Short Trade on FET (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1814.29 FET at 0.135$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1318 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1396 (3.25 %)
Short Trade on FET (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1814.29 FET at 0.135$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1318 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1396 (3.25 %)
Position
Entry 0.1352$
Qty 1814.2935 FET
Size 245.2562$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1318 (+2.51%)
TP $ 6.17$
SL 0.1396 (-3.25%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 0.77
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2357
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.15×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 29/07 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/07 11:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2839 | r1h: -0.118% · r4h: -1.274% · r1d: -4.87% · r3d: -14.10% · ema21_slope: -0.1847% · dist_ema21: -0.659% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3246 | rs_1h: 0.077% · rs_4h: -0.455% · rs_1d: -4.94% · rs_3d: -12.89% · beta_24h: 1.075 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1656 | rvol_20: 0.18× · zscore_50: -0.621 · trend: -44.77% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6121 | ADX: 33.1 (trend) · Chop: 58.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.338% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.207% | 0.1R | -0.791% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.207% | 0.1R | -3.565% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.207% | 0.1R | -3.565% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.910% | 0.3R | -3.565% | 1.1R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.910% | 0.3R | -3.565% | 1.1R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.910% | 0.3R | -3.565% | 1.1R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.59 | bear_high | -4.69% | -0.94 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 52% | late | — | — | 0.69 | range_high | -0.29% | -0.89 | 29/07 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.58 | range_medium | -0.53% | -0.26 | 29/07 11:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | range_medium |
44%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early | — | near 0.5ATR | — | range_low | -0.25% | +0.26 | 29/07 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 58b | — | 18.329×ATR | p100 | -1.693×ATR | p96 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 6.873×ATR | p96 | -0.516×ATR | p53 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.163×ATR | p0 | +0.113×ATR | p11 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.673×ATR | p3 | +0.322×ATR | p24 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:10 | 0.13518000 | -0.015% |
| 2 | 13:10 | 0.13552000 | +0.237% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1352 | 0.1396 | 0.1318 | 0.77 | 0.1397 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1396 - 0.1352 = 0.0044
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1352 - 0.1318 = 0.0034
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0034 / 0.0044 = 0.7727
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 245.2562 | 100 | 1814.2935 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0044 = 1818.18
Taille de position USD = 1818.18 x 0.1352 = 245.82
Donc, tu peux acheter 1818.18 avec un stoploss a 0.1396
Avec un position size USD de 245.82$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1818.18 x 0.0044 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1818.18 x 0.0034 = 6.18
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.18$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 6.17 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.25 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.98 $ | -3.25 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5651 % | 109.55 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1352 | 0.1396 | 0.1318 | 0.77 | 0.1397 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1396 - 0.1352 = 0.0044
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1352 - 0.1318 = 0.0034
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0034 / 0.0044 = 0.7727
Array
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Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.207% | 0.1R | -0.791% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.207% | 0.1R | -3.565% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.207% | 0.1R | -3.565% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.910% | 0.3R | -3.565% | 1.1R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.910% | 0.3R | -3.565% | 1.1R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.910% | 0.3R | -3.565% | 1.1R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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