Short Trade on DOGE (CatchTheWave)
With 29286.86 DOGE at 0.0713$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07081 (0.76 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07163 (0.39 %)
Short Trade on DOGE (CatchTheWave)
With 29286.86 DOGE at 0.0713$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07081 (0.76 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07163 (0.39 %)
Position
Entry 0.07135$
Qty 29286.8648 DOGE
Size 2089.6764$ (margin 100$) (leverage 21)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07081 (+0.76%)
TP $ 15.81$
SL 0.07163 (-0.39%)
SL $ 8.2$
RR 1.93
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6319
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.16×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.63×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/07 12:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 28/07 12:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.80484 15m : 0.741556 |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4780 | r1h: 0.278% · r4h: 1.230% · r1d: -1.59% · r3d: -1.67% · ema21_slope: -0.0797% · dist_ema21: 0.571% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5155 | rs_1h: 0.305% · rs_4h: 0.678% · rs_1d: -0.10% · rs_3d: -1.22% · beta_24h: 1.224 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3988 | rvol_20: 0.96× · zscore_50: 0.002 · trend: 43.77% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6614 | ADX: 32.3 (trend) · Chop: 51.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.773% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.266% | 3.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.266% | 3.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.266% | 3.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +1.926% | 4.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +2.017% | 5.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -6.19% | -0.48 | 27/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.84 | bear_high | -0.84% | +0.23 | 28/07 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.73 | bear_medium | -0.79% | -0.00 | 28/07 12:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_low |
32%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.13% | +0.08 | 28/07 12:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 24b | — | 3.405×ATR | p38 | -0.579×ATR | p62 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 15b | — | 3.007×ATR | p19 | -0.125×ATR | p14 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 3.186×ATR | p71 | +1.321×ATR | p90 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | +0.898×ATR | p73 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63537.4
0.00661854
63958
0.80484
63774
0.0028842
63958
0.741556
64222.9
-0.00407939
63961
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0.3374
0.66
0.0302
0.5408
0.596
0.7673
0.5336
-4.9864
5.7053
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 12:05:00 | 0.070071 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 12:30:00 | 0.069937 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 13:05:00 | 0.070173 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 13:35:00 | 0.069202 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 14:15:00 | 0.069356 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 15:40:00 | 0.071 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 15:50:00 | 0.070628 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 16:15:00 | 0.071086 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 16:30:00 | 0.070615 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 17:05:00 | 0.07137 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 01:00:00 | 0.06929 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 04:00:00 | 0.070242 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 06:00:00 | 0.069803 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 07:00:00 | 0.070467 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 08:00:00 | 0.070012 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 09:45:00 | 0.070282 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 11:15:00 | 0.069755 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 13:00:00 | 0.070173 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 13:30:00 | 0.069202 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 17:00:00 | 0.07137 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 07:00:00 | 0.074044 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-26 19:00:00 | 0.072511 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-26 23:00:00 | 0.073513 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-27 06:00:00 | 0.0735 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-27 13:00:00 | 0.073218 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-27 14:00:00 | 0.070788 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 01:00:00 | 0.06929 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 07:00:00 | 0.070467 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 13:00:00 | 0.069202 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 17:00:00 | 0.071321 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07135 | 0.07163 | 0.07081 | 1.93 | 0.05939 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07163 - 0.07135 = 0.00028
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07135 - 0.07081 = 0.00054
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00054 / 0.00028 = 1.9286
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2089.6764 | 100 | 29286.8648 | 21.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00028 = 28571.43
Taille de position USD = 28571.43 x 0.07135 = 2038.57
Donc, tu peux acheter 28571.43 avec un stoploss a 0.07163
Avec un position size USD de 2038.57$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 28571.43 x 0.00028 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 28571.43 x 0.00054 = 15.43
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.43$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.76 % | 15.81 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.39 % | 8.2 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.82 $ | 0.76 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07135 | 0.07163 | 0.07081 | 1.93 | 0.05939 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07163 - 0.07135 = 0.00028
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07135 - 0.07081 = 0.00054
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00054 / 0.00028 = 1.9286
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)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.266% | 3.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.266% | 3.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.266% | 3.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +1.926% | 4.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +2.017% | 5.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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