Long Trade on LIT (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 59.98 LIT at 2.305$ per unit. Take profit: 2.6384 (14.46 %) & Stop Loss: 2.1716 (5.79 %)
28 Jul 2026 at 13:41:09
hyperliquid
LIT
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
28 Jul 2026 13:41
→ 01:40
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 2.305$
Qty 59.9815 LIT
Size 138.2574$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 2.6384 (+14.46%)
TP $ 20$
SL 2.1716 (-5.79%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+1.57%
/ +2.18$
MAE -3.15%
MFE +3.30%
0.6R
expires
29 Jul 01:41
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 51263)
#1 / 56
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/07/2026 13:00
score du 28/07/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7968
Quality Score
0.890
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 56
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
73 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 56
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
73 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.09×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.02×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
25.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/07 13:32
28/07 13:32
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 27/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 28/07 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 28/07 13:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
28/07/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.8896
Score SMA
0.5847
Rank
#1
/ 56
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7968
Rank Norm SMA
0.7995
Calculé le
28/07/2026 13:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7873 | r1h: 3.466% · r4h: 9.555% · r1d: 9.31% · r3d: 13.76% · ema21_slope: 0.1559% · dist_ema21: 7.125% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.9934 | rs_1h: 3.493% · rs_4h: 9.003% · rs_1d: 10.81% · rs_3d: 14.21% · beta_24h: 1.425 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 4.74× · zscore_50: 4.195 · trend: 167.52% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7006 | ADX: 24.1 (weak) · Chop: 29.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.995% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.787%
(0.1334)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.282% | 0.1R | -1.067% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.560% | 0.1R | -1.558% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.803% | 0.1R | -1.558% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.397% | 0.2R | -1.588% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.297% | 0.6R | -3.150% | 0.5R | 1.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.297% | 0.6R | -5.206% | 0.9R | 0.6× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.87
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | — | bear_high | -6.19% | -0.74 | 27/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.44 | range_high | -0.74% | +0.88 | 28/07 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
66%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.46 | bear_medium | -0.95% | +0.70 | 28/07 13:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 48% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.23% | +0.54 | 28/07 13:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 22b | — | 3.027×ATR | p21 | -0.087×ATR | p7 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 2.849×ATR | p39 | +1.357×ATR | p92 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 4.493×ATR | p86 | +1.541×ATR | p93 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.993×ATR | p7 | +0.268×ATR | p16 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7319
- reason: up_bo width=2.25×ATR dur=26b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 2.17162554
- tp_price: 2.63843614
- atr:
- score: 0.73185760714613
- expires_at: 2026-07-29T05:41:01.829124
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.73185760714613
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0159
- obi_top10 : 0.1453
- micro_price : 2.30664626
- spread_pct : 0.043365
- mid_price : 2.3065
- bid_wall_price : 2.26
- bid_wall_size : 16483
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 2.35
- ask_wall_size : 14376.2
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0023
- obi_top5_std : 0.0232
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6975
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
2.23165
- balance_zone_bottom:
2.1214
- balance_zone_mid:
2.176525
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785168000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785258000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.2502
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
26
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: forming
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7319
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785247200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
2.23165
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7692
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
3
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.4971
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
7
- regime : bull_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.04899457 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
26
inside_close_ratio
0.7692
bars_since_breakout
3
distance_to_edge_atr
1.4971
Signaux confirmants (26)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:41 | 2.30500000 | 0% |
| 2 | 13:47 | 2.30500000 | 0% |
| 3 | 13:53 | 2.30190000 | -0.134% |
| 4 | 13:58 | 2.30190000 | -0.134% |
| 5 | 14:05 | 2.30190000 | -0.134% |
| 6 | 14:11 | 2.29810000 | -0.299% |
| 7 | 14:17 | 2.29810000 | -0.299% |
| 8 | 14:23 | 2.28390000 | -0.915% |
| 9 | 14:29 | 2.28390000 | -0.915% |
| 10 | 14:35 | 2.28390000 | -0.915% |
| 11 | 14:41 | 2.28780000 | -0.746% |
| 12 | 14:46 | 2.28780000 | -0.746% |
| 13 | 14:52 | 2.28230000 | -0.985% |
| 14 | 14:57 | 2.28230000 | -0.985% |
| 15 | 15:04 | 2.28230000 | -0.985% |
| 16 | 15:10 | 2.28340000 | -0.937% |
| 17 | 15:16 | 2.28340000 | -0.937% |
| 18 | 15:21 | 2.28350000 | -0.933% |
| 19 | 15:27 | 2.28350000 | -0.933% |
| 20 | 15:33 | 2.28350000 | -0.933% |
| 21 | 15:38 | 2.29110000 | -0.603% |
| 22 | 15:43 | 2.29110000 | -0.603% |
| 23 | 15:49 | 2.30670000 | +0.074% |
| 24 | 15:55 | 2.30670000 | +0.074% |
| 25 | 16:00 | 2.30670000 | +0.074% |
| 26 | 16:07 | 2.30670000 | +0.074% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6975ms
Confidence avant OB :
73%
→
73%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.016
avg -0.002
± 0.023
OBI Top 10
0.145
Microstructure
Mid Price
2.3065
Micro Price
2.3066
Spread
0.0434%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
2.2600
Size
16,483.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
2.3500
Size
14,376.20
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.305 | 2.1716 | 2.6384 | 2.5 | 3.0031 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.305
- Stop Loss: 2.1716
- Take Profit: 2.6384
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.1716 - 2.305 = -0.1334
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.305 - 2.6384 = -0.3334
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3334 / -0.1334 = 2.4993
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 138.2574 | 100 | 59.9815 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.1334
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1334 = -59.97
Taille de position USD = -59.97 x 2.305 = -138.23
Donc, tu peux acheter -59.97 avec un stoploss a 2.1716
Avec un position size USD de -138.23$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -59.97 x -0.1334 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -59.97 x -0.3334 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position -59.97
- Taille de position USD -138.23
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4993
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 14.46 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.79 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.18 $ | 1.57 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.1497 % | 54.42 % | 26 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.305 | 2.1716 | 2.6384 | 2.5 | 3.0031 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.305
- Stop Loss: 2.1716
- Take Profit: 2.6384
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.1716 - 2.305 = -0.1334
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.305 - 2.6384 = -0.3334
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3334 / -0.1334 = 2.4993
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.787%
(0.1334)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.282% | 0.1R | -1.067% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.560% | 0.1R | -1.558% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.803% | 0.1R | -1.558% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.397% | 0.2R | -1.588% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.297% | 0.6R | -3.150% | 0.5R | 1.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.297% | 0.6R | -5.206% | 0.9R | 0.6× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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