29 Jul 2026 at 09:10:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on JTO (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 484.77 JTO at 0.543$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5291 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5592 (3.04 %)

JTO SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Jul 2026 09:10 → 09:20 · 9 minutes

Position

Entry 0.5427$

Qty 484.7703 JTO

Size 263.0703$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.5291 (+2.51%)

TP $ 6.59$

SL 0.5592 (-3.04%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.82

Status loss PnL -0.09% / -0.25$ MAE -0.92% MFE +1.07% 0.4R expires 29 Jul 09:20 Exit rank_decay: short rank=25 <= threshold=42/52

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 52301)
#25 / 52
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/07/2026 09:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3333

Quality Score
0.466
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#25 / 52
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.04 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#25 / 52
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.04 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.48×ATR
4h near -0.61×ATR
1d near -0.48×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/07 09:01
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

28/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

29/07 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/07 08:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1141
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_bound
Strategic range

—

compression

0

Operational range

—

compression

0

Tactical range

—

transition

0

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.70
Transition risk : 0.30
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.82
Snapshot évalué : 29/07 09:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 29/07/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.4657
Score SMA
0.4366
Rank
#25 / 52
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3333
Rank Norm SMA
0.1562
Calculé le
29/07/2026 09:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3349 r1h: -1.444% · r4h: 1.168% · r1d: -1.70% · r3d: -7.06% · ema21_slope: -0.1212% · dist_ema21: -0.286%
Force Relative 25% 0.3834 rs_1h: -1.190% · rs_4h: 1.283% · rs_1d: -2.92% · rs_3d: -6.87% · beta_24h: 1.564
Volume 20% 0.3349 rvol_20: 1.27× · zscore_50: -0.198 · trend: -30.78%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6824 ADX: 30.8 (trend) · Chop: 47.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.275% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -3.040% (0.0165)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.262% 0.1R -0.920% 0.3R 0.3× 12
2h +0.262% 0.1R -0.920% 0.3R 0.3× 24
4h ★ +1.071% 0.4R -0.920% 0.3R 1.2× 48
8h +2.338% 0.8R -1.485% 0.5R 1.6× 96
12h +2.338% 0.8R -1.485% 0.5R 1.6× 144

computed 3 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.99
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range strong grind compression bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 42% mid near -0.5ATR — 0.49 bear_high -4.69% -0.94 28/07 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind normal bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 44% mid near -0.6ATR — 0.33 range_high +0.11% -0.52 29/07 08:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate balanced normal bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 39% early near 0.5ATR — 0.31 range_medium +0.03% -0.29 29/07 08:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal range_medium
35%
noisy_chop 43% early — — — range_low +0.34% +0.19 29/07 08:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 33b — 6.263×ATR p67 -0.721×ATR p65
4h ↓ down mid 13b — 5.435×ATR p79 -0.279×ATR p28
1h ↓ down early 1b — 1.606×ATR p4 +0.027×ATR p4
15m ↑ up early 7b — 0×ATR p0 -0.862×ATR p57

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.55917266
  2. tp_price: 0.52910325
  3. atr: 0.00660106
  4. expires_at: 2026-07-29T19:10:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 46
  2. total: 53
  3. score: 0.3349
  4. delta_2h: -0.0985
  5. extension_atr: -0.23
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3333
  9. confidence: 0.865

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5427 0.5592 0.5291 0.82 0.2915
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5427
  • Stop Loss: 0.5592
  • Take Profit: 0.5291

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.5592 - 0.5427 = 0.0165

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5427 - 0.5291 = 0.0136

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0136 / 0.0165 = 0.8242

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
263.0703 100 484.7703 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0165

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0165 = 484.85

Taille de position USD = 484.85 x 0.5427 = 263.13

Donc, tu peux acheter 484.85 avec un stoploss a 0.5592

Avec un position size USD de 263.13$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 484.85 x 0.0165 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 484.85 x 0.0136 = 6.59

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.59$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 484.85
  • Taille de position USD 263.13
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 6.59
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8242

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 6.59 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.04 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-0.25 $ -0.09
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1695 % 5.57 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5427 0.5592 0.5291 0.82 0.2915
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5427
  • Stop Loss: 0.5592
  • Take Profit: 0.5291

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.5592 - 0.5427 = 0.0165

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5427 - 0.5291 = 0.0136

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0136 / 0.0165 = 0.8242

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -3.040% (0.0165)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.262% 0.1R -0.920% 0.3R 0.3× 12
2h +0.262% 0.1R -0.920% 0.3R 0.3× 24
4h ★ +1.071% 0.4R -0.920% 0.3R 1.2× 48
8h +2.338% 0.8R -1.485% 0.5R 1.6× 96
12h +2.338% 0.8R -1.485% 0.5R 1.6× 144

computed 3 months ago

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