Long Trade on ONDO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 454.69 ONDO at 0.409$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4194 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3916 (4.3 %)
28 Jul 2026 at 12:10:05
hyperliquid
ONDO
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
28 Jul 2026 12:10
→ 15:15
· 3 hours
Position
Entry 0.4092$
Qty 454.6927 ONDO
Size 186.0603$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.4194 (+2.49%)
TP $ 4.64$
SL 0.3916 (-4.3%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.58
Status
loss
PnL
-1.49%
/ -2.77$
MAE -2.17%
MFE +1.16%
0.3R
expires
28 Jul 15:20
Exit
rank_decay: long rank=18 > threshold=10/56
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 51185)
#2 / 56
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/07/2026 12:00
score du 28/07/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4820
Quality Score
0.790
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#2 / 56
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.30 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#2 / 56
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.30 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.05×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.84×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.47×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
9.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/07 12:01
28/07 12:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 27/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 28/07 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 28/07 11:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1120
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.84
Snapshot évalué :
28/07 12:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
28/07/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.7896
Score SMA
0.5309
Rank
#2
/ 56
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4820
Rank Norm SMA
0.5313
Calculé le
28/07/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7100 | r1h: 1.977% · r4h: 5.778% · r1d: 2.12% · r3d: 7.99% · ema21_slope: -0.0521% · dist_ema21: 3.815% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7708 | rs_1h: 1.280% · rs_4h: 5.146% · rs_1d: 3.16% · rs_3d: 8.48% · beta_24h: 1.858 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9463 | rvol_20: 3.67× · zscore_50: 2.219 · trend: 98.76% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6310 | ADX: 23.7 (weak) · Chop: 46.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.787% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
3.2h)
Initial Risk: -4.301%
(0.0176)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.158% | 0.3R | -1.452% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.158% | 0.3R | -2.097% | 0.5R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 3.2h ★ | +1.158% | 0.3R | -2.173% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 37 |
| 4h | +1.158% | 0.3R | -2.173% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.158% | 0.3R | -2.173% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.158% | 0.3R | -4.118% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.76
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.65 | bear_high | -6.19% | +0.96 | 27/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.60 | bear_high | -1.58% | +0.67 | 28/07 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.47 | bear_medium | -0.88% | +0.34 | 28/07 11:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
55%
|
choppy 56% | late | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.56 | range_low | +0.06% | +0.52 | 28/07 11:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 34b | — | 3.806×ATR | p47 | +0.098×ATR | p12 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 1.166×ATR | p0 | +0.594×ATR | p60 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 3.725×ATR | p85 | +2.093×ATR | p97 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 5.812×ATR | p100 | +1.631×ATR | p93 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4092 | 0.3916 | 0.4194 | 0.58 | 0.3043 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4092
- Stop Loss: 0.3916
- Take Profit: 0.4194
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3916 - 0.4092 = -0.0176
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4092 - 0.4194 = -0.0102
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0102 / -0.0176 = 0.5795
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 186.0603 | 100 | 454.6927 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0176
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0176 = -454.55
Taille de position USD = -454.55 x 0.4092 = -186
Donc, tu peux acheter -454.55 avec un stoploss a 0.3916
Avec un position size USD de -186$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -454.55 x -0.0176 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -454.55 x -0.0102 = 4.64
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.64$
Résumé
- Taille de position -454.55
- Taille de position USD -186
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.64
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5795
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 4.64 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.3 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.77 $ | -1.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.1725 % | 50.51 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4092 | 0.3916 | 0.4194 | 0.58 | 0.3043 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4092
- Stop Loss: 0.3916
- Take Profit: 0.4194
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3916 - 0.4092 = -0.0176
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4092 - 0.4194 = -0.0102
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0102 / -0.0176 = 0.5795
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
3.2h)
Initial Risk: -4.301%
(0.0176)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.158% | 0.3R | -1.452% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.158% | 0.3R | -2.097% | 0.5R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 3.2h ★ | +1.158% | 0.3R | -2.173% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 37 |
| 4h | +1.158% | 0.3R | -2.173% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.158% | 0.3R | -2.173% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.158% | 0.3R | -4.118% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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