Short Trade on ZEC (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 0.8 ZEC at 460.7$ per unit. Take profit: 435.673 (5.43 %) & Stop Loss: 470.7108 (2.17 %)
29 Jul 2026 at 00:37:56
hyperliquid
ZEC
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Jul 2026 00:37
→ 12:30
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 460.7$
Qty 0.7991 ZEC
Size 368.1617$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 435.673 (+5.43%)
TP $ 20$
SL 470.7108 (-2.17%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-0.77%
/ -2.82$
MAE -1.84%
MFE +0.99%
0.5R
expires
29 Jul 12:37
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 51836)
#44 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/07/2026 00:00
score du 29/07/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2467
Quality Score
0.428
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#44 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.17 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#44 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.17 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.19×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.22×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
86.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/07 00:32
29/07 00:32
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/07 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/07 00:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
29/07/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.4277
Score SMA
0.4982
Rank
#44
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2467
Rank Norm SMA
0.4250
Calculé le
29/07/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3007 | r1h: -1.228% · r4h: -2.085% · r1d: -4.12% · r3d: -6.53% · ema21_slope: -0.1223% · dist_ema21: -2.446% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3191 | rs_1h: -0.917% · rs_4h: -1.840% · rs_1d: -4.79% · rs_3d: -5.33% · beta_24h: 2.560 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2923 | rvol_20: 0.69× · zscore_50: -0.123 · trend: 2.44% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6620 | ADX: 30.5 (trend) · Chop: 49.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.425% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.173%
(10.0108)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.547% | 0.3R | -0.953% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.547% | 0.3R | -1.782% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.547% | 0.3R | -1.836% | 0.9R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.992% | 0.5R | -1.836% | 0.9R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.992% | 0.5R | -1.836% | 0.9R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.992% | 0.5R | -3.069% | 1.4R | 0.3× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.65
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.42 | bear_high | -5.28% | -0.37 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.70 | bear_high | -0.99% | -0.49 | 29/07 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.58 | bear_medium | -0.88% | -0.34 | 29/07 00:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | expansion | bear_medium |
66%
|
noisy_chop 50% | early | — | — | 0.69 | range_low | -0.11% | -0.11 | 29/07 00:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 14b | — | 3.685×ATR | p22 | -0.788×ATR | p69 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 14b | — | 4.669×ATR | p73 | -1.003×ATR | p80 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.362×ATR | p57 | -0.879×ATR | p76 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 2.305×ATR | p26 | +0.073×ATR | p9 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7666
- reason: down_bo width=2.68×ATR dur=36b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 470.71081837
- tp_price: 435.67295408
- atr:
- score: 0.76661347831474
- expires_at: 2026-07-29T16:37:49.140097
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.76661347831474
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.097
- obi_top10 : 0.097
- micro_price : 460.47997183
- spread_pct : 0.002172
- mid_price : 460.475
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1071
- obi_top5_std : 0.0152
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7087
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
479.27
- balance_zone_bottom:
460.77
- balance_zone_mid:
470.02
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785171600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785297600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.678
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
36
- balance_zone_quality: loose
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7666
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785294000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
460.77
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.75
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.0101
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 6.9081837 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
36
inside_close_ratio
0.75
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.0101
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:37 | 460.70000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 00:42 | 460.70000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 00:48 | 460.70000000 | 0% |
| 4 | 00:53 | 459.23000000 | -0.319% |
| 5 | 00:58 | 459.23000000 | -0.319% |
| 6 | 01:04 | 459.23000000 | -0.319% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7087ms
Confidence avant OB :
77%
→
77%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.097
avg 0.107
± 0.015
OBI Top 10
0.097
Microstructure
Mid Price
460.4750
Micro Price
460.4800
Spread
0.0022%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 460.7 | 470.7108 | 435.673 | 2.5 | 833.39 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 460.7
- Stop Loss: 470.7108
- Take Profit: 435.673
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 470.7108 - 460.7 = 10.0108
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 460.7 - 435.673 = 25.027
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 25.027 / 10.0108 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 368.1617 | 100 | 0.7991 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 10.0108
Taille de position = 8 / 10.0108 = 0.8
Taille de position USD = 0.8 x 460.7 = 368.56
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.8 avec un stoploss a 470.7108
Avec un position size USD de 368.56$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.8 x 10.0108 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.8 x 25.027 = 20.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.02$
Résumé
- Taille de position 0.8
- Taille de position USD 368.56
- Perte potentielle 8.01
- Gain potentiel 20.02
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.43 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.17 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.82 $ | -0.77 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.8363 % | 84.51 % | 23 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 460.7 | 470.7108 | 435.673 | 2.5 | 833.39 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 460.7
- Stop Loss: 470.7108
- Take Profit: 435.673
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 470.7108 - 460.7 = 10.0108
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 460.7 - 435.673 = 25.027
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 25.027 / 10.0108 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.173%
(10.0108)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.547% | 0.3R | -0.953% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.547% | 0.3R | -1.782% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.547% | 0.3R | -1.836% | 0.9R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.992% | 0.5R | -1.836% | 0.9R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.992% | 0.5R | -1.836% | 0.9R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.992% | 0.5R | -3.069% | 1.4R | 0.3× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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