29 Jul 2026 at 04:10:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on JTO (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 496.17 JTO at 0.536$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5229 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5524 (3 %)

JTO SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Jul 2026 04:10 → 07:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.5363$

Qty 496.1702 JTO

Size 266.101$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.5229 (+2.5%)

TP $ 6.65$

SL 0.5524 (-3%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.83

Status loss PnL -2.76% / -7.35$ MAE -3.07% MFE +0.16% 0.1R expires 29 Jul 07:20 Exit rank_decay: short rank=10 <= threshold=42/52

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 52037)
#52 / 55
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/07/2026 04:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1142

Quality Score
0.412
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#52 / 55
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.00 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#52 / 55
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.00 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near -1.02×ATR
1d near -0.62×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/07 04:01
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

28/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

29/07 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/07 03:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1136
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_bound
Strategic range

—

compression

0

Operational range

—

compression

0

Tactical range

—

transition

0

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.70
Transition risk : 0.30
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.82
Snapshot évalué : 29/07 04:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 29/07/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4123
Score SMA
0.4307
Rank
#52 / 55
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1142
Rank Norm SMA
0.1028
Calculé le
29/07/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3439 r1h: -0.884% · r4h: 1.309% · r1d: -5.48% · r3d: -7.25% · ema21_slope: -0.2471% · dist_ema21: -1.758%
Force Relative 25% 0.3113 rs_1h: -0.991% · rs_4h: 0.132% · rs_1d: -7.04% · rs_3d: -7.45% · beta_24h: 1.605
Volume 20% 0.1488 rvol_20: 0.54× · zscore_50: -0.933 · trend: -46.55%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6773 ADX: 39.6 (trend) · Chop: 57.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.259% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 3.2h) Initial Risk: -3.002% (0.0161)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.157% 0.1R -0.848% 0.3R 0.2× 12
2h +0.157% 0.1R -1.921% 0.6R 0.1× 24
3.2h ★ +0.157% 0.1R -3.067% 1.0R 0.1× 37
4h +0.157% 0.1R -3.379% 1.1R 0.1× 48
8h +0.157% 0.1R -3.379% 1.1R 0.1× 96
12h +0.500% 0.2R -3.379% 1.1R 0.2× 144

computed 3 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.1
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range strong grind compression bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 43% mid near -0.6ATR — 0.49 bear_high -5.22% -0.95 28/07 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind normal bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 43% mid near -1.0ATR — 0.33 range_high +0.15% -0.71 29/07 00:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 41% early — — 0.31 range_medium +0.29% -0.43 29/07 03:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_medium
62%
noisy_chop 46% early — — — bull_low +0.84% -0.15 29/07 03:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 33b — 6.477×ATR p67 -0.867×ATR p73
4h ↓ down mid 11b — 5.667×ATR p79 -0.69×ATR p63
1h ↑ up early 3b — 1.176×ATR p0 -0.408×ATR p40
15m ↓ down early 5b — 2.334×ATR p27 -0.783×ATR p52

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.5524335
  2. tp_price: 0.52290225
  3. atr: 0.0064494
  4. expires_at: 2026-07-29T14:10:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 51
  2. total: 56
  3. score: 0.3439
  4. delta_2h: -0.0397
  5. extension_atr: -1.09
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1142
  9. confidence: 0.909

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 04:10 0.53631000 +0.002%
2 05:10 0.53947000 +0.591%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5363 0.5524 0.5229 0.83 0.2773
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5363
  • Stop Loss: 0.5524
  • Take Profit: 0.5229

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.5524 - 0.5363 = 0.0161

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5363 - 0.5229 = 0.0134

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0134 / 0.0161 = 0.8323

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
266.101 100 496.1702 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0161

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0161 = 496.89

Taille de position USD = 496.89 x 0.5363 = 266.48

Donc, tu peux acheter 496.89 avec un stoploss a 0.5524

Avec un position size USD de 266.48$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 496.89 x 0.0161 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 496.89 x 0.0134 = 6.66

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.66$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 496.89
  • Taille de position USD 266.48
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 6.66
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8323

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 6.65 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-7.35 $ -2.76
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.7969 % 93.16 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5363 0.5524 0.5229 0.83 0.2773
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5363
  • Stop Loss: 0.5524
  • Take Profit: 0.5229

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.5524 - 0.5363 = 0.0161

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5363 - 0.5229 = 0.0134

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0134 / 0.0161 = 0.8323

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.5229
            [entry_price] => 0.5363
            [stop_loss] => 0.55401
            [rr_ratio] => 0.76
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-07-29 11:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 3.2h) Initial Risk: -3.002% (0.0161)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.157% 0.1R -0.848% 0.3R 0.2× 12
2h +0.157% 0.1R -1.921% 0.6R 0.1× 24
3.2h ★ +0.157% 0.1R -3.067% 1.0R 0.1× 37
4h +0.157% 0.1R -3.379% 1.1R 0.1× 48
8h +0.157% 0.1R -3.379% 1.1R 0.1× 96
12h +0.500% 0.2R -3.379% 1.1R 0.2× 144

computed 3 months ago

Commentaires

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