Short Trade on WLD (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 671.96 WLD at 0.3$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2925 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3119 (3.97 %)
Short Trade on WLD (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 671.96 WLD at 0.3$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2925 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3119 (3.97 %)
Position
Entry 0.3$
Qty 671.9606 WLD
Size 201.6083$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2925 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.04$
SL 0.3119 (-3.97%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.63
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1899
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.83×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.92×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/07 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/07 15:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2651 | r1h: -3.046% · r4h: -0.936% · r1d: -5.45% · r3d: -14.21% · ema21_slope: -0.1261% · dist_ema21: -1.948% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2205 | rs_1h: -2.087% · rs_4h: -0.799% · rs_1d: -5.43% · rs_3d: -12.96% · beta_24h: 2.172 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3734 | rvol_20: 0.76× · zscore_50: -0.020 · trend: 49.84% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6385 | ADX: 40.5 (trend) · Chop: 62.8 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.571% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.180% | 0.3R | -0.740% | 0.2R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +1.180% | 0.3R | -0.740% | 0.2R | 1.6× | 13 |
| 2h | +1.180% | 0.3R | -2.777% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.180% | 0.3R | -3.973% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.180% | 0.3R | -3.973% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.180% | 0.3R | -3.973% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.52 | bear_high | -4.75% | -0.98 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | 0.40 | range_high | -0.06% | -0.64 | 29/07 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.48 | range_medium | -0.65% | -0.48 | 29/07 15:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | — | range_medium | -0.36% | +0.00 | 29/07 15:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 42b | — | 13.143×ATR | p94 | -1.331×ATR | p91 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 17b | — | 5.246×ATR | p65 | -0.358×ATR | p35 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 2.291×ATR | p28 | -0.844×ATR | p70 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -0.964×ATR | p71 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:10 | 0.30003000 | +0.01% |
| 2 | 17:10 | 0.29866000 | -0.447% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3 | 0.3119 | 0.2925 | 0.63 | 0.2985 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3119 - 0.3 = 0.0119
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3 - 0.2925 = 0.0075
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0075 / 0.0119 = 0.6303
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 201.6083 | 100 | 671.9606 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0119 = 672.27
Taille de position USD = 672.27 x 0.3 = 201.68
Donc, tu peux acheter 672.27 avec un stoploss a 0.3119
Avec un position size USD de 201.68$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 672.27 x 0.0119 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 672.27 x 0.0075 = 5.04
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.04$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.04 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.97 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.62 $ | -0.31 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.74 % | 18.66 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3 | 0.3119 | 0.2925 | 0.63 | 0.2985 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3119 - 0.3 = 0.0119
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3 - 0.2925 = 0.0075
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0075 / 0.0119 = 0.6303
Array
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Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.180% | 0.3R | -0.740% | 0.2R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +1.180% | 0.3R | -0.740% | 0.2R | 1.6× | 13 |
| 2h | +1.180% | 0.3R | -2.777% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.180% | 0.3R | -3.973% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.180% | 0.3R | -3.973% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.180% | 0.3R | -3.973% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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