Short Trade on TRUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 218.26 TRUMP at 1.462$ per unit. Take profit: 1.4256 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.4989 (2.51 %)
28 Jul 2026 at 11:10:09
hyperliquid
TRUMP
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
28 Jul 2026 11:10
→ 11:15
· 4 minutes
Position
Entry 1.4622$
Qty 218.2609 TRUMP
Size 319.1411$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 1.4256 (+2.5%)
TP $ 7.99$
SL 1.4989 (-2.51%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 1
Status
win
PnL
+0.01%
/ +0.044$
MAE -1.83%
MFE +0.10%
0.0R
expires
28 Jul 11:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=38 <= threshold=46/56
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 51141)
#38 / 56
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 28/07/2026 11:00
score du 28/07/2026 11:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3891
Quality Score
0.503
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#38 / 56
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.51 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#38 / 56
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.51 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/07 11:02
28/07 11:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/07 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/07 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1119
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
early_expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.59
Snapshot évalué :
28/07 11:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
28/07/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.5032
Score SMA
0.5018
Rank
#38
/ 56
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3891
Rank Norm SMA
0.3990
Calculé le
28/07/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3208 | r1h: -0.211% · r4h: -0.837% · r1d: -5.42% · r3d: -5.65% · ema21_slope: -0.2309% · dist_ema21: -2.517% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3830 | rs_1h: -0.607% · rs_4h: -0.661% · rs_1d: -3.37% · rs_3d: -4.31% · beta_24h: 1.210 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3715 | rvol_20: 1.16× · zscore_50: 0.205 · trend: -11.32% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9128 | ADX: 50.1 (trend) · Chop: 38.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.040% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -2.510%
(0.0367)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.096% | 0.0R | -1.628% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.096% | 0.0R | -1.826% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.096% | 0.0R | -1.826% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.053% | 0.4R | -1.826% | 0.7R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.894% | 0.8R | -1.826% | 0.7R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.29
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.52 | bear_high | -6.19% | -0.73 | 27/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -1.77% | -0.38 | 28/07 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.43 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.68% | -0.28 | 28/07 10:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.72 | range_low | -0.64% | -0.08 | 28/07 10:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 24b | — | 4.938×ATR | p25 | -0.958×ATR | p76 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 4.779×ATR | p77 | -1.735×ATR | p98 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 1.44×ATR | p0 | -1.102×ATR | p87 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 0.898×ATR | p0 | -0.451×ATR | p43 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 1.49885338
- tp_price: 1.425645
- atr: 0.01466135
- expires_at: 2026-07-28T21:10:09+00:00
Details
- rank: 53
- total: 58
- score: 0.3208
- delta_2h: -0.0618
- extension_atr: -2.65
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3891
- confidence: 0.912
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4622 | 1.4989 | 1.4256 | 1 | 0.9503 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.4622
- Stop Loss: 1.4989
- Take Profit: 1.4256
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.4989 - 1.4622 = 0.0367
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.4622 - 1.4256 = 0.0366
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0366 / 0.0367 = 0.9973
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 319.1411 | 100 | 218.2609 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0367
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0367 = 217.98
Taille de position USD = 217.98 x 1.4622 = 318.73
Donc, tu peux acheter 217.98 avec un stoploss a 1.4989
Avec un position size USD de 318.73$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 217.98 x 0.0367 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 217.98 x 0.0366 = 7.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.98$
Résumé
- Taille de position 217.98
- Taille de position USD 318.73
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 7.98
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.9973
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 7.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.044 $ | 0.01 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0205 % | 0.82 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4622 | 1.4989 | 1.4256 | 1 | 0.9503 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.4622
- Stop Loss: 1.4989
- Take Profit: 1.4256
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.4989 - 1.4622 = 0.0367
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.4622 - 1.4256 = 0.0366
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0366 / 0.0367 = 0.9973
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -2.510%
(0.0367)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.096% | 0.0R | -1.628% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.096% | 0.0R | -1.826% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.096% | 0.0R | -1.826% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.053% | 0.4R | -1.826% | 0.7R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.894% | 0.8R | -1.826% | 0.7R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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