7 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7945
- reason: down_bo width=2.51×ATR dur=47b phase=extending
- stop_price: 574.01482478
- tp_price: 545.43793806
- atr:
- score: 0.79446846768559
- expires_at: 2026-07-28T23:38:46.701182
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.79446846768559
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0839
- obi_top10 : 0.0839
- micro_price : 566.23381818
- spread_pct : 0.001766
- mid_price : 566.235
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 567
- ask_wall_size : 3963.562
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0786
- obi_top5_std : 0.011
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6985
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
576.555
- balance_zone_bottom:
571.035
- balance_zone_mid:
573.795
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785070800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785236400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.5111
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
47
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7945
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785189600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
571.035
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6596
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
13
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
2.3587
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 2.19824778 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
47
inside_close_ratio
0.6596
bars_since_breakout
13
distance_to_edge_atr
2.3587
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:38 | 565.85000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 07:44 | 565.85000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 07:50 | 565.96000000 | +0.019% |
| 4 | 07:56 | 565.96000000 | +0.019% |
| 5 | 08:03 | 565.96000000 | +0.019% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6985ms
Confidence avant OB :
79%
→
79%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.084
avg 0.079
± 0.011
OBI Top 10
0.084
Microstructure
Mid Price
566.2350
Micro Price
566.2338
Spread
0.0018%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
567.0000
Size
3,963.56
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 565.85 | 574.0148 | 545.4379 | 2.5 | 593.24 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 565.85
- Stop Loss: 574.0148
- Take Profit: 545.4379
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 574.0148 - 565.85 = 8.1648
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 565.85 - 545.4379 = 20.4121
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 20.4121 / 8.1648 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 554.4271 | 100 | 0.9798 | 6.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 8.1648
Taille de position = 8 / 8.1648 = 0.98
Taille de position USD = 0.98 x 565.85 = 554.53
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.98 avec un stoploss a 574.0148
Avec un position size USD de 554.53$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.98 x 8.1648 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.98 x 20.4121 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position 0.98
- Taille de position USD 554.53
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.61 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.44 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.44 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.4986 % | 103.86 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 565.85 | 574.0148 | 545.4379 | 2.5 | 593.24 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 565.85
- Stop Loss: 574.0148
- Take Profit: 545.4379
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 574.0148 - 565.85 = 8.1648
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 565.85 - 545.4379 = 20.4121
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 20.4121 / 8.1648 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 545.4379
[entry_price] => 565.85
[stop_loss] => 574.83128
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-07-28 15:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.443%
(8.1648)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.060% | 0.0R | -0.269% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.288% | 0.2R | -0.534% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.428% | 0.3R | -1.704% | 1.2R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.428% | 0.3R | -1.704% | 1.2R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.428% | 0.3R | -1.704% | 1.2R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.428% | 0.3R | -1.704% | 1.2R | 0.3× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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