Short Trade on ZRO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 237.15 ZRO at 0.788$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7682 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8217 (4.29 %)
29 Jul 2026 at 08:10:08
hyperliquid
ZRO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
29 Jul 2026 08:10
→ 09:15
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.7879$
Qty 237.1529 ZRO
Size 186.8575$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.7682 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.67$
SL 0.8217 (-4.29%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 0.58
Status
loss
PnL
-1.14%
/ -2.14$
MAE -1.65%
MFE +0.28%
0.1R
expires
29 Jul 09:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=41 <= threshold=42/52
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 52242)
#52 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/07/2026 08:00
score du 29/07/2026 08:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0188
Quality Score
0.369
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#52 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.29 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#52 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.29 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.20×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.14×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.62×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/07 08:00
29/07 08:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/07 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/07 07:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1140
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.70
Transition risk :
0.30
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.82
Snapshot évalué :
29/07 08:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
29/07/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.3685
Score SMA
0.4169
Rank
#52
/ 52
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0188
Rank Norm SMA
0.0860
Calculé le
29/07/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2353 | r1h: -0.970% · r4h: -0.949% · r1d: -9.11% · r3d: -7.82% · ema21_slope: -0.3499% · dist_ema21: -3.210% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2579 | rs_1h: -0.902% · rs_4h: -0.738% · rs_1d: -10.62% · rs_3d: -7.69% · beta_24h: 1.377 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1483 | rvol_20: 0.42× · zscore_50: -0.776 · trend: -54.30% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6916 | ADX: 35.2 (trend) · Chop: 50.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.805% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
1.2h)
Initial Risk: -4.290%
(0.0338)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.278% | 0.1R | -1.653% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +0.278% | 0.1R | -1.653% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 13 |
| 2h | +0.278% | 0.1R | -1.670% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.238% | 0.5R | -1.670% | 0.4R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.151% | 0.7R | -1.670% | 0.4R | 1.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.568% | 1.1R | -1.670% | 0.4R | 2.7× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 0.92
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -5.22% | -0.89 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
43%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.43 | range_high | +0.19% | -0.62 | 29/07 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 48% | mid | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.29 | range_medium | +0.15% | -0.76 | 29/07 07:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near -0.4ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.50% | -0.14 | 29/07 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.662×ATR | p9 | -0.654×ATR | p61 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 11b | — | 5.777×ATR | p79 | -0.915×ATR | p77 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 11b | — | 3.811×ATR | p66 | -0.665×ATR | p55 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 2.426×ATR | p21 | -1.038×ATR | p74 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7879 | 0.8217 | 0.7682 | 0.58 | 1.5199 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.7879
- Stop Loss: 0.8217
- Take Profit: 0.7682
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8217 - 0.7879 = 0.0338
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7879 - 0.7682 = 0.0197
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0197 / 0.0338 = 0.5828
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 186.8575 | 100 | 237.1529 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0338
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0338 = 236.69
Taille de position USD = 236.69 x 0.7879 = 186.49
Donc, tu peux acheter 236.69 avec un stoploss a 0.8217
Avec un position size USD de 186.49$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 236.69 x 0.0338 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 236.69 x 0.0197 = 4.66
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.66$
Résumé
- Taille de position 236.69
- Taille de position USD 186.49
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.66
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5828
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.67 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.29 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.14 $ | -1.14 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.6525 % | 38.52 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7879 | 0.8217 | 0.7682 | 0.58 | 1.5199 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.7879
- Stop Loss: 0.8217
- Take Profit: 0.7682
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8217 - 0.7879 = 0.0338
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7879 - 0.7682 = 0.0197
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0197 / 0.0338 = 0.5828
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.7682
[entry_price] => 0.7879
[stop_loss] => 0.82508
[rr_ratio] => 0.53
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-07-29 17:25:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.7682
[entry_price] => 0.7879
[stop_loss] => 0.82846
[rr_ratio] => 0.49
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-07-29 17:25:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.7682
[entry_price] => 0.7879
[stop_loss] => 0.83184
[rr_ratio] => 0.45
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-07-29 17:25:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.7682
[entry_price] => 0.7879
[stop_loss] => 0.8386
[rr_ratio] => 0.39
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-07-29 17:25:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
1.2h)
Initial Risk: -4.290%
(0.0338)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.278% | 0.1R | -1.653% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +0.278% | 0.1R | -1.653% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 13 |
| 2h | +0.278% | 0.1R | -1.670% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.238% | 0.5R | -1.670% | 0.4R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.151% | 0.7R | -1.670% | 0.4R | 1.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.568% | 1.1R | -1.670% | 0.4R | 2.7× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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