Short Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 0.52 ZEC at 457.96$ per unit. Take profit: 446.511 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 473.3238 (3.35 %)
29 Jul 2026 at 07:10:05
hyperliquid
ZEC
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
29 Jul 2026 07:10
→ 09:15
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 457.96$
Qty 0.5207 ZEC
Size 238.4622$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 446.511 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.96$
SL 473.3238 (-3.35%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.75
Status
loss
PnL
-0.37%
/ -0.89$
MAE -0.90%
MFE +0.16%
0.1R
expires
29 Jul 09:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=34 <= threshold=42/52
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 52216)
#51 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/07/2026 07:00
score du 29/07/2026 07:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3997
Quality Score
0.417
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#51 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.35 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#51 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.35 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.27×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.05×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
95.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/07 07:02
29/07 07:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/07 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/07 06:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1139
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.70
Transition risk :
0.30
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.82
Snapshot évalué :
29/07 07:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
29/07/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.4170
Score SMA
0.5037
Rank
#51
/ 52
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3997
Rank Norm SMA
0.4735
Calculé le
29/07/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3252 | r1h: -0.765% · r4h: -1.939% · r1d: -2.15% · r3d: -7.00% · ema21_slope: -0.1111% · dist_ema21: -1.468% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3109 | rs_1h: -0.734% · rs_4h: -2.307% · rs_1d: -4.02% · rs_3d: -7.23% · beta_24h: 2.618 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2688 | rvol_20: 0.68× · zscore_50: -0.305 · trend: -4.20% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5863 | ADX: 29.0 (trend) · Chop: 57.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.379% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
2.2h)
Initial Risk: -3.355%
(15.3638)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.118% | 0.0R | -0.644% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.162% | 0.1R | -0.900% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 2.2h ★ | +0.162% | 0.1R | -0.900% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 25 |
| 4h | +0.162% | 0.1R | -2.192% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.162% | 0.1R | -3.686% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.336% | 0.1R | -3.686% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.18
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | range_high |
34%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.42 | bear_high | -5.22% | -0.45 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.69 | range_high | +0.46% | -0.53 | 29/07 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | normal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.58 | range_medium | +0.53% | -0.40 | 29/07 06:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | — | bull_low | +0.93% | -0.22 | 29/07 06:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 14b | — | 3.694×ATR | p28 | -0.875×ATR | p74 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 15b | — | 3.993×ATR | p63 | -0.557×ATR | p53 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.75×ATR | p22 | -0.627×ATR | p59 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 16b | — | 4.019×ATR | p74 | -0.728×ATR | p62 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 473.32377443
- tp_price: 446.511
- atr: 6.14550977
- expires_at: 2026-07-29T17:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 52
- total: 56
- score: 0.3252
- delta_2h: -0.0467
- extension_atr: -0.99
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3997
- confidence: 0.927
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 457.96 | 473.3238 | 446.511 | 0.75 | 881.66 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 457.96
- Stop Loss: 473.3238
- Take Profit: 446.511
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 473.3238 - 457.96 = 15.3638
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 457.96 - 446.511 = 11.449
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 11.449 / 15.3638 = 0.7452
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 238.4622 | 100 | 0.5207 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 15.3638
Taille de position = 8 / 15.3638 = 0.52
Taille de position USD = 0.52 x 457.96 = 238.14
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.52 avec un stoploss a 473.3238
Avec un position size USD de 238.14$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.52 x 15.3638 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.52 x 11.449 = 5.95
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.95$
Résumé
- Taille de position 0.52
- Taille de position USD 238.14
- Perte potentielle 7.99
- Gain potentiel 5.95
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7452
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.96 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.35 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.89 $ | -0.37 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8996 % | 26.82 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 457.96 | 473.3238 | 446.511 | 0.75 | 881.66 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 457.96
- Stop Loss: 473.3238
- Take Profit: 446.511
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 473.3238 - 457.96 = 15.3638
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 457.96 - 446.511 = 11.449
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 11.449 / 15.3638 = 0.7452
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
2.2h)
Initial Risk: -3.355%
(15.3638)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.118% | 0.0R | -0.644% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.162% | 0.1R | -0.900% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 2.2h ★ | +0.162% | 0.1R | -0.900% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 25 |
| 4h | +0.162% | 0.1R | -2.192% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.162% | 0.1R | -3.686% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.336% | 0.1R | -3.686% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.