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Short Trade on ZEC

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29 Jul 2026 at 08:12:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ZEC (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 1.1 ZEC at 458.93$ per unit. Take profit: 440.8192 (3.95 %) & Stop Loss: 466.1743 (1.58 %)

ZEC SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 29 Jul 2026 08:12 → 09:30 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 458.93$

Qty 1.1043 ZEC

Size 506.8035$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)

Risk Setup

TP 440.8192 (+3.95%)

TP $ 20$

SL 466.1743 (-1.58%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -1.58% / -8$ MAE -3.47% MFE +0.55% 0.4R expires 29 Jul 20:11

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 52268)
#45 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/07/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3994

Quality Score
0.441
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#45 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.58 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#45 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.58 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near 0.10×ATR
1d clear 1.05×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
91.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/07 08:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

28/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

29/07 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/07 07:00

Score : +3 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1140
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_bound
Strategic range

—

range

0

Operational range

—

compression

0

Tactical range

—

transition

0

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.70
Transition risk : 0.30
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.82
Snapshot évalué : 29/07 08:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 29/07/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.4411
Score SMA
0.4999
Rank
#45 / 52
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3994
Rank Norm SMA
0.4435
Calculé le
29/07/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3752 r1h: 0.476% · r4h: -1.337% · r1d: -0.99% · r3d: -6.62% · ema21_slope: -0.1095% · dist_ema21: -0.900%
Force Relative 25% 0.4140 rs_1h: 0.544% · rs_4h: -1.127% · rs_1d: -2.49% · rs_3d: -6.49% · beta_24h: 2.506
Volume 20% 0.1860 rvol_20: 0.37× · zscore_50: -0.880 · trend: -16.52%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5853 ADX: 29.5 (trend) · Chop: 58.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.347% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.579% (7.2443)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.373% 0.2R -0.686% 0.4R 0.5× 12
2h +0.373% 0.2R -1.976% 1.3R 0.2× 24
4h +0.373% 0.2R -1.976% 1.3R 0.2× 48
8h +0.373% 0.2R -3.467% 2.2R 0.1× 96
12h ★ +0.547% 0.4R -3.467% 2.2R 0.2× 144
24h +0.547% 0.4R -4.264% 2.7R 0.1× 288

computed 3 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.34
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading compression range_high
34%
noisy_chop 42% mid — — 0.42 bear_high -5.22% -0.45 28/07 20:00
4h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 42% mid near 0.1ATR — 0.69 range_high +0.19% -0.54 29/07 04:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate explosive compression bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 42% early — near 0.1ATR 0.59 range_medium +0.15% -0.44 29/07 07:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_medium
59%
noisy_chop 37% early — — 0.68 range_low +0.53% -0.16 29/07 07:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 14b — 3.694×ATR p28 -0.875×ATR p74
4h ↓ down mid 15b — 4.095×ATR p67 -0.669×ATR p64
1h ↓ down early 5b — 1.423×ATR p2 -0.223×ATR p22
15m ↑ up early 4b — 1.608×ATR p0 +0.112×ATR p9

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.796
  3. reason: down_bo width=1.63×ATR dur=24b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 466.1743071
  5. tp_price: 440.81923225
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.79602329363733
  8. expires_at: 2026-07-30T00:11:57.843428
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.79602329363733
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
    5. ¸
  5. market_structures
    6. ¸
  6. market_structure_v2
    7. ¸
  7. trend_analyzer_1h
    8. ¸
  8. orderbook_context
  9. obi_top5 : 0.1104
  10. obi_top10 : 0.1104
  11. micro_price : 458.77995775
  12. spread_pct : 0.00218
  13. mid_price : 458.775
  14. bid_wall_price :
  15. bid_wall_size :
  16. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  17. ask_wall_price :
  18. ask_wall_size :
  19. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  20. snapshots_count : 5
  21. obi_top5_mean : 0.1175
  22. obi_top5_std : 0.0158
  23. pressure_side : neutral
  24. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  25. collection_ms : 6993
  26. aggregation_tick : 1
  27. error :
    28. ¸
  28. strategy_details
  29. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  30. strategy_details
  31. balance_zone_top: 
    470.4
  32. balance_zone_bottom: 
    460.77
  33. balance_zone_mid: 
    465.585
  34. balance_zone_start_time: 
    1785243600
  35. balance_zone_end_time: 
    1785326400
  36. balance_zone_width_atr: 
    1.6341
  37. balance_zone_duration_bars: 
    24
  38. balance_zone_quality: tight
  39. balance_zone_maturity: forming
  40. balance_zone_confidence: 
    0.796
  41. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  42. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  43. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  44. balance_zone_breakout_time: 
    1785319200
  45. balance_zone_breakout_price: 
    460.77
  46. strategy_details
  47. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio: 
    0.6667
  48. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout: 
    2
  49. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr: 
    0.3122
  50. balance_metrics_has_retested: 
    1
  51. balance_metrics_retest_count: 
    2
  52. balance_metrics_touch_upper: 
    7
  53. balance_metrics_touch_lower: 
    10
  54. regime : bear_high
  55. atr_entry : 5.89307099
    56. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
24
inside_close_ratio
0.6667
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3122

