Long Trade on ARB (BosPullback)
With 7524.88 ARB at 0.0789$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0822 (4.17 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07785 (1.34 %)
Long Trade on ARB (BosPullback)
With 7524.88 ARB at 0.0789$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0822 (4.17 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07785 (1.34 %)
Position
Entry 0.07891$
Qty 7524.8791 ARB
Size 593.7882$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 0.0822 (+4.17%)
TP $ 24.76$
SL 0.07785 (-1.34%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 3.1
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3440
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.10×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 6.42×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 24.33×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 27/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 28/07 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (-1) 28/07 19:00 Score : -6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_medium |
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5018 | r1h: -0.013% · r4h: 0.908% · r1d: 2.68% · r3d: -4.76% · ema21_slope: 0.0052% · dist_ema21: 0.568% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5191 | rs_1h: 0.139% · rs_4h: 0.675% · rs_1d: 2.55% · rs_3d: -3.92% · beta_24h: 0.961 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1508 | rvol_20: 0.43× · zscore_50: -0.738 · trend: -57.48% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5863 | ADX: 23.2 (weak) · Chop: 51.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.907% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.583% | 0.4R | -0.393% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.646% | 0.5R | -0.393% | 0.3R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.646% | 0.5R | -1.217% | 0.9R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.646% | 0.5R | -2.763% | 2.1R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.646% | 0.5R | -2.763% | 2.1R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.72 | bear_high | -5.84% | -0.00 | 27/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.71 | bear_high | -1.14% | -0.42 | 28/07 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.61 | bear_medium | -1.13% | +0.12 | 28/07 19:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_medium |
39%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.75 | range_low | -0.28% | +0.05 | 28/07 19:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 16b | — | 4.649×ATR | p65 | -1.009×ATR | p77 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.446×ATR | p0 | -0.181×ATR | p22 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.266×ATR | p0 | +0.322×ATR | p35 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.872×ATR | p14 | -0.076×ATR | p11 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.07791
146
0.4968
0.485
0.3581
0.2141
0.4758
0.7109
0.3171
0.4786
0.5994
0.3788
0.4572
0.2255
0.0214
-0.0535
0.3333
0.4498
-0.894
0.45
0.55
1
8
1
0.5718
0.3957
3.2989
0.5
0.7109
2.3452
-0.894
0.4204
0.2829
0.44
-0.1278
0.4565
0.5138
0
0.2255
-11.8871
3.4615
1
0
1
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[price] => 0.07857
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[price] => 0.07973
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[label] => HH
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[price] => 0.07791
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
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[price] => 0.07937
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
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0.07791
0.07973
0.07973
0.07791
0.07994
0.07873
0.079335
0.8551
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:22 | 0.07891000 | 0% |
| 2 | 19:27 | 0.07891000 | 0% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07891 | 0.07785 | 0.0822 | 3.1 | 0.1321 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07785 - 0.07891 = -0.00106
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07891 - 0.0822 = -0.00329
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00329 / -0.00106 = 3.1038
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 593.7882 | 100 | 7524.8791 | 6.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00106 = -7547.17
Taille de position USD = -7547.17 x 0.07891 = -595.55
Donc, tu peux acheter -7547.17 avec un stoploss a 0.07785
Avec un position size USD de -595.55$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -7547.17 x -0.00106 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -7547.17 x -0.00329 = 24.83
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24.83$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.17 % | 24.76 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.34 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.98 $ | -1.34 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.7488 % | 130.19 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07891 | 0.07785 | 0.0822 | 3.1 | 0.1321 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07785 - 0.07891 = -0.00106
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07891 - 0.0822 = -0.00329
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00329 / -0.00106 = 3.1038
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.583% | 0.4R | -0.393% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.646% | 0.5R | -0.393% | 0.3R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.646% | 0.5R | -1.217% | 0.9R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.646% | 0.5R | -2.763% | 2.1R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.646% | 0.5R | -2.763% | 2.1R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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