Short Trade on ZRO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 212.97 ZRO at 0.849$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8282 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.887 (4.43 %)
Short Trade on ZRO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 212.97 ZRO at 0.849$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8282 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.887 (4.43 %)
Position
Entry 0.8494$
Qty 212.9732 ZRO
Size 180.91$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.8282 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.52$
SL 0.887 (-4.43%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.56
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5826
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.31×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.83×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.39×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 28/07 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/07 08:00 Score : +2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3068 | r1h: -1.262% · r4h: -2.837% · r1d: -9.16% · r3d: 1.65% · ema21_slope: -0.2805% · dist_ema21: -3.173% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3235 | rs_1h: -1.292% · rs_4h: -2.929% · rs_1d: -6.70% · rs_3d: 2.65% · beta_24h: 0.960 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1601 | rvol_20: 0.36× · zscore_50: -0.598 · trend: -59.00% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5873 | ADX: 31.0 (trend) · Chop: 59.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.851% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.260% | 0.5R | -1.506% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +2.260% | 0.5R | -1.506% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 13 |
| 2h | +2.260% | 0.5R | -1.506% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.260% | 0.5R | -2.249% | 0.5R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.981% | 0.9R | -2.249% | 0.5R | 1.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.072% | 1.2R | -2.249% | 0.5R | 2.3× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.52 | bear_high | -6.19% | -0.81 | 27/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.44 | bear_high | -1.37% | +0.27 | 28/07 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 49% | mid | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.26 | bear_medium | -1.56% | -0.67 | 28/07 08:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | 0.39 | range_low | -0.71% | -0.18 | 28/07 08:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 1.719×ATR | p0 | +0.22×ATR | p23 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 3.828×ATR | p50 | -0.589×ATR | p53 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 1.978×ATR | p19 | -1.04×ATR | p75 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -1.359×ATR | p84 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:10 | 0.84945000 | +0.006% |
| 2 | 10:10 | 0.85407000 | +0.55% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8494 | 0.887 | 0.8282 | 0.56 | 1.3828 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.887 - 0.8494 = 0.0376
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8494 - 0.8282 = 0.0212
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0212 / 0.0376 = 0.5638
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 180.91 | 100 | 212.9732 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0376 = 212.77
Taille de position USD = 212.77 x 0.8494 = 180.73
Donc, tu peux acheter 212.77 avec un stoploss a 0.887
Avec un position size USD de 180.73$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 212.77 x 0.0376 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 212.77 x 0.0212 = 4.51
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.51$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.52 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.43 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.99 $ | 0.55 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5058 % | 34.02 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8494 | 0.887 | 0.8282 | 0.56 | 1.3828 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.887 - 0.8494 = 0.0376
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8494 - 0.8282 = 0.0212
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0212 / 0.0376 = 0.5638
Array
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Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.260% | 0.5R | -1.506% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +2.260% | 0.5R | -1.506% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 13 |
| 2h | +2.260% | 0.5R | -1.506% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.260% | 0.5R | -2.249% | 0.5R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.981% | 0.9R | -2.249% | 0.5R | 1.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.072% | 1.2R | -2.249% | 0.5R | 2.3× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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