Short Trade on JTO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 496.17 JTO at 0.536$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5229 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5524 (3 %)
Short Trade on JTO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 496.17 JTO at 0.536$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5229 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5524 (3 %)
Position
Entry 0.5363$
Qty 496.1702 JTO
Size 266.101$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5229 (+2.5%)
TP $ 6.65$
SL 0.5524 (-3%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.83
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1142
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -1.02×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.62×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/07 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/07 03:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3439 | r1h: -0.884% · r4h: 1.309% · r1d: -5.48% · r3d: -7.25% · ema21_slope: -0.2471% · dist_ema21: -1.758% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3113 | rs_1h: -0.991% · rs_4h: 0.132% · rs_1d: -7.04% · rs_3d: -7.45% · beta_24h: 1.605 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1488 | rvol_20: 0.54× · zscore_50: -0.933 · trend: -46.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6773 | ADX: 39.6 (trend) · Chop: 57.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.259% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.157% | 0.1R | -0.848% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.157% | 0.1R | -1.921% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 3.2h ★ | +0.157% | 0.1R | -3.067% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 37 |
| 4h | +0.157% | 0.1R | -3.379% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.157% | 0.1R | -3.379% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.500% | 0.2R | -3.379% | 1.1R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -5.22% | -0.95 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.33 | range_high | +0.15% | -0.71 | 29/07 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.31 | range_medium | +0.29% | -0.43 | 29/07 03:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | — | bull_low | +0.84% | -0.15 | 29/07 03:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 33b | — | 6.477×ATR | p67 | -0.867×ATR | p73 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 11b | — | 5.667×ATR | p79 | -0.69×ATR | p63 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.176×ATR | p0 | -0.408×ATR | p40 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.334×ATR | p27 | -0.783×ATR | p52 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:10 | 0.53631000 | +0.002% |
| 2 | 05:10 | 0.53947000 | +0.591% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5363 | 0.5524 | 0.5229 | 0.83 | 0.2773 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5524 - 0.5363 = 0.0161
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5363 - 0.5229 = 0.0134
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0134 / 0.0161 = 0.8323
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 266.101 | 100 | 496.1702 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0161 = 496.89
Taille de position USD = 496.89 x 0.5363 = 266.48
Donc, tu peux acheter 496.89 avec un stoploss a 0.5524
Avec un position size USD de 266.48$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 496.89 x 0.0161 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 496.89 x 0.0134 = 6.66
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.66$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 6.65 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.35 $ | -2.76 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.7969 % | 93.16 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5363 | 0.5524 | 0.5229 | 0.83 | 0.2773 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5524 - 0.5363 = 0.0161
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5363 - 0.5229 = 0.0134
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0134 / 0.0161 = 0.8323
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.5229
[entry_price] => 0.5363
[stop_loss] => 0.55401
[rr_ratio] => 0.76
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-07-29 11:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.157% | 0.1R | -0.848% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.157% | 0.1R | -1.921% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 3.2h ★ | +0.157% | 0.1R | -3.067% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 37 |
| 4h | +0.157% | 0.1R | -3.379% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.157% | 0.1R | -3.379% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.500% | 0.2R | -3.379% | 1.1R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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