Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 26616.98 XPL at 0.0836$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08416 (0.72 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08326 (0.36 %)
Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 26616.98 XPL at 0.0836$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08416 (0.72 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08326 (0.36 %)
Position
Entry 0.08356$
Qty 26616.9816 XPL
Size 2224.1416$ (margin 100$) (leverage 22)
Risk Setup
TP 0.08416 (+0.72%)
TP $ 15.97$
SL 0.08326 (-0.36%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8964
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.38×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.93×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.51×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 27/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 28/07 16:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 28/07 18:00 Score : -5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.650074 15m : 0.530774 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5146 | r1h: -0.083% · r4h: -0.935% · r1d: 1.63% · r3d: 0.25% · ema21_slope: 0.1540% · dist_ema21: 1.385% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4959 | rs_1h: -0.315% · rs_4h: -1.515% · rs_1d: 2.79% · rs_3d: 0.69% · beta_24h: 1.986 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2049 | rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.895 · trend: -1.54% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6991 | ADX: 24.2 (weak) · Chop: 38.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.516% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.121% | 0.3R | -1.411% | 3.9R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.182% | 3.3R | -1.411% | 3.9R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.182% | 3.3R | -2.151% | 6.0R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.182% | 3.3R | -5.209% | 14.5R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.182% | 3.3R | -5.779% | 16.1R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.53 | bear_high | -5.84% | -0.75 | 27/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid | — | — | 0.38 | range_high | -0.55% | +0.13 | 28/07 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
44%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.45 | bear_medium | -0.76% | +0.39 | 28/07 18:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | — | range_low | +0.06% | -0.10 | 28/07 18:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 24b | — | 4.5×ATR | p65 | +0.13×ATR | p12 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 2.683×ATR | p32 | +0.588×ATR | p61 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.85×ATR | p19 | +0.037×ATR | p6 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.236×ATR | p0 | -0.006×ATR | p2 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63737.6
0.000695304
63782
0.650074
63775.5
0.000101916
63782
0.530774
64201.5
-0.00549167
63849
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0.085991
193
0.6877
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0.6151
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0.4617
0.6025
0.5597
0.1154
0.0436
1
0.6349
0.7178
0.45
0.55
1
6
1
0.4853
0.3656
5.3317
0.55
1.2148
6.1856
0.7178
0
0.215
0.54
-0.0935
0.5563
0.5605
0.6841
0.5597
-3.4236
4.3516
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:50 | 0.08356100 | +0.001% |
| 2 | 18:55 | 0.08318000 | -0.455% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 17:20:00 | 0.084058 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 17:45:00 | 0.08501 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 18:30:00 | 0.083757 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 19:00:00 | 0.084774 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 19:40:00 | 0.083623 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 20:15:00 | 0.084209 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 20:35:00 | 0.083777 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 21:20:00 | 0.083396 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 22:10:00 | 0.084507 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 22:45:00 | 0.083561 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 04:30:00 | 0.078817 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 07:45:00 | 0.079429 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 09:30:00 | 0.081038 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 11:15:00 | 0.079491 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 13:00:00 | 0.082585 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 13:45:00 | 0.080014 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 16:15:00 | 0.085991 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 19:30:00 | 0.083623 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 21:15:00 | 0.083396 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 22:00:00 | 0.084507 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 21:00:00 | 0.0826 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-25 22:00:00 | 0.08388 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-26 13:00:00 | 0.08191 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-26 16:00:00 | 0.083297 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-27 03:00:00 | 0.086775 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-27 13:00:00 | 0.087172 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-27 15:00:00 | 0.082739 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 02:00:00 | 0.078306 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 16:00:00 | 0.085991 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 21:00:00 | 0.083396 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08356 | 0.08326 | 0.08416 | 2 | 0.04328 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.08326 - 0.08356 = -0.00029999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08356 - 0.08416 = -0.0006
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0006 / -0.00029999999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2224.1416 | 100 | 26616.9816 | 22.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00029999999999999 = -26666.67
Taille de position USD = -26666.67 x 0.08356 = -2228.27
Donc, tu peux acheter -26666.67 avec un stoploss a 0.08326
Avec un position size USD de -2228.27$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -26666.67 x -0.00029999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -26666.67 x -0.0006 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.72 % | 15.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.36 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -0.36 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.1142 % | 310.36 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08356 | 0.08326 | 0.08416 | 2 | 0.04328 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.08326 - 0.08356 = -0.00029999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08356 - 0.08416 = -0.0006
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0006 / -0.00029999999999999 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.121% | 0.3R | -1.411% | 3.9R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.182% | 3.3R | -1.411% | 3.9R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.182% | 3.3R | -2.151% | 6.0R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.182% | 3.3R | -5.209% | 14.5R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.182% | 3.3R | -5.779% | 16.1R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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