Short Trade on ZRO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 198.7 ZRO at 0.793$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7736 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8337 (5.08 %)
29 Jul 2026 at 00:10:06
hyperliquid
ZRO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
29 Jul 2026 00:10
→ 06:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.7934$
Qty 198.7026 ZRO
Size 157.6586$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.7736 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.93$
SL 0.8337 (-5.08%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.49
Status
loss
PnL
-0.24%
/ -0.38$
MAE -1.32%
MFE +1.41%
0.3R
expires
29 Jul 06:10
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 51811)
#47 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/07/2026 00:00
score du 29/07/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1626
Quality Score
0.412
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#47 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.08 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#47 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.08 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.32×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.16×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.87×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/07 00:00
29/07 00:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/07 23:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1132
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.70
Transition risk :
0.30
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.82
Snapshot évalué :
29/07 00:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
29/07/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.4116
Score SMA
0.4613
Rank
#47
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1626
Rank Norm SMA
0.3037
Calculé le
29/07/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1766 | r1h: -2.011% · r4h: -3.054% · r1d: -8.06% · r3d: -6.92% · ema21_slope: -0.3692% · dist_ema21: -4.970% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2137 | rs_1h: -1.700% · rs_4h: -2.808% · rs_1d: -8.74% · rs_3d: -5.73% · beta_24h: 1.253 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4613 | rvol_20: 1.84× · zscore_50: 0.025 · trend: -16.49% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7530 | ADX: 35.4 (trend) · Chop: 43.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.100% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.079%
(0.0403)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.930% | 0.2R | -0.532% | 0.1R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.930% | 0.2R | -0.551% | 0.1R | 1.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.317% | 0.3R | -1.322% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.408% | 0.3R | -1.322% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.408% | 0.3R | -1.322% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.915% | 0.6R | -1.322% | 0.3R | 2.2× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.89
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -5.28% | -0.75 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
45%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.43 | range_high | -0.60% | -0.44 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | normal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.28 | bear_medium | -0.84% | -0.75 | 28/07 23:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
47%
|
noisy_chop 52% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.13% | -0.32 | 28/07 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 1.231×ATR | p0 | -0.14×ATR | p14 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 5.13×ATR | p71 | -1.05×ATR | p84 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 2.734×ATR | p42 | -1.354×ATR | p86 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 4.828×ATR | p81 | -2.078×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.83370118
- tp_price: 0.773604
- atr: 0.01610447
- expires_at: 2026-07-29T10:10:06+00:00
Details
- rank: 50
- total: 51
- score: 0.1766
- delta_2h: -0.097
- extension_atr: -2.32
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1626
- confidence: 0.98
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:10 | 0.79344000 | +0.005% |
| 2 | 01:10 | 0.78816000 | -0.66% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7934 | 0.8337 | 0.7736 | 0.49 | 1.3863 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.7934
- Stop Loss: 0.8337
- Take Profit: 0.7736
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8337 - 0.7934 = 0.0403
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7934 - 0.7736 = 0.0198
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0198 / 0.0403 = 0.4913
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 157.6586 | 100 | 198.7026 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0403
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0403 = 198.51
Taille de position USD = 198.51 x 0.7934 = 157.5
Donc, tu peux acheter 198.51 avec un stoploss a 0.8337
Avec un position size USD de 157.5$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 198.51 x 0.0403 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 198.51 x 0.0198 = 3.93
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.93$
Résumé
- Taille de position 198.51
- Taille de position USD 157.5
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.93
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4913
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.93 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.08 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.38 $ | -0.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3222 % | 26.03 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7934 | 0.8337 | 0.7736 | 0.49 | 1.3863 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.7934
- Stop Loss: 0.8337
- Take Profit: 0.7736
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8337 - 0.7934 = 0.0403
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7934 - 0.7736 = 0.0198
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0198 / 0.0403 = 0.4913
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.079%
(0.0403)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.930% | 0.2R | -0.532% | 0.1R | 1.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.930% | 0.2R | -0.551% | 0.1R | 1.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.317% | 0.3R | -1.322% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.408% | 0.3R | -1.322% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.408% | 0.3R | -1.322% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.915% | 0.6R | -1.322% | 0.3R | 2.2× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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