Short Trade on ZRO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 205.09 ZRO at 0.817$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7964 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8558 (4.77 %)
28 Jul 2026 at 22:10:05
hyperliquid
ZRO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
28 Jul 2026 22:10
→ 23:15
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.8168$
Qty 205.0914 ZRO
Size 167.5228$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.7964 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.18$
SL 0.8558 (-4.77%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.52
Status
win
PnL
+1.22%
/ +2.04$
MAE -1.58%
MFE +1.48%
0.3R
expires
28 Jul 23:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=36 <= threshold=40/50
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 51711)
#50 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/07/2026 22:00
score du 28/07/2026 22:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1215
Quality Score
0.394
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#50 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#50 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.90×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.31×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.87×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/07 22:00
28/07 22:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/07 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1130
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.70
Transition risk :
0.30
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.82
Snapshot évalué :
28/07 22:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
28/07/2026 22:00
Score brut
0.3942
Score SMA
0.4668
Rank
#50
/ 50
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1215
Rank Norm SMA
0.3301
Calculé le
28/07/2026 22:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2736 | r1h: -1.569% · r4h: -1.570% · r1d: -5.69% · r3d: -5.02% · ema21_slope: -0.3427% · dist_ema21: -3.393% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3009 | rs_1h: -1.335% · rs_4h: -1.317% · rs_1d: -6.62% · rs_3d: -4.00% · beta_24h: 1.295 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1622 | rvol_20: 0.50× · zscore_50: -0.707 · trend: -43.41% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6965 | ADX: 35.4 (trend) · Chop: 50.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.991% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
1.2h)
Initial Risk: -4.775%
(0.0390)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.216% | 0.3R | -1.584% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +1.475% | 0.3R | -1.584% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 13 |
| 2h | +3.566% | 0.8R | -1.584% | 0.3R | 2.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.768% | 0.8R | -1.584% | 0.3R | 2.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.232% | 0.9R | -1.584% | 0.3R | 2.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.232% | 0.9R | -1.584% | 0.3R | 2.7× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.99
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -5.28% | -0.75 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
46%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.43 | range_high | -0.63% | -0.29 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.27 | bear_medium | -0.82% | -0.63 | 28/07 21:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | normal | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 49% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.06% | -0.07 | 28/07 21:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 1.231×ATR | p0 | -0.14×ATR | p14 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 4.787×ATR | p63 | -0.763×ATR | p67 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.587×ATR | p4 | -0.683×ATR | p54 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 3.595×ATR | p58 | -1.032×ATR | p71 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.85582699
- tp_price: 0.7963995
- atr: 0.01560279
- expires_at: 2026-07-29T08:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 50
- total: 52
- score: 0.2736
- delta_2h: -0.0498
- extension_atr: -1.45
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1215
- confidence: 0.961
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8168 | 0.8558 | 0.7964 | 0.52 | 1.4711 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.8168
- Stop Loss: 0.8558
- Take Profit: 0.7964
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8558 - 0.8168 = 0.039
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8168 - 0.7964 = 0.0204
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0204 / 0.039 = 0.5231
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 167.5228 | 100 | 205.0914 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.039
Taille de position = 8 / 0.039 = 205.13
Taille de position USD = 205.13 x 0.8168 = 167.55
Donc, tu peux acheter 205.13 avec un stoploss a 0.8558
Avec un position size USD de 167.55$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 205.13 x 0.039 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 205.13 x 0.0204 = 4.18
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.18$
Résumé
- Taille de position 205.13
- Taille de position USD 167.55
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.18
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5231
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.18 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.77 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.04 $ | 1.22 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5842 % | 33.18 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8168 | 0.8558 | 0.7964 | 0.52 | 1.4711 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.8168
- Stop Loss: 0.8558
- Take Profit: 0.7964
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8558 - 0.8168 = 0.039
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8168 - 0.7964 = 0.0204
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0204 / 0.039 = 0.5231
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
1.2h)
Initial Risk: -4.775%
(0.0390)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.216% | 0.3R | -1.584% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +1.475% | 0.3R | -1.584% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 13 |
| 2h | +3.566% | 0.8R | -1.584% | 0.3R | 2.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.768% | 0.8R | -1.584% | 0.3R | 2.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.232% | 0.9R | -1.584% | 0.3R | 2.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.232% | 0.9R | -1.584% | 0.3R | 2.7× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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