Long Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 92.1 KAITO at 1.239$ per unit. Take profit: 1.2702 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1523 (7.01 %)
29 Jul 2026 at 02:10:08
hyperliquid
KAITO
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
29 Jul 2026 02:10
→ 06:15
· 4 hours
Position
Entry 1.2392$
Qty 92.0987 KAITO
Size 114.1287$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 1.2702 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.86$
SL 1.1523 (-7.01%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.36
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +2.86$
MAE -2.23%
MFE +3.11%
0.4R
expires
29 Jul 08:10
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 51941)
#6 / 56
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/07/2026 02:00
score du 29/07/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8938
Quality Score
0.628
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#6 / 56
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.01 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#6 / 56
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.01 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.14×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.28×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
11.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/07 02:02
29/07 02:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 29/07 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 29/07 01:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1134
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.70
Transition risk :
0.30
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.82
Snapshot évalué :
29/07 02:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
29/07/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.6275
Score SMA
0.5544
Rank
#6
/ 56
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8938
Rank Norm SMA
0.7168
Calculé le
29/07/2026 02:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6979 | r1h: -0.166% · r4h: 1.712% · r1d: 0.22% · r3d: 22.44% · ema21_slope: 0.2168% · dist_ema21: 4.184% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6303 | rs_1h: -0.263% · rs_4h: 1.195% · rs_1d: -0.69% · rs_3d: 23.04% · beta_24h: 1.205 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2701 | rvol_20: 0.74× · zscore_50: -0.308 · trend: -11.32% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7104 | ADX: 25.2 (trend) · Chop: 34.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.815% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.013%
(0.0869)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.227% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.694% | 0.1R | -2.227% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.742% | 0.1R | -2.227% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.107% | 0.4R | -2.227% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.107% | 0.4R | -2.227% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +10.805% | 1.5R | -2.227% | 0.3R | 4.9× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.98
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.44 | bear_high | -5.28% | +1.00 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.09 | range_high | -0.56% | +0.98 | 29/07 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | near 0.1ATR | -0.02 | range_medium | -0.42% | +0.64 | 29/07 01:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.01 | range_low | +0.24% | +0.19 | 29/07 01:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 18b | — | 5.15×ATR | p63 | +0.75×ATR | p65 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 2.593×ATR | p19 | +0.688×ATR | p63 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 0.821×ATR | p0 | +0.799×ATR | p68 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.464×ATR | p0 | -0.011×ATR | p2 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2392 | 1.1523 | 1.2702 | 0.36 | 0.1823 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.2392
- Stop Loss: 1.1523
- Take Profit: 1.2702
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1523 - 1.2392 = -0.0869
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.2392 - 1.2702 = -0.031
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.031 / -0.0869 = 0.3567
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 114.1287 | 100 | 92.0987 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0869
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0869 = -92.06
Taille de position USD = -92.06 x 1.2392 = -114.08
Donc, tu peux acheter -92.06 avec un stoploss a 1.1523
Avec un position size USD de -114.08$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -92.06 x -0.0869 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -92.06 x -0.031 = 2.85
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.85$
Résumé
- Taille de position -92.06
- Taille de position USD -114.08
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.85
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3567
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.86 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.01 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.86 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.2272 % | 31.76 % | 13 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2392 | 1.1523 | 1.2702 | 0.36 | 0.1823 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.2392
- Stop Loss: 1.1523
- Take Profit: 1.2702
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1523 - 1.2392 = -0.0869
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.2392 - 1.2702 = -0.031
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.031 / -0.0869 = 0.3567
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.013%
(0.0869)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.227% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.694% | 0.1R | -2.227% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.742% | 0.1R | -2.227% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.107% | 0.4R | -2.227% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.107% | 0.4R | -2.227% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +10.805% | 1.5R | -2.227% | 0.3R | 4.9× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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