Signaux confirmants (14)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 08:12 458.93000000 0%
2 08:17 458.93000000 0%
3 08:22 458.52000000 -0.089%
4 08:27 458.52000000 -0.089%
5 08:32 458.52000000 -0.089%
6 08:52 460.53000000 +0.349%
7 08:57 460.53000000 +0.349%
8 09:02 460.53000000 +0.349%
9 09:08 460.53000000 +0.349%
10 09:13 459.51000000 +0.126%
11 09:18 459.66000000 +0.159%
12 09:24 459.66000000 +0.159%
13 09:28 459.66000000 +0.159%
14 09:35 459.66000000 +0.159%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6993ms Confidence avant OB : 80% → 80%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.110
avg 0.118 ± 0.016
OBI Top 10 0.110

Microstructure

Mid Price
458.7750
Micro Price
458.7800
Spread
0.0022%

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
458.93 466.1743 440.8192 2.5 902.57
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 458.93
  • Stop Loss: 466.1743
  • Take Profit: 440.8192

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 466.1743 - 458.93 = 7.2443

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 458.93 - 440.8192 = 18.1108

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 18.1108 / 7.2443 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
506.8035 100 1.1043 5.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 7.2443

Taille de position = 8 / 7.2443 = 1.1

Taille de position USD = 1.1 x 458.93 = 504.82

Donc, tu peux acheter 1.1 avec un stoploss a 466.1743

Avec un position size USD de 504.82$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1.1 x 7.2443 = 7.97

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.97$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1.1 x 18.1108 = 19.92

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.92$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1.1
  • Taille de position USD 504.82
  • Perte potentielle 7.97
  • Gain potentiel 19.92
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.95 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.58 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.58
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.9763 % 125.2 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
458.93 466.1743 440.8192 2.5 902.57
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 458.93
  • Stop Loss: 466.1743
  • Take Profit: 440.8192

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 466.1743 - 458.93 = 7.2443

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 458.93 - 440.8192 = 18.1108

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 18.1108 / 7.2443 = 2.5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 440.8192
            [entry_price] => 458.93
            [stop_loss] => 466.89873
            [rr_ratio] => 2.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-07-29 13:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 440.8192
            [entry_price] => 458.93
            [stop_loss] => 467.62316
            [rr_ratio] => 2.08
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-07-29 13:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 440.8192
            [entry_price] => 458.93
            [stop_loss] => 468.34759
            [rr_ratio] => 1.92
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-07-29 18:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 440.8192
            [entry_price] => 458.93
            [stop_loss] => 469.79645
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-07-29 18:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.579% (7.2443)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.373% 0.2R -0.686% 0.4R 0.5× 12
2h +0.373% 0.2R -1.976% 1.3R 0.2× 24
4h +0.373% 0.2R -1.976% 1.3R 0.2× 48
8h +0.373% 0.2R -3.467% 2.2R 0.1× 96
12h ★ +0.547% 0.4R -3.467% 2.2R 0.2× 144
24h +0.547% 0.4R -4.264% 2.7R 0.1× 288

computed 3 months ago

Commentaires

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