29 Jul 2026 at 17:11:39 hyperliquid

Short Trade on INJ (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 80.69 INJ at 4.498$ per unit. Take profit: 4.2503 (5.51 %) & Stop Loss: 4.5974 (2.21 %)

INJ SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 29 Jul 2026 17:11 → 18:05 · 53 minutes

Position

Entry 4.4982$

Qty 80.6852 INJ

Size 362.9382$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)

Risk Setup

TP 4.2503 (+5.51%)

TP $ 20$

SL 4.5974 (-2.21%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -2.21% / -8$ MAE -7.40% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 30 Jul 05:11

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 52676)
#35 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/07/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2963

Quality Score
0.478
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#35 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.21 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#35 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.21 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.11×ATR
4h clear 1.83×ATR
1d near -0.77×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/07 17:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

28/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

29/07 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/07 16:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1149
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

—

range

0

Operational bear

—

expansion

+1

Tactical range

—

range

0

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.70
Transition risk : 0.30
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.57
Snapshot évalué : 29/07 17:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 29/07/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.4779
Score SMA
0.4646
Rank
#35 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2963
Rank Norm SMA
0.2935
Calculé le
29/07/2026 17:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3903 r1h: -0.236% · r4h: -1.422% · r1d: -1.72% · r3d: -7.24% · ema21_slope: -0.0131% · dist_ema21: -1.104%
Force Relative 25% 0.4060 rs_1h: -0.236% · rs_4h: -1.068% · rs_1d: -1.21% · rs_3d: -5.61% · beta_24h: 0.643
Volume 20% 0.3701 rvol_20: 1.16× · zscore_50: 0.207 · trend: -11.40%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5689 ADX: 17.2 (weak) · Chop: 47.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.276% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.205% (0.0992)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -2.345% 1.1R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -2.703% 1.2R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -3.526% 1.6R 0.0× 48
8h +0.000% 0.0R -4.193% 1.9R 0.0× 96
12h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -7.403% 3.4R 0.0× 144
24h +0.000% 0.0R -7.992% 3.6R 0.0× 288

computed 3 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 39% mid near -0.8ATR — 0.64 bear_high -4.75% -0.52 28/07 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range strong fading compression bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 37% late — — 0.49 bear_high -1.28% -0.64 29/07 16:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced volatile_reversal bear_high
48%
noisy_chop 43% early near -0.1ATR — 0.40 bear_medium -1.08% -0.14 29/07 16:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate balanced volatile_reversal bear_medium
50%
noisy_chop 44% mid — — — range_medium -0.75% +0.05 29/07 16:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 9b — 2.896×ATR p0 -0.916×ATR p80
4h ↓ down late 34b — 8.919×ATR p96 -0.541×ATR p52
1h ↓ down early 2b — 2.493×ATR p36 -0.618×ATR p58
15m ↓ down mid 6b — 2.876×ATR p56 -0.61×ATR p49

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.8075
  3. reason: down_bo width=2.46×ATR dur=33b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 4.59735076
  5. tp_price: 4.25032309
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.80751412441918
  8. expires_at: 2026-07-30T09:11:31.570032
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.80751412441918
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.0486
  14. obi_top10 : -0.0082
  15. micro_price : 4.52340711
  16. spread_pct : 0.022109
  17. mid_price : 4.5235
  18. bid_wall_price : 4.49
  19. bid_wall_size : 60619.16
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 4.54
  22. ask_wall_size : 36711.5
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.0191
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0165
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 6817
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.01
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    4.65975
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    4.5239
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    4.591825
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1785243600
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1785358800
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.4585
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    33
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.8075
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1785355200
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    4.5239
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.7879
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.4651
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    5
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    7
  59. regime : bear_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.05525764
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
33
inside_close_ratio
0.7879
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.4651

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6817ms Confidence avant OB : 81% → 81%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.049
avg 0.019 ± 0.017
OBI Top 10 -0.008

Microstructure

Mid Price
4.5235
Micro Price
4.5234
Spread
0.0221%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
4.4900
Size
60,619.16

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
4.5400
Size
36,711.50

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.4982 4.5974 4.2503 2.5 7.4211
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.4982
  • Stop Loss: 4.5974
  • Take Profit: 4.2503

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.5974 - 4.4982 = 0.099200000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.4982 - 4.2503 = 0.2479

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2479 / 0.099200000000001 = 2.499

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
362.9382 100 80.6852 4.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.099200000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.099200000000001 = 80.65

Taille de position USD = 80.65 x 4.4982 = 362.78

Donc, tu peux acheter 80.65 avec un stoploss a 4.5974

Avec un position size USD de 362.78$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 80.65 x 0.099200000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 80.65 x 0.2479 = 19.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 80.65
  • Taille de position USD 362.78
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 19.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.499

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
5.51 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.21 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -2.21
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.2787 % 103.33 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.4982 4.5974 4.2503 2.5 7.4211
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.4982
  • Stop Loss: 4.5974
  • Take Profit: 4.2503

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.5974 - 4.4982 = 0.099200000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.4982 - 4.2503 = 0.2479

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2479 / 0.099200000000001 = 2.499

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.2503
            [entry_price] => 4.4982
            [stop_loss] => 4.60732
            [rr_ratio] => 2.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-07-29 22:15:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.2503
            [entry_price] => 4.4982
            [stop_loss] => 4.61724
            [rr_ratio] => 2.08
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-07-29 22:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.2503
            [entry_price] => 4.4982
            [stop_loss] => 4.62716
            [rr_ratio] => 1.92
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-07-30 00:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.2503
            [entry_price] => 4.4982
            [stop_loss] => 4.647
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-07-30 00:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.205% (0.0992)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -2.345% 1.1R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -2.703% 1.2R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -3.526% 1.6R 0.0× 48
8h +0.000% 0.0R -4.193% 1.9R 0.0× 96
12h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -7.403% 3.4R 0.0× 144
24h +0.000% 0.0R -7.992% 3.6R 0.0× 288

computed 3 months ago

Commentaires

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