Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 96.19 KAITO at 1.103$ per unit. Take profit: 1.0749 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1857 (7.55 %)
28 Jul 2026 at 14:10:09
hyperliquid
KAITO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
28 Jul 2026 14:10
→ 16:15
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 1.1025$
Qty 96.1875 KAITO
Size 106.0468$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 1.0749 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.65$
SL 1.1857 (-7.55%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.33
Status
loss
PnL
-7.47%
/ -7.93$
MAE -7.64%
MFE +1.49%
0.2R
expires
28 Jul 16:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=6 <= threshold=45/55
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 51311)
#50 / 56
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/07/2026 14:00
score du 28/07/2026 14:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5540
Quality Score
0.423
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#50 / 56
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.55 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#50 / 56
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.55 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.91×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.75×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.54×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
17.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/07 14:02
28/07 14:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 27/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 28/07 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/07 13:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1122
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
early_expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.59
Snapshot évalué :
28/07 14:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
28/07/2026 14:00
Score brut
0.4228
Score SMA
0.6451
Rank
#50
/ 56
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5540
Rank Norm SMA
0.8119
Calculé le
28/07/2026 14:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2777 | r1h: -1.544% · r4h: -3.177% · r1d: -9.50% · r3d: 13.26% · ema21_slope: -0.4936% · dist_ema21: -6.930% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4151 | rs_1h: -0.782% · rs_4h: -3.888% · rs_1d: -7.28% · rs_3d: 14.35% · beta_24h: -1.431 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1591 | rvol_20: 0.18× · zscore_50: -0.645 · trend: -48.48% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7341 | ADX: 28.1 (trend) · Chop: 36.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9382 | ATR%: 3.185% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
2.2h)
Initial Risk: -7.547%
(0.0832)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.488% | 0.2R | -2.322% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.488% | 0.2R | -7.039% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 2.2h ★ | +1.488% | 0.2R | -7.637% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 25 |
| 4h | +1.488% | 0.2R | -8.762% | 1.2R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.488% | 0.2R | -13.143% | 1.7R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.488% | 0.2R | -16.898% | 2.2R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.29
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.44 | bear_high | -6.19% | +1.00 | 27/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
71%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.09 | range_high | -0.74% | +0.91 | 28/07 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | normal | bear_high |
52%
|
choppy 53% | late | — | — | -0.04 | bear_medium | -1.32% | -0.92 | 28/07 13:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | -0.04 | range_low | -0.32% | -0.25 | 28/07 13:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 17b | — | 4.524×ATR | p53 | +0.596×ATR | p53 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 3.938×ATR | p55 | -0.943×ATR | p78 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 7.103×ATR | p92 | -1.262×ATR | p88 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 4.127×ATR | p75 | -0.717×ATR | p58 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 1.18567085
- tp_price: 1.0749375
- atr: 0.03326834
- expires_at: 2026-07-29T00:10:09+00:00
Details
- rank: 53
- total: 57
- score: 0.2777
- delta_2h: -0.2211
- extension_atr: -2.04
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.554
- confidence: 0.929
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1025 | 1.1857 | 1.0749 | 0.33 | 0.1746 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.1025
- Stop Loss: 1.1857
- Take Profit: 1.0749
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1857 - 1.1025 = 0.0832
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.1025 - 1.0749 = 0.0276
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0276 / 0.0832 = 0.3317
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 106.0468 | 100 | 96.1875 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0832
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0832 = 96.15
Taille de position USD = 96.15 x 1.1025 = 106.01
Donc, tu peux acheter 96.15 avec un stoploss a 1.1857
Avec un position size USD de 106.01$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 96.15 x 0.0832 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 96.15 x 0.0276 = 2.65
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.65$
Résumé
- Taille de position 96.15
- Taille de position USD 106.01
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.65
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3317
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.65 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.55 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.93 $ | -7.47 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -7.5283 % | 99.76 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1025 | 1.1857 | 1.0749 | 0.33 | 0.1746 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.1025
- Stop Loss: 1.1857
- Take Profit: 1.0749
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1857 - 1.1025 = 0.0832
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.1025 - 1.0749 = 0.0276
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0276 / 0.0832 = 0.3317
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.0749
[entry_price] => 1.1025
[stop_loss] => 1.19402
[rr_ratio] => 0.3
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-07-28 22:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.0749
[entry_price] => 1.1025
[stop_loss] => 1.20234
[rr_ratio] => 0.28
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-07-28 23:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.0749
[entry_price] => 1.1025
[stop_loss] => 1.21066
[rr_ratio] => 0.26
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-07-28 23:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
2.2h)
Initial Risk: -7.547%
(0.0832)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.488% | 0.2R | -2.322% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.488% | 0.2R | -7.039% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 2.2h ★ | +1.488% | 0.2R | -7.637% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 25 |
| 4h | +1.488% | 0.2R | -8.762% | 1.2R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.488% | 0.2R | -13.143% | 1.7R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.488% | 0.2R | -16.898% | 2.2R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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