Short Trade on LTC (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 8.48 LTC at 45.403$ per unit. Take profit: 43.0455 (5.19 %) & Stop Loss: 46.346 (2.08 %)
29 Jul 2026 at 06:18:57
hyperliquid
LTC
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Jul 2026 06:18
→ 18:15
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 45.403$
Qty 8.4834 LTC
Size 385.1719$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 43.0455 (+5.19%)
TP $ 20$
SL 46.346 (-2.08%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+0.82%
/ +3.16$
MAE -0.81%
MFE +2.42%
1.2R
expires
29 Jul 18:18
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 52121)
#23 / 52
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/07/2026 06:00
score du 29/07/2026 06:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5669
Quality Score
0.499
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#23 / 52
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.08 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#23 / 52
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.08 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.65×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.82×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
3.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/07 06:15
29/07 06:15
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/07 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 29/07 06:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1138
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.70
Transition risk :
0.30
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.82
Snapshot évalué :
29/07 06:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
29/07/2026 06:00
Score brut
0.4992
Score SMA
0.5026
Rank
#23
/ 52
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5669
Rank Norm SMA
0.4997
Calculé le
29/07/2026 06:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4535 | r1h: 0.561% · r4h: 0.192% · r1d: -2.29% · r3d: -3.79% · ema21_slope: -0.1119% · dist_ema21: -0.899% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4140 | rs_1h: 0.283% · rs_4h: -0.634% · rs_1d: -4.18% · rs_3d: -3.89% · beta_24h: 1.285 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2292 | rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.328 · trend: -11.73% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7587 | ADX: 31.0 (trend) · Chop: 35.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.696% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.077%
(0.9430)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.551% | 0.3R | -0.049% | 0.0R | 11.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.551% | 0.3R | -0.049% | 0.0R | 11.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.740% | 0.4R | -0.049% | 0.0R | 15.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.264% | 0.6R | -0.808% | 0.4R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.418% | 1.2R | -0.808% | 0.4R | 3.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.418% | 1.2R | -0.808% | 0.4R | 3.0× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.09
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | — | 0.73 | bear_high | -5.22% | +0.20 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.73 | range_high | +0.46% | -0.30 | 29/07 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.54 | range_medium | +0.54% | -0.35 | 29/07 06:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_low |
46%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near -1.1ATR | — | bull_low | +0.96% | -0.06 | 29/07 06:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 34b | — | 3.971×ATR | p54 | -0.636×ATR | p67 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 4.817×ATR | p81 | -0.851×ATR | p76 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 0.37×ATR | p0 | -0.165×ATR | p18 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 2.882×ATR | p47 | +0.634×ATR | p51 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7518
- reason: down_bo width=2.52×ATR dur=38b phase=extending
- stop_price: 46.3460178
- tp_price: 43.04545551
- atr:
- score: 0.7517663905775
- expires_at: 2026-07-29T22:18:49.421248
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.7517663905775
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0434
- obi_top10 : 0.0261
- micro_price : 45.40950586
- spread_pct : 0.022026
- mid_price : 45.405
- bid_wall_price : 45.1
- bid_wall_size : 13727.2
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 45.5
- ask_wall_size : 21301.82
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0026
- obi_top5_std : 0.0236
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7099
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
46.694
- balance_zone_bottom:
45.938
- balance_zone_mid:
46.316
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785186000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785319200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.5185
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
38
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7518
