Short Trade on NEAR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 140.62 NEAR at 1.598$ per unit. Take profit: 1.4553 (8.9 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6544 (3.56 %)
29 Jul 2026 at 04:07:34
hyperliquid
NEAR
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Jul 2026 04:07
→ 16:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 1.5975$
Qty 140.6221 NEAR
Size 224.6438$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 1.4553 (+8.9%)
TP $ 20$
SL 1.6544 (-3.56%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+0.73%
/ +1.63$
MAE -2.69%
MFE +1.77%
0.5R
expires
29 Jul 16:07
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 52034)
#21 / 55
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/07/2026 04:00
score du 29/07/2026 04:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6416
Quality Score
0.498
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#21 / 55
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.56 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#21 / 55
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.56 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.26×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
16.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/07 04:01
29/07 04:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 29/07 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 29/07 03:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1136
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.70
Transition risk :
0.30
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.82
Snapshot évalué :
29/07 04:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
29/07/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4975
Score SMA
0.4816
Rank
#21
/ 55
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6416
Rank Norm SMA
0.3507
Calculé le
29/07/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2931 | r1h: -0.931% · r4h: -0.561% · r1d: -4.74% · r3d: -11.40% · ema21_slope: -0.1686% · dist_ema21: -2.665% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2451 | rs_1h: -1.038% · rs_4h: -1.738% · rs_1d: -6.30% · rs_3d: -11.60% · beta_24h: 1.948 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6068 | rvol_20: 1.55× · zscore_50: 0.844 · trend: 87.37% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8459 | ADX: 49.8 (trend) · Chop: 46.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.269% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.562%
(0.0569)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.496% | 0.4R | -0.019% | 0.0R | 79.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.496% | 0.4R | -0.451% | 0.1R | 3.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.765% | 0.5R | -0.451% | 0.1R | 3.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.765% | 0.5R | -0.451% | 0.1R | 3.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.765% | 0.5R | -2.685% | 0.8R | 0.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.765% | 0.5R | -2.742% | 0.8R | 0.6× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.42
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.58 | bear_high | -5.22% | -0.96 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
44%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.66 | range_high | +0.15% | -0.81 | 29/07 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.54 | range_medium | +0.29% | -0.50 | 29/07 03:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 49% | mid | — | — | — | bull_low | +0.84% | -0.31 | 29/07 03:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 4.546×ATR | p50 | -1.624×ATR | p94 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 13b | — | 7.162×ATR | p91 | -1.383×ATR | p92 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 1.466×ATR | p2 | -1.21×ATR | p85 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.258×ATR | p29 | -1.181×ATR | p81 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7619
- reason: down_bo width=2.44×ATR dur=24b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 1.65439006
- tp_price: 1.45527486
- atr:
- score: 0.76193405790772
- expires_at: 2026-07-29T20:07:26.199234
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.76193405790772
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0213
- obi_top10 : 0.0358
- micro_price : 1.5952
- spread_pct : 0.012538
- mid_price : 1.5952
- bid_wall_price : 1.59
- bid_wall_size : 760813.2
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0265
- obi_top5_std : 0.008
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7051
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1.6767
- balance_zone_bottom:
1.6281
- balance_zone_mid:
1.6524
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785229200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785312000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.4421
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
24
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: forming
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7619
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785294000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
1.6281
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.75
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
5
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.5376
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bear_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.01990056 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
24
inside_close_ratio
0.75
bars_since_breakout
5
distance_to_edge_atr
1.5376
Signaux confirmants (11)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:07 | 1.59750000 | 0% |
| 2 | 04:13 | 1.59750000 | 0% |
| 3 | 04:19 | 1.59260000 | -0.307% |
| 4 | 04:24 | 1.59260000 | -0.307% |
| 5 | 04:30 | 1.59260000 | -0.307% |
| 6 | 04:36 | 1.57970000 | -1.114% |
| 7 | 04:41 | 1.57970000 | -1.114% |
| 8 | 04:47 | 1.59400000 | -0.219% |
| 9 | 04:52 | 1.59400000 | -0.219% |
| 10 | 04:58 | 1.59400000 | -0.219% |
| 11 | 05:04 | 1.59400000 | -0.219% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7051ms
Confidence avant OB :
76%
→
76%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.021
avg 0.027
± 0.008
OBI Top 10
0.036
Microstructure
Mid Price
1.5952
Micro Price
1.5952
Spread
0.0125%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
1.5900
Size
760,813.20
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5975 | 1.6544 | 1.4553 | 2.5 | 3.1296 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.5975
- Stop Loss: 1.6544
- Take Profit: 1.4553
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6544 - 1.5975 = 0.0569
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.5975 - 1.4553 = 0.1422
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1422 / 0.0569 = 2.4991
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 224.6438 | 100 | 140.6221 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0569
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0569 = 140.6
Taille de position USD = 140.6 x 1.5975 = 224.61
Donc, tu peux acheter 140.6 avec un stoploss a 1.6544
Avec un position size USD de 224.61$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 140.6 x 0.0569 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 140.6 x 0.1422 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position 140.6
- Taille de position USD 224.61
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4991
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.9 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.56 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.63 $ | 0.73 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.6854 % | 75.39 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5975 | 1.6544 | 1.4553 | 2.5 | 3.1296 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.5975
- Stop Loss: 1.6544
- Take Profit: 1.4553
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6544 - 1.5975 = 0.0569
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.5975 - 1.4553 = 0.1422
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1422 / 0.0569 = 2.4991
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.562%
(0.0569)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.496% | 0.4R | -0.019% | 0.0R | 79.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.496% | 0.4R | -0.451% | 0.1R | 3.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.765% | 0.5R | -0.451% | 0.1R | 3.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.765% | 0.5R | -0.451% | 0.1R | 3.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.765% | 0.5R | -2.685% | 0.8R | 0.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.765% | 0.5R | -2.742% | 0.8R | 0.6× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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