Short Trade on kSHIB (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 50159.88 kSHIB at 0.00465$ per unit. Take profit: 0.004535 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.00481 (3.42 %)
28 Jul 2026 at 13:10:05
hyperliquid
kSHIB
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
28 Jul 2026 13:10
→ 17:15
· 4 hours
Position
Entry 0.004651$
Qty 50159.8846 kSHIB
Size 233.2936$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.004535 (+2.49%)
TP $ 5.82$
SL 0.00481 (-3.42%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 0.73
Status
win
PnL
+0.95%
/ +2.21$
MAE -0.00%
MFE +1.27%
0.4R
expires
28 Jul 17:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=41 <= threshold=44/54
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 51229)
#55 / 56
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/07/2026 13:00
score du 28/07/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2751
Quality Score
0.413
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#55 / 56
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.42 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#55 / 56
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.42 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 6.25×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.81×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
5.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/07 13:00
28/07 13:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 28/07 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/07 12:00 Score : +2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1121
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.59
Snapshot évalué :
28/07 13:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
28/07/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.4129
Score SMA
0.4682
Rank
#55
/ 56
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2751
Rank Norm SMA
0.2381
Calculé le
28/07/2026 13:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3445 | r1h: -0.129% · r4h: 0.933% · r1d: -7.96% · r3d: -4.10% · ema21_slope: -0.3043% · dist_ema21: -1.426% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3925 | rs_1h: -0.102% · rs_4h: 0.381% · rs_1d: -6.46% · rs_3d: -3.65% · beta_24h: 1.456 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1637 | rvol_20: 0.59× · zscore_50: -0.751 · trend: -52.98% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5246 | ADX: 35.7 (trend) · Chop: 71.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.490% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4.2h)
Initial Risk: -3.419%
(0.0002)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.269% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.269% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +1.269% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 4.2h ★ | +1.269% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 49 |
| 8h | +1.269% | 0.4R | -0.366% | 0.1R | 3.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.430% | 0.7R | -1.333% | 0.4R | 1.8× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.54
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.73 | bear_high | -6.19% | +0.53 | 27/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.57 | bear_high | -0.84% | +0.73 | 28/07 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
choppy 48% | early | — | — | 0.27 | bear_medium | -0.79% | -0.57 | 28/07 12:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
46%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near 0.1ATR | — | range_low | +0.13% | -0.05 | 28/07 12:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 4.191×ATR | p33 | +0.116×ATR | p13 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 6.517×ATR | p97 | -0.63×ATR | p60 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.313×ATR | p3 | +0.15×ATR | p20 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.555×ATR | p0 | +0.356×ATR | p40 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.00481049
- tp_price: 0.00453472
- atr: 6.38E-5
- expires_at: 2026-07-28T23:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 51
- total: 57
- score: 0.3445
- delta_2h: -0.0047
- extension_atr: -0.86
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2751
- confidence: 0.893
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.004651 | 0.00481 | 0.004535 | 0.73 | 0.003959 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.004651
- Stop Loss: 0.00481
- Take Profit: 0.004535
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.00481 - 0.004651 = 0.000159
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.004651 - 0.004535 = 0.000116
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000116 / 0.000159 = 0.7296
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 233.2936 | 100 | 50159.8846 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.000159
Taille de position = 8 / 0.000159 = 50314.47
Taille de position USD = 50314.47 x 0.004651 = 234.01
Donc, tu peux acheter 50314.47 avec un stoploss a 0.00481
Avec un position size USD de 234.01$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 50314.47 x 0.000159 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 50314.47 x 0.000116 = 5.84
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.84$
Résumé
- Taille de position 50314.47
- Taille de position USD 234.01
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.84
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7296
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 5.82 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.42 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.21 $ | 0.95 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.004651 | 0.00481 | 0.004535 | 0.73 | 0.003959 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.004651
- Stop Loss: 0.00481
- Take Profit: 0.004535
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.00481 - 0.004651 = 0.000159
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.004651 - 0.004535 = 0.000116
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000116 / 0.000159 = 0.7296
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4.2h)
Initial Risk: -3.419%
(0.0002)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.269% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.269% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +1.269% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 4.2h ★ | +1.269% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 49 |
| 8h | +1.269% | 0.4R | -0.366% | 0.1R | 3.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.430% | 0.7R | -1.333% | 0.4R | 1.8× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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