28 Jul 2026 at 10:10:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on AIXBT (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 14571.95 AIXBT at 0.0168$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0164 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.01737 (3.27 %)

AIXBT SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 28 Jul 2026 10:10 → 11:15 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.01682$

Qty 14571.949 AIXBT

Size 245.1002$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.0164 (+2.5%)

TP $ 6.12$

SL 0.01737 (-3.27%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.76

Status loss PnL -0.81% / -1.98$ MAE -1.42% MFE +0.43% 0.1R expires 28 Jul 11:20 Exit rank_decay: short rank=42 <= threshold=46/56

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 51083)
#56 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/07/2026 10:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2388

Quality Score
0.385
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#56 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#56 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear —
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/07 10:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3)

27/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

28/07 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

28/07 09:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1118
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

—

range

0

Operational bear

—

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

—

transition

+1

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.59
Snapshot évalué : 28/07 10:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 28/07/2026 10:00
Score brut
0.3849
Score SMA
0.4814
Rank
#56 / 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2388
Rank Norm SMA
0.3009
Calculé le
28/07/2026 10:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2094 r1h: -1.892% · r4h: -1.973% · r1d: -10.61% · r3d: -6.29% · ema21_slope: -0.3100% · dist_ema21: -3.372%
Force Relative 25% 0.3023 rs_1h: -1.007% · rs_4h: -1.353% · rs_1d: -7.23% · rs_3d: -4.46% · beta_24h: 2.403
Volume 20% 0.1922 rvol_20: 0.14× · zscore_50: -0.117 · trend: -70.78%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7207 ADX: 59.9 (trend) · Chop: 72.6 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.402% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 1.2h) Initial Risk: -3.270% (0.0006)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.428% 0.1R -1.415% 0.4R 0.3× 12
1.2h ★ +0.428% 0.1R -1.415% 0.4R 0.3× 13
2h +0.428% 0.1R -2.230% 0.7R 0.2× 24
4h +0.428% 0.1R -2.230% 0.7R 0.2× 48
8h +0.428% 0.1R -2.230% 0.7R 0.2× 96
12h +1.195% 0.4R -2.230% 0.7R 0.5× 144

computed 3 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.28
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high_confirmed
51%
noisy_chop 41% late — — 0.56 bear_high -6.19% -0.80 27/07 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
50%
noisy_chop 39% mid — — 0.65 bear_high -1.23% -0.43 28/07 08:00
1h ↓ down range range strong fading normal bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 46% late — — 0.60 bear_medium -2.26% -0.47 28/07 09:00
15m ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bear_medium
58%
noisy_chop 40% late — — — bear_low_confirmed -1.46% -0.04 28/07 09:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 43b — 6.858×ATR p75 -1.058×ATR p89
4h ↓ down mid 4b — 2.738×ATR p24 -0.872×ATR p80
1h ↓ down late 10b — 1.999×ATR p27 -1.63×ATR p96
15m ↓ down late 3b — 3.641×ATR p74 -1.933×ATR p93

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.017369
  2. tp_price: 0.0163995
  3. atr: 0.0002196
  4. expires_at: 2026-07-28T20:10:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 56
  2. total: 57
  3. score: 0.2094
  4. delta_2h: -0.0466
  5. extension_atr: -1.42
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2388
  9. confidence: 0.982

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01682 0.01737 0.0164 0.76 0.01285
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01682
  • Stop Loss: 0.01737
  • Take Profit: 0.0164

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.01737 - 0.01682 = 0.00055

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01682 - 0.0164 = 0.00042

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00042 / 0.00055 = 0.7636

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
245.1002 100 14571.949 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00055

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00055 = 14545.45

Taille de position USD = 14545.45 x 0.01682 = 244.65

Donc, tu peux acheter 14545.45 avec un stoploss a 0.01737

Avec un position size USD de 244.65$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 14545.45 x 0.00055 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 14545.45 x 0.00042 = 6.11

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.11$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 14545.45
  • Taille de position USD 244.65
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 6.11
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7636

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 6.12 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.27 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-1.98 $ -0.81
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.415 % 43.27 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01682 0.01737 0.0164 0.76 0.01285
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01682
  • Stop Loss: 0.01737
  • Take Profit: 0.0164

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.01737 - 0.01682 = 0.00055

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01682 - 0.0164 = 0.00042

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00042 / 0.00055 = 0.7636

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 1.2h) Initial Risk: -3.270% (0.0006)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.428% 0.1R -1.415% 0.4R 0.3× 12
1.2h ★ +0.428% 0.1R -1.415% 0.4R 0.3× 13
2h +0.428% 0.1R -2.230% 0.7R 0.2× 24
4h +0.428% 0.1R -2.230% 0.7R 0.2× 48
8h +0.428% 0.1R -2.230% 0.7R 0.2× 96
12h +1.195% 0.4R -2.230% 0.7R 0.5× 144

computed 3 months ago

Commentaires

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