Long Trade on AAVE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2.77 AAVE at 101.07$ per unit. Take profit: 103.5968 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 98.1768 (2.86 %)
Long Trade on AAVE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2.77 AAVE at 101.07$ per unit. Take profit: 103.5968 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 98.1768 (2.86 %)
Position
Entry 101.07$
Qty 2.7651 AAVE
Size 279.4712$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 103.5968 (+2.5%)
TP $ 6.99$
SL 98.1768 (-2.86%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.87
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9241
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.10×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.11×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.26×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 28/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 28/07 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6666 | r1h: 0.892% · r4h: 0.494% · r1d: 4.17% · r3d: 10.45% · ema21_slope: 0.1583% · dist_ema21: 1.948% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6650 | rs_1h: 0.658% · rs_4h: 0.226% · rs_1d: 3.22% · rs_3d: 11.12% · beta_24h: 1.818 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2496 | rvol_20: 0.73× · zscore_50: -0.260 · trend: -27.88% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7135 | ADX: 28.6 (trend) · Chop: 41.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.207% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.188% | 0.1R | -0.891% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.188% | 0.1R | -1.969% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.188% | 0.1R | -3.571% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.188% | 0.1R | -3.571% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.188% | 0.1R | -3.571% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.188% | 0.1R | -4.250% | 1.5R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.72 | bear_high | -5.28% | +0.74 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.58 | range_high | -0.45% | +0.79 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.51 | range_medium | -0.41% | +0.29 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bull_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -0.8ATR | — | range_low | +0.34% | -0.01 | 28/07 20:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 11b | — | 2.904×ATR | p19 | +0.973×ATR | p81 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 2.512×ATR | p21 | +0.725×ATR | p66 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 1b | — | 1.779×ATR | p6 | +0.784×ATR | p64 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 1.04×ATR | p0 | +1.122×ATR | p86 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101.07 | 98.1768 | 103.5968 | 0.87 | 104.4 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 98.1768 - 101.07 = -2.8932
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 101.07 - 103.5968 = -2.5268
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.5268 / -2.8932 = 0.8734
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 279.4712 | 100 | 2.7651 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -2.8932 = -2.77
Taille de position USD = -2.77 x 101.07 = -279.96
Donc, tu peux acheter -2.77 avec un stoploss a 98.1768
Avec un position size USD de -279.96$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2.77 x -2.8932 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2.77 x -2.5268 = 7
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 6.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.86 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -2.86 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.9019 % | 101.37 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101.07 | 98.1768 | 103.5968 | 0.87 | 104.4 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 98.1768 - 101.07 = -2.8932
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 101.07 - 103.5968 = -2.5268
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.5268 / -2.8932 = 0.8734
Array
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Array
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[1.1] => Array
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[take_profit] => 103.5968
[entry_price] => 101.07
[stop_loss] => 97.88748
[rr_ratio] => 0.79
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-07-29 04:05:00+00
[result] => loss
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[1.2] => Array
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[take_profit] => 103.5968
[entry_price] => 101.07
[stop_loss] => 97.59816
[rr_ratio] => 0.73
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-07-29 04:15:00+00
[result] => loss
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)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.188% | 0.1R | -0.891% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.188% | 0.1R | -1.969% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.188% | 0.1R | -3.571% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.188% | 0.1R | -3.571% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.188% | 0.1R | -3.571% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.188% | 0.1R | -4.250% | 1.5R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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