Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_score)
With 2322.75 NIL at 0.0355$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.03898 (9.68 %)
Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_score)
With 2322.75 NIL at 0.0355$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.03898 (9.68 %)
Position
Entry 0.03554$
Qty 2322.7522 NIL
Size 82.5413$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 82.55$
SL 0.03898 (-9.68%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0112
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.34×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.44×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.01×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/07 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/07 13:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
early_expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2148 | r1h: -0.797% · r4h: -3.631% · r1d: -10.41% · r3d: 2.27% · ema21_slope: -0.4288% · dist_ema21: -4.931% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3338 | rs_1h: -0.035% · rs_4h: -4.341% · rs_1d: -8.19% · rs_3d: 3.36% · beta_24h: 1.366 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1525 | rvol_20: 0.31× · zscore_50: -0.735 · trend: -48.92% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3380 | ADX: 20.9 (weak) · Chop: 79.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8726 | ATR%: 3.382% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.647% | 0.1R | -0.515% | 0.1R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.785% | 0.1R | -0.518% | 0.1R | 1.5× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +1.171% | 0.1R | -0.518% | 0.1R | 2.3× | 36 |
| 4h | +1.351% | 0.1R | -0.518% | 0.1R | 2.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.378% | 0.3R | -1.030% | 0.1R | 2.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.235% | 0.6R | -1.030% | 0.1R | 6.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.37 | bear_high | -6.19% | +0.65 | 27/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.50 | range_high | -0.74% | +0.05 | 28/07 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.21 | bear_medium | -1.32% | -0.94 | 28/07 13:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.32% | -0.44 | 28/07 13:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 3.08×ATR | p27 | +0.263×ATR | p29 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 5.541×ATR | p86 | -0.597×ATR | p69 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 20b | — | 6.939×ATR | p98 | -1.028×ATR | p81 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 2.344×ATR | p41 | -0.534×ATR | p48 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03554 | 0.03898 | 0.05008 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.03898 - 0.03554 = 0.00344
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03554 - = 0.03554
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.03554 / 0.00344 = 10.3314
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82.5413 | 82.5413 | 2322.7522 | 1.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00344 = 2325.58
Taille de position USD = 2325.58 x 0.03554 = 82.65
Donc, tu peux acheter 2325.58 avec un stoploss a 0.03898
Avec un position size USD de 82.65$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2325.58 x 0.00344 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2325.58 x 0.03554 = 82.65
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 82.65$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 82.55 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.68 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.2 $ | 0.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5177 % | 5.35 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03554 | 0.03898 | 0.05008 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.03898 - 0.03554 = 0.00344
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03554 - = 0.03554
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.03554 / 0.00344 = 10.3314
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.647% | 0.1R | -0.515% | 0.1R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.785% | 0.1R | -0.518% | 0.1R | 1.5× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +1.171% | 0.1R | -0.518% | 0.1R | 2.3× | 36 |
| 4h | +1.351% | 0.1R | -0.518% | 0.1R | 2.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.378% | 0.3R | -1.030% | 0.1R | 2.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.235% | 0.6R | -1.030% | 0.1R | 6.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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