Long Trade on JUP (CatchTheWave)
With 7249.2 JUP at 0.189$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1915 (1.16 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1882 (0.58 %)
Long Trade on JUP (CatchTheWave)
With 7249.2 JUP at 0.189$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1915 (1.16 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1882 (0.58 %)
Position
Entry 0.1893$
Qty 7249.2003 JUP
Size 1372.2011$ (margin 100$) (leverage 14)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1915 (+1.16%)
TP $ 15.95$
SL 0.1882 (-0.58%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9080
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.18×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.22×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.05×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 28/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 28/07 23:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.695882 15m : 0.590418 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6556 | r1h: 1.070% · r4h: 1.817% · r1d: 5.88% · r3d: 3.29% · ema21_slope: 0.2056% · dist_ema21: 2.218% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6437 | rs_1h: 0.561% · rs_4h: 1.425% · rs_1d: 4.55% · rs_3d: 4.06% · beta_24h: 2.127 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4179 | rvol_20: 1.14× · zscore_50: 0.239 · trend: 24.18% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7536 | ADX: 30.4 (trend) · Chop: 37.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.231% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.180% | 0.3R | -1.025% | 1.8R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.590% | 2.7R | -1.025% | 1.8R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.773% | 4.8R | -1.025% | 1.8R | 2.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.385% | 7.6R | -1.025% | 1.8R | 4.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.385% | 7.6R | -1.025% | 1.8R | 4.3× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -5.28% | -0.82 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | near -0.3ATR | near -0.2ATR | 0.63 | range_high | -0.60% | +0.24 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.64 | range_medium | -0.60% | +0.35 | 28/07 23:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
50%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.73 | range_low | +0.02% | -0.01 | 28/07 23:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 27b | — | 5.163×ATR | p60 | +0.133×ATR | p16 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 7b | — | 3.53×ATR | p63 | +0.7×ATR | p64 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.027×ATR | p0 | +0.229×ATR | p25 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.055×ATR | p16 | -0.482×ATR | p48 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63852
-0.000642141
63811
0.695882
63632.1
0.00334552
63845
0.590418
64148.9
-0.00375614
63908
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0.18879
195
0.737
0.485
0.4481
0.3164
0.5558
0.7436
0.4339
0.5397
0.687
0.6797
0.6801
0.8249
0.1543
0.0768
1
1.0186
1.555
0.6
0.4
1
12
0.9474
0.4199
0.4255
2.0892
0.6
0.7436
1.5535
1.555
0.6002
0.2309
0.64
0.1436
0.6004
0.5414
0.9719
0.8249
-1.2753
6.0083
1
0
2
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:28 | 0.18929000 | -0.005% |
| 2 | 23:33 | 0.18868000 | -0.328% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 20:20:00 | 0.18964 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 20:35:00 | 0.18879 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 21:50:00 | 0.1923 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 23:05:00 | 0.18879 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 00:30:00 | 0.19151 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 00:50:00 | 0.19328 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 01:15:00 | 0.19022 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 02:00:00 | 0.19022 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 02:40:00 | 0.19322 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 03:25:00 | 0.18929 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 13:30:00 | 0.18139 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 15:15:00 | 0.19197 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 17:00:00 | 0.19166 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 18:30:00 | 0.18758 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 21:45:00 | 0.1923 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 23:00:00 | 0.18879 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 00:45:00 | 0.19328 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 01:15:00 | 0.19022 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 02:30:00 | 0.19322 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 03:15:00 | 0.19021 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 14:00:00 | 0.18576 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-27 06:00:00 | 0.19403 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-27 13:00:00 | 0.19311 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-27 16:00:00 | 0.18436 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-27 20:00:00 | 0.18768 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-27 22:00:00 | 0.17741 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 06:00:00 | 0.18389 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 11:00:00 | 0.18129 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 15:00:00 | 0.19197 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 00:00:00 | 0.19328 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1893 | 0.1882 | 0.1915 | 2 | 0.2436 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1882 - 0.1893 = -0.0011
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1893 - 0.1915 = -0.0022
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0022 / -0.0011 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1372.2011 | 100 | 7249.2003 | 14.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0011 = -7272.73
Taille de position USD = -7272.73 x 0.1893 = -1376.73
Donc, tu peux acheter -7272.73 avec un stoploss a 0.1882
Avec un position size USD de -1376.73$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -7272.73 x -0.0011 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -7272.73 x -0.0022 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.16 % | 15.95 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.58 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.97 $ | -0.58 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8769 % | 150.9 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1893 | 0.1882 | 0.1915 | 2 | 0.2436 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1882 - 0.1893 = -0.0011
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1893 - 0.1915 = -0.0022
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0022 / -0.0011 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.180% | 0.3R | -1.025% | 1.8R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.590% | 2.7R | -1.025% | 1.8R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.773% | 4.8R | -1.025% | 1.8R | 2.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.385% | 7.6R | -1.025% | 1.8R | 4.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.385% | 7.6R | -1.025% | 1.8R | 4.3× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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