Long Trade on KAITO (CatchTheWave)
With 417.2 KAITO at 1.216$ per unit. Take profit: 1.2543 (3.16 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1967 (1.58 %)
Long Trade on KAITO (CatchTheWave)
With 417.2 KAITO at 1.216$ per unit. Take profit: 1.2543 (3.16 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1967 (1.58 %)
Position
Entry 1.2159$
Qty 417.1958 KAITO
Size 507.2683$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 1.2543 (+3.16%)
TP $ 16.02$
SL 1.1967 (-1.58%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8938
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.14×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.28×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 29/07 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 29/07 01:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.049906 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_high |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6979 | r1h: -0.166% · r4h: 1.712% · r1d: 0.22% · r3d: 22.44% · ema21_slope: 0.2168% · dist_ema21: 4.184% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6303 | rs_1h: -0.263% · rs_4h: 1.195% · rs_1d: -0.69% · rs_3d: 23.04% · beta_24h: 1.205 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2701 | rvol_20: 0.74× · zscore_50: -0.308 · trend: -11.32% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7104 | ADX: 25.2 (trend) · Chop: 34.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.815% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.834% | 1.2R | -0.099% | 0.1R | 18.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.624% | 1.7R | -0.099% | 0.1R | 26.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +4.696% | 3.0R | -0.099% | 0.1R | 47.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.083% | 3.2R | -0.099% | 0.1R | 51.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +12.929% | 8.2R | -0.099% | 0.1R | 131.0× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.44 | bear_high | -5.28% | +1.00 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.09 | range_high | -0.56% | +0.98 | 29/07 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | near 0.1ATR | -0.02 | range_medium | -0.42% | +0.64 | 29/07 01:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.01 | range_low | +0.24% | +0.19 | 29/07 01:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 18b | — | 5.15×ATR | p63 | +0.75×ATR | p65 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 2.593×ATR | p19 | +0.688×ATR | p63 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 0.821×ATR | p0 | +0.799×ATR | p68 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.464×ATR | p0 | -0.011×ATR | p2 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63889.3
0.00242101
64044
-0.049906
0
0
64044
64139.5
-0.00135013
64053
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1.4293
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12
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0.4431
0.5387
7.4432
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5.8228
1.4293
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0.2423
0.3
-0.2365
0.5106
0.4999
0.4837
0.7294
-3.595
9.6924
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:16 | 1.21590000 | 0% |
| 2 | 02:22 | 1.21940000 | +0.288% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 00:05:00 | 1.2176 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 00:35:00 | 1.1924 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 01:45:00 | 1.2206 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 03:05:00 | 1.2888 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 04:00:00 | 1.2312 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 04:25:00 | 1.2685 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 04:50:00 | 1.2381 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 05:00:00 | 1.2681 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 05:45:00 | 1.2628 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 06:10:00 | 1.1987 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 10:00:00 | 1.1393 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 12:30:00 | 1.1159 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 15:15:00 | 1.1628 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 18:15:00 | 1.0861 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 20:15:00 | 1.1867 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 20:45:00 | 1.1492 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 00:30:00 | 1.1924 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 03:00:00 | 1.2888 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 04:00:00 | 1.2312 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 06:00:00 | 1.1987 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 02:00:00 | 0.92584 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-25 08:00:00 | 1.0037 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-25 17:00:00 | 0.91864 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-26 04:00:00 | 0.99152 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-26 13:00:00 | 1.227 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-27 06:00:00 | 1.2523 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-27 10:00:00 | 1.1246 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-27 22:00:00 | 1.3581 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 18:00:00 | 1.0861 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 03:00:00 | 1.2888 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2159 | 1.1967 | 1.2543 | 2 | 0.1831 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1967 - 1.2159 = -0.0192
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.2159 - 1.2543 = -0.0384
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0384 / -0.0192 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 507.2683 | 100 | 417.1958 | 5.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0192 = -416.67
Taille de position USD = -416.67 x 1.2159 = -506.63
Donc, tu peux acheter -416.67 avec un stoploss a 1.1967
Avec un position size USD de -506.63$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -416.67 x -0.0192 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -416.67 x -0.0384 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.16 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.58 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.02 $ | 3.16 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0987 % | 6.25 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2159 | 1.1967 | 1.2543 | 2 | 0.1831 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1967 - 1.2159 = -0.0192
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.2159 - 1.2543 = -0.0384
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0384 / -0.0192 = 2
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.834% | 1.2R | -0.099% | 0.1R | 18.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.624% | 1.7R | -0.099% | 0.1R | 26.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +4.696% | 3.0R | -0.099% | 0.1R | 47.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.083% | 3.2R | -0.099% | 0.1R | 51.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +12.929% | 8.2R | -0.099% | 0.1R | 131.0× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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