Short Trade on PUMP

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29 Jul 2026 at 02:10:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_score)

With 61953.07 PUMP at 0.00185$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.001984 (6.95 %)

PUMP SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 29 Jul 2026 02:10 → 05:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.001855$

Qty 61953.0705 PUMP

Size 114.9229$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 114.92$

SL 0.001984 (-6.95%)

SL $ 7.99$

Status loss PnL -1.29% / -1.49$ MAE -1.67% MFE +0.49% 0.1R expires 29 Jul 05:10 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 51942)

#55 / 56

seuil : top 15
score du 29/07/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1707

Quality Score

0.406

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#55 / 56

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

98 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-4

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.95 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#55 / 56

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

98 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-4

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.95 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	0.11×ATR
4h	near	0.25×ATR
1d	clear	—

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↑ up	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

N/A

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

LOW

seuil : ≥ +3

Local 4h

N/A

attendu : bearish

Median return 4h

N/A

attendu : < -1.5

Décision V6

N/A

regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

24.2M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
29/07 02:02

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 29/07 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/07 01:00 Score : -4 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

28/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

29/07 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/07 01:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1134

Voir snapshot →

range compression range_bound

Strategic	range —	compression 0
Operational	range —	range 0
Tactical	range —	transition 0
Micro	— —

MTF alignment : 0.65

Stability : 0.70

Transition risk : 0.30

Score contribution (this trade) 0

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.82

Snapshot évalué : 29/07 02:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 29/07/2026 02:00

Score brut

0.4062

Score SMA

0.4892

Rank

#55 / 56

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1707

Rank Norm SMA

0.3710

Calculé le

29/07/2026 02:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3028	r1h: 0.539% · r4h: -3.862% · r1d: -7.25% · r3d: 3.15% · ema21_slope: -0.2881% · dist_ema21: -4.928%
Force Relative	25%	0.3563	rs_1h: 0.442% · rs_4h: -4.379% · rs_1d: -8.16% · rs_3d: 3.74% · beta_24h: 1.391
Volume	20%	0.1662	rvol_20: 0.43× · zscore_50: -0.838 · trend: -33.47%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6200	ADX: 18.5 (weak) · Chop: 42.5 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.433% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.954% (0.0001)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.485%	0.1R	-1.132%	0.2R	0.4×	12
2h	+0.485%	0.1R	-1.132%	0.2R	0.4×	24
3h ★	+0.485%	0.1R	-1.671%	0.2R	0.3×	36
4h	+0.485%	0.1R	-2.695%	0.4R	0.2×	48
8h	+0.485%	0.1R	-4.744%	0.7R	0.1×	96
12h	+0.485%	0.1R	-4.744%	0.7R	0.1×	144

computed 3 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.41

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 45%	mid	—	—	0.60	bear_high	-5.28%	+0.99	28/07 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	volatile_reversal	bull_high	53%	noisy_chop 34%	mid	near 0.2ATR	—	0.54	range_high	-0.56%	+0.48	29/07 00:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	compression	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 44%	late	near 0.1ATR	—	0.27	range_medium	-0.42%	-0.74	29/07 01:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	compression	bear_high	62%	noisy_chop 49%	early	—	—	0.31	range_low	+0.24%	-0.48	29/07 01:45
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	mid	15b	—	4.035×ATR	p65	+0.316×ATR	p38
4h	↓ down	mid	10b	—	3.779×ATR	p57	-1.007×ATR	p81
1h	↓ down	late	7b	—	2.95×ATR	p67	-1.345×ATR	p90
15m	↑ up	early	5b	—	2.191×ATR	p21	-0.499×ATR	p42

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.00198413
atr: 4.304E-5
expires_at: 2026-07-29T09:10:05+00:00

Details

rank: 55
total: 56
score: 0.3028
confidence: 0.982

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.001855	0.001984			0.002918

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.001855
Stop Loss: 0.001984
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.001984 - 0.001855 = 0.000129
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.001855 - = 0.001855
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.001855 / 0.000129 = 14.3798

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
114.9229	100	61953.0705	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.000129

Taille de position = 8 / 0.000129 = 62015.5

Taille de position USD = 62015.5 x 0.001855 = 115.04

Donc, tu peux acheter 62015.5 avec un stoploss a 0.001984

Avec un position size USD de 115.04$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 62015.5 x 0.000129 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 62015.5 x 0.001855 = 115.04

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 115.04$

Résumé

Taille de position 62015.5
Taille de position USD 115.04
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 115.04
Risk-Reward Ratio 14.3798

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
100 %	114.92 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
6.95 %	7.99 $

PNL	PNL %
-1.49 $	-1.29

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.6712 %	24.03 %	7

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.001855	0.001984			0.002918

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.001855
Stop Loss: 0.001984
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.001984 - 0.001855 = 0.000129
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.001855 - = 0.001855
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.001855 / 0.000129 = 14.3798

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.954% (0.0001)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.485%	0.1R	-1.132%	0.2R	0.4×	12
2h	+0.485%	0.1R	-1.132%	0.2R	0.4×	24
3h ★	+0.485%	0.1R	-1.671%	0.2R	0.3×	36
4h	+0.485%	0.1R	-2.695%	0.4R	0.2×	48
8h	+0.485%	0.1R	-4.744%	0.7R	0.1×	96
12h	+0.485%	0.1R	-4.744%	0.7R	0.1×	144

computed 3 months ago

Commentaires

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