Short Trade on XPL (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2277.54 XPL at 0.077$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07508 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08052 (4.56 %)
29 Jul 2026 at 18:10:05
hyperliquid
XPL
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
29 Jul 2026 18:10
→ 21:10
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.07701$
Qty 2277.5412 XPL
Size 175.3889$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07508 (+2.51%)
TP $ 4.4$
SL 0.08052 (-4.56%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.55
Status
loss
PnL
-1.47%
/ -2.58$
MAE -1.97%
MFE +0.40%
0.1R
expires
29 Jul 21:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=31 <= threshold=42/52
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 52763)
#49 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/07/2026 18:00
score du 29/07/2026 18:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2678
Quality Score
0.416
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#49 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.56 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#49 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.56 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 0.72×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
8.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/07 18:02
29/07 18:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 29/07 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 29/07 17:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1150
Voir snapshot →
range
ranging
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.70
Transition risk :
0.30
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.82
Snapshot évalué :
29/07 18:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
29/07/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.4162
Score SMA
0.5045
Rank
#49
/ 52
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2678
Rank Norm SMA
0.5299
Calculé le
29/07/2026 18:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2588 | r1h: -0.028% · r4h: -2.278% · r1d: -9.40% · r3d: -7.96% · ema21_slope: -0.2510% · dist_ema21: -3.725% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3128 | rs_1h: -0.087% · rs_4h: -1.159% · rs_1d: -8.76% · rs_3d: -5.98% · beta_24h: 2.088 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2811 | rvol_20: 0.36× · zscore_50: -0.541 · trend: 37.89% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6940 | ADX: 26.8 (trend) · Chop: 41.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.912% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
3.2h)
Initial Risk: -4.558%
(0.0035)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.168% | 0.0R | -0.460% | 0.1R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.294% | 0.1R | -0.821% | 0.2R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 3.2h ★ | +0.401% | 0.1R | -1.974% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 37 |
| 4h | +0.401% | 0.1R | -2.704% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.846% | 0.6R | -2.704% | 0.6R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.029% | 0.9R | -2.704% | 0.6R | 1.5× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.74
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.54 | bear_high | -4.75% | -0.97 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
46%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.38 | bear_high_confirmed | -1.56% | -0.60 | 29/07 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.49 | bear_medium | -1.10% | -0.61 | 29/07 17:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.73% | -0.06 | 29/07 17:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 25b | — | 5.238×ATR | p75 | -0.671×ATR | p55 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 4.207×ATR | p77 | -1.343×ATR | p94 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.304×ATR | p45 | -1.117×ATR | p82 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.046×ATR | p0 | -0.353×ATR | p30 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.08052056
- tp_price: 0.0750828
- atr: 0.00140502
- expires_at: 2026-07-30T04:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 49
- total: 52
- score: 0.2588
- delta_2h: -0.005
- extension_atr: -1.33
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2678
- confidence: 0.941
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:10 | 0.07700800 | -0.003% |
| 2 | 19:10 | 0.07727200 | +0.34% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07701 | 0.08052 | 0.07508 | 0.55 | 0.05252 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.07701
- Stop Loss: 0.08052
- Take Profit: 0.07508
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.08052 - 0.07701 = 0.00351
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07701 - 0.07508 = 0.00193
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00193 / 0.00351 = 0.5499
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 175.3889 | 100 | 2277.5412 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00351
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00351 = 2279.2
Taille de position USD = 2279.2 x 0.07701 = 175.52
Donc, tu peux acheter 2279.2 avec un stoploss a 0.08052
Avec un position size USD de 175.52$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2279.2 x 0.00351 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2279.2 x 0.00193 = 4.4
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.4$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2279.2
- Taille de position USD 175.52
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.4
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5499
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 4.4 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.56 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.58 $ | -1.47 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.9738 % | 43.31 % | 13 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07701 | 0.08052 | 0.07508 | 0.55 | 0.05252 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.07701
- Stop Loss: 0.08052
- Take Profit: 0.07508
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.08052 - 0.07701 = 0.00351
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07701 - 0.07508 = 0.00193
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00193 / 0.00351 = 0.5499
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
3.2h)
Initial Risk: -4.558%
(0.0035)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.168% | 0.0R | -0.460% | 0.1R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.294% | 0.1R | -0.821% | 0.2R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 3.2h ★ | +0.401% | 0.1R | -1.974% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 37 |
| 4h | +0.401% | 0.1R | -2.704% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.846% | 0.6R | -2.704% | 0.6R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.029% | 0.9R | -2.704% | 0.6R | 1.5× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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