Short Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 156.54 NEAR at 1.59$ per unit. Take profit: 1.5504 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6413 (3.21 %)
Short Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 156.54 NEAR at 1.59$ per unit. Take profit: 1.5504 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6413 (3.21 %)
Position
Entry 1.5902$
Qty 156.5355 NEAR
Size 248.9227$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 1.5504 (+2.5%)
TP $ 6.23$
SL 1.6413 (-3.21%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.78
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6459
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.26×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 29/07 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 29/07 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2697 | r1h: -0.747% · r4h: -1.732% · r1d: -5.06% · r3d: -11.54% · ema21_slope: -0.1754% · dist_ema21: -2.614% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2466 | rs_1h: -0.561% · rs_4h: -2.461% · rs_1d: -6.65% · rs_3d: -11.47% · beta_24h: 1.995 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5886 | rvol_20: 1.46× · zscore_50: 0.819 · trend: 85.08% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9004 | ADX: 50.7 (trend) · Chop: 40.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.348% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.063% | 0.0R | -0.912% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.314% | 0.4R | -0.912% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.314% | 0.4R | -0.912% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.314% | 0.4R | -0.912% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.314% | 0.4R | -3.157% | 1.0R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.58 | bear_high | -5.22% | -0.96 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
44%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.65 | range_high | +0.17% | -0.83 | 29/07 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.54 | range_medium | +0.19% | -0.51 | 29/07 04:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.63 | range_low | +0.69% | -0.17 | 29/07 04:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 4.546×ATR | p50 | -1.624×ATR | p94 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 7.681×ATR | p96 | -1.303×ATR | p91 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 1.498×ATR | p2 | -1.052×ATR | p83 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.947×ATR | p17 | -0.24×ATR | p21 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5902 | 1.6413 | 1.5504 | 0.78 | 3.1254 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6413 - 1.5902 = 0.0511
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.5902 - 1.5504 = 0.0398
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0398 / 0.0511 = 0.7789
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 248.9227 | 100 | 156.5355 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0511 = 156.56
Taille de position USD = 156.56 x 1.5902 = 248.96
Donc, tu peux acheter 156.56 avec un stoploss a 1.6413
Avec un position size USD de 248.96$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 156.56 x 0.0511 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 156.56 x 0.0398 = 6.23
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.23$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 6.23 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.21 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.078 $ | 0.03 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1069 % | 3.33 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5902 | 1.6413 | 1.5504 | 0.78 | 3.1254 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6413 - 1.5902 = 0.0511
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.5902 - 1.5504 = 0.0398
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0398 / 0.0511 = 0.7789
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.063% | 0.0R | -0.912% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.314% | 0.4R | -0.912% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.314% | 0.4R | -0.912% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.314% | 0.4R | -0.912% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.314% | 0.4R | -3.157% | 1.0R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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