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785294000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
45.938
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7895
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
7
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.7823
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
3
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
7
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.30017796 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
38
inside_close_ratio
0.7895
bars_since_breakout
7
distance_to_edge_atr
1.7823
Signaux confirmants (45)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:18 | 45.40300000 | 0% |
| 2 | 06:24 | 45.40300000 | 0% |
| 3 | 06:29 | 45.40300000 | 0% |
| 4 | 06:34 | 45.40300000 | 0% |
| 5 | 06:39 | 45.30400000 | -0.218% |
| 6 | 06:44 | 45.30400000 | -0.218% |
| 7 | 06:50 | 45.35000000 | -0.117% |
| 8 | 06:55 | 45.35000000 | -0.117% |
| 9 | 07:00 | 45.35000000 | -0.117% |
| 10 | 07:06 | 45.22900000 | -0.383% |
| 11 | 07:12 | 45.22900000 | -0.383% |
| 12 | 07:17 | 45.34400000 | -0.13% |
| 13 | 07:23 | 45.34400000 | -0.13% |
| 14 | 07:28 | 45.34400000 | -0.13% |
| 15 | 07:33 | 45.34400000 | -0.13% |
| 16 | 07:38 | 45.27000000 | -0.293% |
| 17 | 07:42 | 45.27000000 | -0.293% |
| 18 | 07:47 | 45.29100000 | -0.247% |
| 19 | 07:52 | 45.29100000 | -0.247% |
| 20 | 07:57 | 45.29100000 | -0.247% |
| 21 | 08:02 | 45.29100000 | -0.247% |
| 22 | 08:08 | 45.23700000 | -0.366% |
| 23 | 08:13 | 45.23700000 | -0.366% |
| 24 | 08:18 | 45.23400000 | -0.372% |
| 25 | 08:23 | 45.23400000 | -0.372% |
| 26 | 08:28 | 45.23400000 | -0.372% |
| 27 | 08:33 | 45.23400000 | -0.372% |
| 28 | 08:38 | 45.26900000 | -0.295% |
| 29 | 08:43 | 45.26900000 | -0.295% |
| 30 | 08:48 | 45.22600000 | -0.39% |
| 31 | 08:53 | 45.22600000 | -0.39% |
| 32 | 08:58 | 45.22600000 | -0.39% |
| 33 | 09:04 | 45.22600000 | -0.39% |
| 34 | 09:09 | 45.30200000 | -0.222% |
| 35 | 09:14 | 45.30200000 | -0.222% |
| 36 | 09:20 | 45.24800000 | -0.341% |
| 37 | 09:25 | 45.24800000 | -0.341% |
| 38 | 09:31 | 45.24800000 | -0.341% |
| 39 | 09:36 | 45.37300000 | -0.066% |
| 40 | 09:42 | 45.37300000 | -0.066% |
| 41 | 09:48 | 45.35500000 | -0.106% |
| 42 | 09:54 | 45.35500000 | -0.106% |
| 43 | 10:01 | 45.35500000 | -0.106% |
| 44 | 10:06 | 45.32100000 | -0.181% |
| 45 | 10:12 | 45.32100000 | -0.181% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7099ms
Confidence avant OB :
75%
→
75%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.043
avg 0.003
± 0.024
OBI Top 10
0.026
Microstructure
Mid Price
45.4050
Micro Price
45.4095
Spread
0.0220%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
45.1000
Size
13,727.20
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
45.5000
Size
21,301.82
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.403 | 46.346 | 43.0455 | 2.5 | 45.997 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 45.403
- Stop Loss: 46.346
- Take Profit: 43.0455
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 46.346 - 45.403 = 0.943
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 45.403 - 43.0455 = 2.3575
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.3575 / 0.943 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 385.1719 | 100 | 8.4834 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.943
Taille de position = 8 / 0.943 = 8.48
Taille de position USD = 8.48 x 45.403 = 385.02
Donc, tu peux acheter 8.48 avec un stoploss a 46.346
Avec un position size USD de 385.02$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 8.48 x 0.943 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 8.48 x 2.3575 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position 8.48
- Taille de position USD 385.02
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.19 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.08 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.16 $ | 0.82 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8083 % | 38.92 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.403 | 46.346 | 43.0455 | 2.5 | 45.997 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 45.403
- Stop Loss: 46.346
- Take Profit: 43.0455
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 46.346 - 45.403 = 0.943
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 45.403 - 43.0455 = 2.3575
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.3575 / 0.943 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.077%
(0.9430)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.551% | 0.3R | -0.049% | 0.0R | 11.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.551% | 0.3R | -0.049% | 0.0R | 11.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.740% | 0.4R | -0.049% | 0.0R | 15.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.264% | 0.6R | -0.808% | 0.4R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.418% | 1.2R | -0.808% | 0.4R | 3.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.418% | 1.2R | -0.808% | 0.4R | 3.0× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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