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Short Trade on SOL

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29 Jul 2026 at 12:06:31 hyperliquid

Short Trade on SOL (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 8.91 SOL at 72.935$ per unit. Take profit: 70.691 (3.08 %) & Stop Loss: 73.8326 (1.23 %)

SOL SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 29 Jul 2026 12:06 → 13:55 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 72.935$

Qty 8.9128 SOL

Size 650.0542$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)

Risk Setup

TP 70.691 (+3.08%)

TP $ 20$

SL 73.8326 (-1.23%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -1.23% / -8$ MAE -2.16% MFE +0.88% 0.7R expires 30 Jul 00:06

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 52425)
#16 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/07/2026 12:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5578

Quality Score
0.483
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#16 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
67 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.23 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#16 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
67 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.23 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear 0.95×ATR
1d clear 0.65×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
163.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/07 12:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

28/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

29/07 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1)

29/07 11:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1144
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_bound
Strategic range

—

range

0

Operational range

—

range

0

Tactical range

—

range

0

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.70
Transition risk : 0.30
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.82
Snapshot évalué : 29/07 12:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 29/07/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.4830
Score SMA
0.5118
Rank
#16 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5578
Rank Norm SMA
0.5950
Calculé le
29/07/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4341 r1h: -0.152% · r4h: -1.086% · r1d: -1.62% · r3d: -3.12% · ema21_slope: -0.0048% · dist_ema21: -0.764%
Force Relative 25% 0.4593 rs_1h: 0.044% · rs_4h: -0.268% · rs_1d: -1.68% · rs_3d: -1.91% · beta_24h: 1.191
Volume 20% 0.2980 rvol_20: 0.67× · zscore_50: -0.436 · trend: 24.57%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5220 ADX: 23.8 (weak) · Chop: 60.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 0.719% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.231% (0.8976)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.071% 0.1R -0.596% 0.5R 0.1× 12
2h +0.071% 0.1R -1.896% 1.5R 0.0× 24
4h +0.731% 0.6R -2.160% 1.8R 0.3× 48
8h +0.878% 0.7R -2.160% 1.8R 0.4× 96
12h ★ +0.878% 0.7R -2.160% 1.8R 0.4× 144
24h +0.878% 0.7R -2.672% 2.2R 0.3× 288

computed 3 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.48
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced compression bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 40% early — — 0.87 bear_high -4.69% -0.63 28/07 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bear_high
48%
noisy_chop 37% early — — 0.84 range_high -0.29% -0.16 29/07 08:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced compression bear_medium
56%
noisy_chop 37% mid — — 0.85 range_medium -0.53% -0.17 29/07 11:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate grind expansion_after_compression range_low
41%
noisy_chop 38% early near -0.4ATR — — range_low -0.25% -0.04 29/07 11:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 25b — 3.756×ATR p44 -0.556×ATR p57
4h ↑ up early 6b — 0.974×ATR p0 -0.398×ATR p39
1h ↓ down mid 7b — 2.238×ATR p30 -0.828×ATR p75
15m ↑ up early 5b — 0.762×ATR p0 -0.458×ATR p44

