Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 6.15 XMR at 351.73$ per unit. Take profit: 354.331 (0.74 %) & Stop Loss: 350.4295 (0.37 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 6.15 XMR at 351.73$ per unit. Take profit: 354.331 (0.74 %) & Stop Loss: 350.4295 (0.37 %)
Position
Entry 351.73$
Qty 6.1514 XMR
Size 2163.6219$ (margin 100$) (leverage 22)
Risk Setup
TP 354.331 (+0.74%)
TP $ 16$
SL 350.4295 (-0.37%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9051
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.45×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.43×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.26×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 29/07 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 29/07 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.373223 15m : 0.225506 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5894 | r1h: 0.251% · r4h: 0.769% · r1d: 4.49% · r3d: -0.53% · ema21_slope: 0.1267% · dist_ema21: 1.779% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5520 | rs_1h: 0.066% · rs_4h: 0.310% · rs_1d: 3.43% · rs_3d: -0.01% · beta_24h: 0.261 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4317 | rvol_20: 1.09× · zscore_50: 0.398 · trend: 32.92% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5988 | ADX: 25.8 (trend) · Chop: 52.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.805% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.358% | 1.0R | -0.381% | 1.0R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.358% | 1.0R | -0.495% | 1.3R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.645% | 1.8R | -0.495% | 1.3R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.702% | 1.9R | -0.495% | 1.3R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.231% | 3.3R | -0.495% | 1.3R | 2.5× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -4.75% | +0.76 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.36 | range_high | +0.14% | -0.26 | 29/07 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | — | 0.31 | range_medium | +0.14% | +0.26 | 29/07 14:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | normal | bull_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid | — | — | 0.33 | range_low | +0.48% | +0.13 | 29/07 14:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.306×ATR | p0 | +0.327×ATR | p41 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 3.391×ATR | p62 | +1.025×ATR | p88 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 2.888×ATR | p57 | +0.718×ATR | p62 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 14b | — | 3.089×ATR | p77 | +0.721×ATR | p62 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64178
-0.000920622
64119
0.373223
64093
0.00204287
64224
0.225506
64200.9
0.000733551
64248
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[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.1540866846174
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
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345.39
192
0.6787
0.6113
0.4003
0.2551
0.5192
0.375
0.4797
0.7276
0.5749
0.5019
0.6167
0.4765
0.1682
0.0808
1
1.2185
1.7742
0.35
0.65
1
12
1
0.4898
0.3307
6.1223
0.75
0.375
2.2959
1.7742
0.6789
0.2114
0.42
0.0748
0.4807
0.6386
0.9398
0.4765
-7.0619
6.4278
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:22 | 351.73000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 15:28 | 351.04000000 | -0.196% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 14:40:00 | 351.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 14:55:00 | 353.57 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 15:25:00 | 350.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 15:45:00 | 352.35 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 16:00:00 | 350.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 16:30:00 | 353.79 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 16:50:00 | 351.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 18:35:00 | 353.11 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 18:45:00 | 355.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 19:20:00 | 351.69 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 02:00:00 | 341 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 07:00:00 | 351.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 09:30:00 | 346.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 10:15:00 | 349.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 12:15:00 | 345.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 14:45:00 | 353.57 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 15:15:00 | 350.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 16:00:00 | 350.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 18:45:00 | 355.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 19:15:00 | 352.83 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 07:00:00 | 347.43 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-27 11:00:00 | 353.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-27 16:00:00 | 343.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-27 20:00:00 | 350.97 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 02:00:00 | 340.38 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 09:00:00 | 344.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 15:00:00 | 334.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 07:00:00 | 351.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 12:00:00 | 345.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 355.19 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 351.73 | 350.4295 | 354.331 | 2 | 529.25 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 350.4295 - 351.73 = -1.3005
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 351.73 - 354.331 = -2.601
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.601 / -1.3005 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2163.6219 | 100 | 6.1514 | 22.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.3005 = -6.15
Taille de position USD = -6.15 x 351.73 = -2163.14
Donc, tu peux acheter -6.15 avec un stoploss a 350.4295
Avec un position size USD de -2163.14$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -6.15 x -1.3005 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -6.15 x -2.601 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.74 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.37 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.37 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.381 % | 103.06 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 351.73 | 350.4295 | 354.331 | 2 | 529.25 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 350.4295 - 351.73 = -1.3005
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 351.73 - 354.331 = -2.601
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.601 / -1.3005 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.358% | 1.0R | -0.381% | 1.0R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.358% | 1.0R | -0.495% | 1.3R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.645% | 1.8R | -0.495% | 1.3R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.702% | 1.9R | -0.495% | 1.3R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.231% | 3.3R | -0.495% | 1.3R | 2.5× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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