28 Jul 2026 at 14:10:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_score)

With 2322.75 NIL at 0.0355$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.03898 (9.68 %)

NIL SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 28 Jul 2026 14:10 → 17:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.03554$

Qty 2322.7522 NIL

Size 82.5413$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 82.55$

SL 0.03898 (-9.68%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR

Status win PnL +0.24% / +0.2$ MAE -0.52% MFE +1.17% 0.1R expires 28 Jul 17:10 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 51312)
#56 / 56
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/07/2026 14:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0112

Quality Score
0.316
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#56 / 56
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.68 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#56 / 56
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.68 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.34×ATR
4h near 0.44×ATR
1d near -0.01×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/07 14:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

27/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

28/07 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

28/07 13:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1122
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

—

range

0

Operational bear

—

early_expansion

+1

Tactical bear

—

transition

+1

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.59
Snapshot évalué : 28/07 14:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 28/07/2026 14:00
Score brut
0.3164
Score SMA
0.4523
Rank
#56 / 56
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0112
Rank Norm SMA
0.2486
Calculé le
28/07/2026 14:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2148 r1h: -0.797% · r4h: -3.631% · r1d: -10.41% · r3d: 2.27% · ema21_slope: -0.4288% · dist_ema21: -4.931%
Force Relative 25% 0.3338 rs_1h: -0.035% · rs_4h: -4.341% · rs_1d: -8.19% · rs_3d: 3.36% · beta_24h: 1.366
Volume 20% 0.1525 rvol_20: 0.31× · zscore_50: -0.735 · trend: -48.92%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.3380 ADX: 20.9 (weak) · Chop: 79.7 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.8726 ATR%: 3.382% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -9.679% (0.0034)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.647% 0.1R -0.515% 0.1R 1.3× 12
2h +0.785% 0.1R -0.518% 0.1R 1.5× 24
3h ★ +1.171% 0.1R -0.518% 0.1R 2.3× 36
4h +1.351% 0.1R -0.518% 0.1R 2.6× 48
8h +2.378% 0.3R -1.030% 0.1R 2.3× 96
12h +6.235% 0.6R -1.030% 0.1R 6.1× 144

computed 3 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.19
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading expansion_after_compression bear_high
66%
noisy_chop 35% early near 0.0ATR — 0.37 bear_high -6.19% +0.65 27/07 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bear_high
49%
noisy_chop 38% late near 0.4ATR — 0.50 range_high -0.74% +0.05 28/07 12:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 50% late near 0.3ATR — 0.21 bear_medium -1.32% -0.94 28/07 13:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 41% early — — — range_low -0.32% -0.44 28/07 13:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 1b — 3.08×ATR p27 +0.263×ATR p29
4h ↓ down late 7b — 5.541×ATR p86 -0.597×ATR p69
1h ↓ down late 20b — 6.939×ATR p98 -1.028×ATR p81
15m ↓ down early 9b — 2.344×ATR p41 -0.534×ATR p48

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.03898019
  2. atr: 0.00114806
  3. expires_at: 2026-07-28T21:10:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 57
  2. total: 57
  3. score: 0.2148
  4. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.03554 0.03898 0.05008
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.03554
  • Stop Loss: 0.03898
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.03898 - 0.03554 = 0.00344

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.03554 - = 0.03554

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.03554 / 0.00344 = 10.3314

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
82.5413 82.5413 2322.7522 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00344

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00344 = 2325.58

Taille de position USD = 2325.58 x 0.03554 = 82.65

Donc, tu peux acheter 2325.58 avec un stoploss a 0.03898

Avec un position size USD de 82.65$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2325.58 x 0.00344 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2325.58 x 0.03554 = 82.65

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 82.65$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2325.58
  • Taille de position USD 82.65
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 82.65
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 10.3314

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 82.55 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
9.68 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
0.2 $ 0.24
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5177 % 5.35 % 6
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.03554 0.03898 0.05008
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.03554
  • Stop Loss: 0.03898
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.03898 - 0.03554 = 0.00344

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.03554 - = 0.03554

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.03554 / 0.00344 = 10.3314

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -9.679% (0.0034)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.647% 0.1R -0.515% 0.1R 1.3× 12
2h +0.785% 0.1R -0.518% 0.1R 1.5× 24
3h ★ +1.171% 0.1R -0.518% 0.1R 2.3× 36
4h +1.351% 0.1R -0.518% 0.1R 2.6× 48
8h +2.378% 0.3R -1.030% 0.1R 2.3× 96
12h +6.235% 0.6R -1.030% 0.1R 6.1× 144

computed 3 months ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.