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.6721
  3. reason: down_bo width=2.48×ATR dur=51b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 73.83258667
  5. tp_price: 70.69103333
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.67212061521121
  8. expires_at: 2026-07-30T04:06:23.845052
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.67212061521121
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
    5. ¸
  5. market_structures
    6. ¸
  6. market_structure_v2
    7. ¸
  7. trend_analyzer_1h
    8. ¸
  8. orderbook_context
  9. obi_top5 : 0.0463
  10. obi_top10 : 0.0463
  11. micro_price : 72.96759492
  12. spread_pct : 0.00137
  13. mid_price : 72.9675
  14. bid_wall_price :
  15. bid_wall_size :
  16. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  17. ask_wall_price :
  18. ask_wall_size :
  19. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  20. snapshots_count : 5
  21. obi_top5_mean : -0.004
  22. obi_top5_std : 0.0498
  23. pressure_side : neutral
  24. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  25. collection_ms : 6969
  26. aggregation_tick : 0.1
  27. error :
    28. ¸
  28. strategy_details
  29. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  30. strategy_details
  31. balance_zone_top: 
    74.416
  32. balance_zone_bottom: 
    73.147
  33. balance_zone_mid: 
    73.7815
  34. balance_zone_start_time: 
    1785160800
  35. balance_zone_end_time: 
    1785340800
  36. balance_zone_width_atr: 
    2.484
  37. balance_zone_duration_bars: 
    51
  38. balance_zone_quality: drifting
  39. balance_zone_maturity: established
  40. balance_zone_confidence: 
    0.6721
  41. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  42. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  43. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  44. balance_zone_breakout_time: 
    1785337200
  45. balance_zone_breakout_price: 
    73.147
  46. strategy_details
  47. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio: 
    0.7451
  48. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout: 
    1
  49. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr: 
    0.415
  50. balance_metrics_has_retested: 
    1
  51. balance_metrics_retest_count: 
    1
  52. balance_metrics_touch_upper: 
    5
  53. balance_metrics_touch_lower: 
    18
  54. regime : bear_high
  55. atr_entry : 0.51086668
    56. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
51
inside_close_ratio
0.7451
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.415

Signaux confirmants (10)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 12:06 72.93500000 0%
2 12:12 72.93500000 0%
3 12:18 73.05000000 +0.158%
4 12:24 73.05000000 +0.158%
5 12:30 73.05000000 +0.158%
6 12:36 73.13000000 +0.267%
7 12:42 73.13000000 +0.267%
8 12:48 72.95200000 +0.023%
9 12:54 72.95200000 +0.023%
10 13:00 72.95200000 +0.023%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6969ms Confidence avant OB : 67% → 67%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.046
avg -0.004 ± 0.050
OBI Top 10 0.046

Microstructure

Mid Price
72.9675
Micro Price
72.9676
Spread
0.0014%

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
72.935 73.8326 70.691 2.5 75.315
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 72.935
  • Stop Loss: 73.8326
  • Take Profit: 70.691

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 73.8326 - 72.935 = 0.8976

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 72.935 - 70.691 = 2.244

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.244 / 0.8976 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
650.0542 100 8.9128 7.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.8976

Taille de position = 8 / 0.8976 = 8.91

Taille de position USD = 8.91 x 72.935 = 649.85

Donc, tu peux acheter 8.91 avec un stoploss a 73.8326

Avec un position size USD de 649.85$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 8.91 x 0.8976 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 8.91 x 2.244 = 19.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 8.91
  • Taille de position USD 649.85
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 19.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.08 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.23 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.23
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.345 % 109.29 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
72.935 73.8326 70.691 2.5 75.315
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 72.935
  • Stop Loss: 73.8326
  • Take Profit: 70.691

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 73.8326 - 72.935 = 0.8976

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 72.935 - 70.691 = 2.244

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.244 / 0.8976 = 2.5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 70.691
            [entry_price] => 72.935
            [stop_loss] => 73.92236
            [rr_ratio] => 2.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-07-29 18:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 70.691
            [entry_price] => 72.935
            [stop_loss] => 74.01212
            [rr_ratio] => 2.08
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-07-29 18:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 70.691
            [entry_price] => 72.935
            [stop_loss] => 74.10188
            [rr_ratio] => 1.92
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-07-29 18:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 70.691
            [entry_price] => 72.935
            [stop_loss] => 74.2814
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-07-29 18:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.231% (0.8976)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.071% 0.1R -0.596% 0.5R 0.1× 12
2h +0.071% 0.1R -1.896% 1.5R 0.0× 24
4h +0.731% 0.6R -2.160% 1.8R 0.3× 48
8h +0.878% 0.7R -2.160% 1.8R 0.4× 96
12h ★ +0.878% 0.7R -2.160% 1.8R 0.4× 144
24h +0.878% 0.7R -2.672% 2.2R 0.3× 288

computed 3 months ago

Commentaires

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